Arizona, 2024

Flash Flood and Damaging Winds in Arizona, June 27, 2024

June 27, 2024 · NWS FGZ · 3 events in 2 counties and zones

Deep moisture and a mesoscale convective vortext brought severe thundertorms over northern Arizona.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.

Deep moisture and a mesoscale convective vortext brought severe thundertorms over northern Arizona.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 27, 3:42 AM MST, 4 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 27, 3:42 AM MST, 4 hours 1 minute before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
342 AM MST Thu Jun 27 2024

.SYNOPSIS...The daily chance for afternoon and evening showers
and thunderstorms will continue today. Activity decreases for
Friday and Saturday, and then slowly ramps up again from Sunday
into next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...One final day of monsoonal showers and storms are
expected today. Activity should be concentrated along and
northeast of the Mogollon Rim. Meanwhile, a trough is moving
eastward across the NW U.S. This trough is what's shifting the
high driving our monsoonal precipitation. While the high shifts,
afternoon winds will be increasing this afternoon and tomorrow
with gusts 20-30 mph.

Friday will be significantly drier than recent days. CAMs do
still show some isolated activity to the east, including over the
Navajo and Hopi Nations. Overall moisture availability is
significantly lower with these, so showers will predominately
generate virga and thunderstorms will be high based.

Drier weather will presist into Saturday, but isolated shower and
storm activity is expected over the White Mountains. During this
period of drier weather, daytime temperatures are expected to warm
some.

Sunday going into next week sees high pressure building back. This
will translate into gradually increasing shower and storm chances
pushing back west for the end of the weekend, into next week. Each
day next week will bring shower and storm chances, but with
fluctuations in coverage and intensity.

&&

.AVIATION...Thursday 27/12Z through Friday 28/12Z...SHRA/TSRA
possible north and east of a P23-KSEZ-E24 line 19Z-03Z. SHRA may
linger near E91/KRQE through 09Z. Brief MVFR conditions and
gusty, erratic winds possible in and around TS. SW winds 10-15 kts
with gusts up to 20-25 kts before 03Z, then becoming light and
variable.

OUTLOOK...Friday 28/12Z through Sunday 30/12Z...TSRA/SHRA possible
east of a KPGA-KINW-KJTC line, 19Z Friday-03Z Saturday. Another
round of TSRA/SHRA possible in vicinity of KSOW/KJTC on Saturday.
Winds SW 10-15 ks on Friday, subsiding to 5-10 kts on Saturday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Today and Friday...Scattered showers and storms
along and north of the Mogollon Rim this afternoon, with isolated
storms possible again on Friday over eastern Arizona. Gusty, erratic
winds, heavy rainfall, and hail possible in any stronger storms.
Warm temperatures with breezy southwest winds 10-20 mph each day.

Saturday through Monday...Isolated storms remain in the White
Mountains on Saturday, with coverage then gradually increasing
across the state for Sunday and Monday. Warm temperatures with
southwest winds 10-15 mph each day.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

PUBLIC...RKR
AVIATION...Humphreys
FIRE WEATHER...Humphreys

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 61 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 14:44 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 thunderstorm wind, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Coconino

When
June 27, 7:43 AM MST
Where
Coconino County, Two Guns
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
35.120, -111.100

The ADOT wind sensor at Two Guns measured a peak wind gust of 63 MPH at 743 AM from a thunderstorm.

Thunderstorm Wind, Navajo

When
June 27, 8:23 AM MST
Where
Navajo County, 0.69 mi N of (Inw)winslow Arpt
Measured
54 kt (62 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
35.030, -110.720

A wind gust of 63 MPH was reported at the Winslow Airport at 823 AM.

Flash Flood, Coconino

When
June 27, 3:35 PM MST to 5:00 PM MST
Where
Coconino County, 3.03 mi SE of (Pga)page Arpt to 5.63 mi ENE of (Pga)page Arpt
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Storm Chaser
Coordinates
36.900, -111.410

Heavy rain brought 1 to 2 foot deep flash flood and debris through the very popular Antelope Canyon area.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, June 2024

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1193229, 1194830, 1193207.