Heavy rain led to river flooding on the Petit Jean River at Danville in late December.
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The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.
Heavy rain led to river flooding on the Petit Jean River at Danville in late December.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 27, 2:48 PM CST, 3 hours 42 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 248 PM CST Fri Dec 27 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Sunday) Issued at 245 PM CST Fri Dec 27 2024 Storm system that brought the last round of rain to the Natural State, was centered over IA early this aftn. As a result, southwest winds have picked up acrs the FA, allowing the low clouds/moisture to begin dcrsg from the south and west. Aftn temps ranged fm the mid 50s north, to the upper 60s south. Dry conds are expected tngt, although patchy fog wl once again form and linger into Sat mrng. Attm, is does not appear that areal coverage wl reach advisory criteria, but wl let later shifts monitor trends. Focus then turns to the next SWT that will impact AR late Sat and Sat night. CAMS cont to show elevated showers/storms starting to overspread the FA fm the southwest later Sat mrng. Data has also been rather consistent taking the track of the sfc low acrs southeast AR durg this timeframe. It still appears that the assocd warm fnt may sneak into some of our far southeast counties late Sat aftn. Locations south of this bndry is where the potential for organized severe storms wl be greatest. However, the latest CIPS analogs cont to focus the severe threat further south and east of our FA, which seems to be a more likely scenario. Some stronger storms that do manage to form north of the warm sector wl be capable of producing sub-severe hail and some higher wind gusts. Due to the progressive nature of this system, the potential for widespread flash flooding appears low. Dry and mild conds wl return to the Mid-South on Sunday as a weak sfc ridge slides acrs the region. The assocd airmass wl be of Pacific origin, and combined with a westerly sfc wind, wl allow high temps to top out in the 60s Sun aftn. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday Night through next Friday) Issued at 245 PM CST Fri Dec 27 2024 The long-term forecast period will be highlighted by two key weather conditions for Arkansas. First, a lack of rainfall from Sunday Night through next Friday with a complete lack of POPs over the long-term period. Second, a temperature roll-coaster that will begin with well- above normal temperatures on Monday and Tuesday to close out 2024 and transition into temperatures near normal to begin 2025. In the upper lvls, a northwesterly to zonal flow pattern will kick- off the long-term forecast period over Arkansas to begin the work week on Monday and Tuesday with zonal flow remaining in place for the remainder of the long-term forecast period. At the sfc, a dry warm front will lift northward through the state allowing for well- above normal temperatures to be experienced on both Monday and Tuesday to close out 2024 in the realm of 10 to 15 degrees above average compared to late December normals. On Tuesday, a dry cold front will move across Arkansas with another quick moving dry cold front moving across the state on Wednesday. A much colder and drier airmass will begin to felt on Wednesday to welcome 2025 from the airmass in the wake of these boundaries. Sfc high pressure will settle in behind these frontal boundaries for Wednesday and Thursday assisting in keeping the fair and dry weather across the state. On Friday, another (yes, this is becoming a broken record) dry cold front will move across the state and keep the trend of fair and dry weather in the forecast while keeping temperatures with respect to both morning lows and afternoon highs at average compared to normals for early January. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1140 AM CST Fri Dec 27 2024 Abundant low lvl moisture wl result in contd IFR/MVFR ceilings thru most of the PD. However, some improvement is possible over parts of central and southern AR later today into tngt as some drier air advects into the area. Higher lvl moisture wl return fm the west tngt, but some fog and low clouds are expected to reform. Rain chcs start to incrs fm the southwest later Sat mrng, focused mainly along and south of the I-30/I-40 corridor. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 47 59 47 62 / 0 70 60 0 Camden AR 49 63 47 65 / 0 80 30 0 Harrison AR 46 58 45 61 / 0 40 30 0 Hot Springs AR 48 59 46 64 / 0 80 50 0 Little Rock AR 49 59 49 63 / 0 80 60 0 Monticello AR 53 65 51 66 / 0 90 50 0 Mount Ida AR 47 61 45 66 / 0 70 40 0 Mountain Home AR 46 59 46 61 / 0 50 40 0 Newport AR 49 60 49 62 / 0 70 70 10 Pine Bluff AR 50 62 49 64 / 0 80 60 0 Russellville AR 48 60 46 62 / 0 60 40 0 Searcy AR 47 59 47 62 / 0 70 60 0 Stuttgart AR 51 61 51 63 / 0 80 70 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SHORT TERM...44 LONG TERM....74 AVIATION...44
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 505 PM CST Fri Dec 27 2024 ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069- 103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230- 237-238-240-241-313-340-341-281100- Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence- Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry- Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark- Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln- Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest- Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations- Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County- Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County- Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County- Polk County Lower Elevations- Central and Eastern Montgomery County- Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations- Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations- Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations- Van Buren County Higher Elevations- Southern and Eastern Logan County- Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest- Northern Polk County Higher Elevations- Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations- Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations- Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations- Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations- 505 PM CST Fri Dec 27 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas. .DAY ONE...Tonight Patchy fog will be possible later tonight, but is not expected to be as widespread compared to the last few days. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday Showers and isolated thunderstorms will return to the forecast on Saturday. While there is an outside chance of severe weather in southeast Arkansas, severe storms (including tornadoes) will be more likely along the Gulf Coast from east Texas to southwest Alabama. The forecast calls for one to more than two inches of rain in areas south of Little Rock. This could result in localized flash flooding. After Saturday, no impactful weather is expected through at least the middle of next week. .Spotter Information Statement... Spotter activation will not be needed. && Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to https://weather.gov/lzk.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
River flooding occurred on the Petit Jean River at Danville in late December. The river at this site crested at 20.38 feet on December 28th at 0430. The river flooding at this site remained in minor flood stage.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, December 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1228402.