Arkansas, 2024Flooding in Arkansas, May 6 to 12, 2024
May 6 to 12, 2024 · NWS LZK · 2 events in 2 counties and zones
River flooding occurred along portions of the Ouachita River and portions of the White River.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
River flooding occurred along portions of the Ouachita River and portions of the White River.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 6, 1:29 PM CST, 1 hour 31 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 6, 1:29 PM CST, 1 hour 31 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
229 PM CDT Mon May 6 2024
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 207 PM CDT Mon May 6 2024
Some pulse, relatively short lived convection will be possible
across southern parts of the state this afternoon/evening with
some northward propagation possible. Other than locally heavy
downpours, an isolated storm or two may be able to briefly
produce gusty winds and hail.
Attention will be to the west of the state this evening and
tonight as conditions remain primed for widespread severe weather
across portions of OK/KS. Severe storms that develop from central
into northern parts of OK this evening are expected to eventually
merge into a robust line and head toward W/NW Arkansas. This line
of storms will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts,
torrential downpours and a few tornadoes.
Timing for this activity to reach NW Arkansas looks most likely
between 12-2 AM with a continued eastward progression through the
early morning hours. Latest CAMs continue to indicate a gradual
weakening of activity through 7-8 AM with the northern half of
the state most likely to see TS activity. Lowest confidence
for early morning precip lies along a corridor from west central
to central parts of the state. The southern extent of the line of
storms may impact these areas, but that remains uncertain.
Precip will depart by noon with little if any additional showers
and storms expected during the afternoon/evening hours on Tuesday.
Most of the state will see highs top out in the 80s F Tue
afternoon.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Monday)
Issued at 207 PM CDT Mon May 6 2024
To begin the period, a strong storm system is expected to impact the
natural state...By Wednesday, Arkansas is expected to be located
within the warm sector of this system with dewpoints in the upper
60s to lower 70s and air temps in the 80s to lower 90s. With high
wind shear and high instability over the region, the chance for
severe weather looks likely with this system. All severe
weather modes will be possible (tornadoes, damaging winds, and hail).
By Wednesday evening into early Thursday morning...the front will
begin to move through the state with strong to severe thunderstorms
possible along and ahead of the front. Any discrete cells ahead of
the main line with pose a greater tornado risk. The line itself will
pose a greater damaging straight-line wind threat with quick spin up
tornadoes possible. Large hail is also a concern late Wednesday.
Please remain weather aware Wednesday as the threat for severe
weather appears likely across much of the state. Changes to the
forecast are possible so continue to check back for the latest
updates.
QPF values are expected to be highest across central and eastern
Arkansas in the long term. These areas could see anywhere from one
to two inches...elsewhere, locations could see up to an inch with
the least amounts expected across northwestern Arkansas.
Temperatures will be warmest head of the cold front on Wednesday
with highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s. Overnight temperatures will
be in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Post frontal passage...temperatures
will begin to feel more comfortable with highs in the upper 60s to
upper 70s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1219 PM CDT Mon May 6 2024
A mix of MVFR/VFR cigs remain in place with most locations
expected to see VFR conditions over the course of the afternoon.
Srly winds will be in place through the afternoon, with some
occasional gusts to around 15 kts. Isolated to scattered
showers/storms are expected to develop across SW AR through the
afternoon hours and lift north. Limited coverage is expected with
most terminals remaining dry, activity should diminish by 07/02z.
A N-S oriented line of severe storms is expected to move into NW
Arkansas after 07/06z and continue to march east, impacting areas
generally north of I-40. This means KHRO/KBPK will be most likely
to see very strong wind gusts and severely reduced cigs/vsby as
storms impact those terminals Tue morning (08z-13z). Confidence
in TS activity is lower to the south with KHOT/KLIT on the edge
of where storms are expected as they move east through Tue
morning.
