Drought conditions continued to worsen across portions of North and Central Texas, with severe to extreme drought conditions expanding in area.
Every event with a place to put it; 8 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
Drought conditions continued to worsen across portions of North and Central Texas, with severe to extreme drought conditions expanding in area.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 14, 10:35 PM CST, 1 hour 25 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1135 PM CDT Mon Aug 14 2023 ...New Short Term, Aviation... .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Tonight through Tuesday night/ Much awaited cool and dry air will continue to filter into North and Central Texas tonight behind a late summer cold front. Overnight lows will be 5 to 10 degrees cooler than they have been the past couple of weeks with middle 60s along the Red River and mainly lower and middle 70s elsewhere. A breezy north to northeast wind this evening will gradually decrease through the night once surface high pressure builds through the Central and Southern Plains. Temperatures will warm slowly but steadily on Tuesday with solar heating being offset by weak cold air advection. Highs should still briefly reach near seasonal normals in the middle and upper 90s, but it should feel very comfortable thanks to a dry north wind in the 5 to 10 mph range. Since most locations did not receive a wetting rainfall earlier today, fuel moisture remains extremely low across the entire region. Therefore, fire starts will still be unhindered given a source for ignition, but fire spread should be manageable since sustained wind speeds will be relatively light. We will continue to highlight an elevated fire threat in all zones. Tuesday night is shaping up to be a beautiful August night with lows mainly in the 60s and lower 70s. These are temperatures we have not seen across most of the forecast area since mid June. 79 && .LONG TERM... /Issued 207 PM CDT Mon Aug 14 2023/ /Late Tuesday Through Early Next Week/ Tuesday night will be the most pleasant night of the extended period as overnight cooling peaks in the wake of the early week cold front. At the surface, building high pressure centered over the Middle Mississippi River Valley will extend into North and Central Texas. The associated light northeast to east winds along with clear skies and drier dewpoints (several degrees below- average according to local dewpoint climatology) should allow temperatures to generally drop into the 60s regionwide. This is a stark contrast from the 80+ degree mornings that have prevailed recently. Minimum temperatures have been lowered slightly from the NBM to account for enhanced diurnal cooling. This reprieve from the excessive heat will begin to wane Wednesday as the broad surface high continues to shift east- southeastward and southerly surface winds return. Temperatures should warm slightly Wednesday with parts of western North and Central Texas climbing above 100 degrees. Efficient daytime mixing of the dry airmass in place (PWATs ~1") should still be sufficient to limit heat index values to within a degree or two of the actual temperature. Widespread 100+ degree temperatures return Thursday as the mid/upper level ridge, centered over the Four Corners region, builds and expands eastward across the Southern Plains and settles over the Midwest by late weekend. This is noticeably further north and east than we have seen most of this season. With the center of the high, and accompanying mid-level height rises, displaced to the northeast, temperatures should adjust accordingly. Highs this weekend are expected to be a degree or two cooler (generally around 101-106 F) than forecast for Thursday and Friday. This pattern may allow a few weak (easterly) shortwaves, developing over the northern Gulf of Mexico and rounding the base of the prevailing mid-level ridge, to move across the region early next week. The associated seabreeze convection is not progged to make much progress inland until just beyond the current forecast period. Confidence in the potential for returning rain chances is low and will be dependent on the track and strength of the mid/upper level high and easterly waves. 12 && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /06Z TAFs/ VFR conditions are expected across all of North and Central Texas tonight through Tuesday with only scattered high clouds and no visibility restrictions. A north to northeast wind will continue through Tuesday in the 6 to 11 knot range along with a few higher gusts near 20 knots. 79 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 75 94 72 97 75 / 5 0 0 0 0 Waco 75 97 69 99 74 / 20 5 0 0 0 Paris 67 88 63 90 65 / 0 0 0 0 0 Denton 69 95 66 98 69 / 5 0 0 0 0 McKinney 69 91 64 93 68 / 5 0 0 0 0 Dallas 76 95 71 98 74 / 5 0 0 0 0 Terrell 71 94 65 96 68 / 5 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 74 96 68 99 72 / 30 5 0 0 0 Temple 76 99 69 100 73 / 10 5 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 69 98 67 102 72 / 5 5 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1141 PM CDT Mon Aug 14 2023 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-160000- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 1141 PM CDT Mon Aug 14 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Hot and dry conditions will return Thursday with triple digit heat and high heat index values expected through the weekend. Heat illness risk will remain high through this period. Elevated to critical fire weather conditions will also be a concern each day due to hot, dry, and breezy conditions. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
721 PM CDT Mon Aug 14 2023
TXZ142-143-150100-
Mills TX-Hamilton TX-
721 PM CDT Mon Aug 14 2023
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern
Hamilton and northeastern Mills Counties through 800 PM CDT...
At 720 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 13
miles northeast of Goldthwaite, or 18 miles southwest of Hamilton,
moving northwest at 5 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Shive, Center City, Pecan Wells, Indian Gap, Pottsville, and Caradan.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3157 9814 3142 9844 3162 9859 3177 9829
TIME...MOT...LOC 0020Z 127DEG 6KT 3159 9840
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
30The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
8 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe drought conditions impacted the county through the end of the month.
Severe to extreme drought conditions impacted the county through the end of the month.
Severe to extreme drought conditions impacted the county through the end of the month.
Severe to extreme drought conditions impacted the county through the end of the month.
Severe to extreme drought conditions impacted the county through the end of the month.
Severe to extreme drought conditions impacted the county through the end of the month.
Severe to extreme drought conditions impacted the county through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions impacted the county through the end of the month.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, August 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1131100, 1131102, 1131104, 1131105, 1131106, 1131108, 1131109, 1131135.