Arkansas, 2024Drought in Arkansas, August 27 to 31, 2024
August 27 to 31, 2024 · NWS MEG · 1 event in 1 county or zone
A very small swath of Severe (D2) Drought Conditions returned near the Mississippi River in late August. Soil moisture and crop moisture remained below normal for August.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A very small swath of Severe (D2) Drought Conditions returned near the Mississippi River in late August. Soil moisture and crop moisture remained below normal for August. As a result, moderate conditions of wildfire danger existed for Phillips County.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 27, 5:30 AM CST, 30 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 27, 5:30 AM CST, 30 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
630 AM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 242 AM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024
Hot and dry conditions will continue for the next several days.
The pattern shifts to a little wetter and cooler by Friday
throughout the weekend. A frontal passage on Labor Day will make
for a pleasant start to next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 242 AM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024
Nighttime GOES satellite depicts all clear conditions coupled with
observation sites reporting calm winds across the Mid-South.
Despite this, low moisture content (5-10 degree dewpoint
depressions) has precluded fog development this morning. Expect
mostly a persistence forecast under the same midlevel 598 dam
ridge for the next few days, but ever so slightly hotter today
and tomorrow. NBM probabilistic guidance suggests about a 30-40%
chance of temperatures exceeding 100 degrees for the next 2 days,
especially east of the MS River under the most dominant part of
the ridge. For context, these forecast 500 mb heights through
midweek are about 10 dam above normal for this time of year.
Fortunately, very weak flow will actually aid in keeping humidity
at bay during the hottest part of the week. It'll certainly be hot
with temperatures pushing 100 degrees areawide, but MaxApT or
"feels like" temperatures are forecast to be within 1-2 degrees of
the actual temperature today and tomorrow. This should preclude
the need for heat headlines at least until Thursday when an
approaching frontal boundary may pool some warmer, moister air
across the Mid-South. Even then, the surface pattern may shift
such that heat indices remain below 105 degrees. Something to
watch.
The aforementioned frontal boundary marks the beginning of a late
week pattern shift to cooler and wetter. A more active period
begins Friday as two cold fronts come down from the Central
Plains. The main talking point with the first system is the
potential for more widespread, much needed rain beginning on
Friday afternoon. As of right now, kinematics look unimpressive
with a relatively shallow trough. Expect scattered showers and
thunderstorms as PoPs will remain generally in the 40-50% range
through the weekend. The second system early next week (Labor Day)
is more of a reinforcement, further knocking temperatures and
humidity down into quite pleasant territory just in time for
meteorological fall.
CAD
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 605 AM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024
No significant changes were needed to the 12z TAFS. VFR conditions
will prevail over the next 24 to 36 hours. Sustained winds will
remain 6 knots or less through the period.
&&
.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&
PUBLIC FORECAST...CAD
AVIATION...TAB
Drought, Phillips
- When
- August 27, 6:00 AM CST to August 31, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- Phillips forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 34.428, -90.848 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe Drought (D2) conditions returned in late August and prevailed for the remainder of the month.
- Drought
- A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Heat in Arizona, August 27, 20241 death · 1 event
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Michigan, August 27, 20241 injured · $810,000 · 56 kt wind · 16 events
- Damaging Winds and Lightning Strike in Indiana, August 27, 2024$332,000 · 61 kt wind · 16 events
- Damaging Winds in Michigan, August 27, 2024$395,000 · 61 kt wind · 10 events
- Damaging Winds in Minnesota, August 27 to 28, 2024$100,000 · 56 kt wind · 18 events
- Damaging Winds in Michigan, August 27 to 28, 20241 injured · 66 kt wind · 37 events
- Damaging Winds in Ohio, August 27, 2024$37,000 · 60 kt wind · 10 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Illinois, August 27, 20242.5 in hail · 35 events
- Damaging Winds in Michigan, August 27, 2024$21,000 · 60 kt wind · 13 events
- Excessive Heat in Illinois, August 27, 202421 events
- Damaging Winds in Wisconsin, August 27, 2024$19,000 · 50 kt wind · 7 events
- Flash Flood and Damaging Winds in Wisconsin, August 27, 2024$20,000 · 50 kt wind · 3 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1215832.