Cigs will likely drop to MVFR or lower areawide overnight through
the rest of the period with wind shear expected after 07/06z.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR 69 86 67 87 / 50 40 10 60
Camden AR 69 87 69 89 / 10 10 10 30
Harrison AR 66 83 59 82 / 80 20 0 70
Hot Springs AR 69 86 65 87 / 30 20 20 40
Little Rock AR 72 88 70 88 / 40 30 20 40
Monticello AR 72 88 72 90 / 10 20 10 20
Mount Ida AR 68 86 64 86 / 40 20 10 50
Mountain Home AR 66 84 60 85 / 80 50 0 70
Newport AR 70 86 67 87 / 40 40 10 50
Pine Bluff AR 70 86 70 89 / 20 20 20 30
Russellville AR 68 86 64 85 / 50 40 10 50
Searcy AR 69 86 67 87 / 40 30 20 50
Stuttgart AR 72 85 70 88 / 30 30 20 40
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
SHORT TERM...67
LONG TERM....73
AVIATION...67
Hazardous weather outlook, May 6, 1:36 PM CST, 1 hour 24 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
236 PM CDT Mon May 6 2024
ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341-071000-
Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-
Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest-
Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations-
Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-
Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-
Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County-
Polk County Lower Elevations-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County-
Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-
Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations-
Southern and Eastern Logan County-
Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
236 PM CDT Mon May 6 2024
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible
through this evening across portions of southern and western
Arkansas. A few storms could produce heavy downpours, gusty winds
and some small hail.
Around midnight a line of strong to severe thunderstorms is
expected to move into portions of west and northwest Arkansas.
These storms will move east through sunrise and will be capable of
producing damaging winds gusts, hail, heavy downpours and perhaps
a couple of tornadoes. This activity is expected to weaken as it
moves east.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
Chances for severe weather will increase Wednesday into Wednesday
night with all modes of severe weather possible, including very
large hail and isolated tornadoes. Locally heavy downpours may
lead to spotty flash flooding.
Hit and miss showers and storms will linger on Thursday before
cooler, drier, and more seasonal air returns Friday into the
weekend.
.Spotter Information Statement...
Spotter activation is not expected.
&&
Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.
70/46/67
Flood, Calhoun
- When
- May 6, 3:00 PM CST to May 12, 1:30 AM CST
- Where
- Calhoun County, 7.32 mi S of Artesian to 4.94 mi S of Artesian
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- River/Stream Gage
- Coordinates
- 33.294, -92.465
Minor flooding was noted along the Ouachita River at Thatcher Lock and Dam.
Flood, Woodruff
- When
- May 7, 12:30 PM CST to May 9, 1:15 PM CST
- Where
- Woodruff County, 1.29 mi WNW of Augusta to 1.71 mi NW of Augusta
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- River/Stream Gage
- Coordinates
- 35.286, -91.392
Minor flooding along the White River at Augusta was noted.
- Flood
- Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Tornadoes and Flash Flooding in Oklahoma, May 6 to 7, 20242 deaths · 33 injured · $25 million · EF4 · 27 events
- Flash Flooding and Debris Flows in Puerto Rico, May 6 to 10, 20241 death · 3 injured · $466,000 · 110 events
- Tornadoes and Flash Flooding in Oklahoma, May 6 to 7, 2024$964,000 · EF1 · 97 events
- Blizzard and Flooding in Montana, May 6 to 8, 2024$3.0 million · 76 kt wind · 65 events
- Tornadoes and Flash Flooding in Missouri, May 6 to 7, 20241 injured · $668,000 · EF1 · 64 events
- Hail in Kansas, May 6, 2024$2.9 million · 1.75 in hail · 12 events
- Tornadoes and Flash Flood in Tennessee, May 6, 2024$410,000 · EF1 · 24 events
- Tornadoes and Hail in Iowa, May 6 to 7, 2024$433,000 · EF1 · 13 events
- Tornadoes and Damaging Winds in Kansas, May 6, 2024$378,000 · EF0 · 5 events
- Tornadoes and Damaging Winds in Missouri, May 6 to 7, 2024EF1 · 56 events
- Tornado and Hail in Nebraska, May 6, 2024$195,000 · EF0 · 13 events
- Tornadoes and Damaging Winds in Iowa, May 6, 2024EF1 · 11 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1182105, 1182111.