Hawaii, 2023

Wildfire in Hawaii, August 31, 2023

August 31, 2023 · NWS HFO · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A wildfire broke out near South Point on the Big Island.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS HFO wrote it up.

A wildfire broke out near South Point on the Big Island.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Honolulu, HI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 30, 8:38 PM HST, 3 hours 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 30, 8:38 PM HST, 3 hours 22 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Honolulu HI
838 PM HST Wed Aug 30 2023

.SYNOPSIS...
Breezy to locally windy trades will persist through Thursday with
mostly dry conditions. The trades will ease slightly Thursday
night with a few more showers expected as some moisture works in
from the east. Moderate to locally breezy trade winds are then
expected Friday through Saturday, with fairly typical trade wind
weather with showers favoring windward slopes and coasts expected
through early Saturday, before drier conditions build back in by
Saturday afternoon. Rather dry trade wind weather is then expected
to continue through Sunday, with the trades gradually easing to
moderate levels. Light and variable winds are expected early next
week, with land and sea breezes common statewide. A disturbance
aloft could bring an increase in showers and potentially a few
downpours to the smaller islands early next week as well, while
the Big Island should remain mostly dry.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Currently at the surface, a 1031 high is centered around 1300
miles northeast of Honolulu, and is driving breezy trade winds
across the island chain this evening. Meanwhile, the remnant low
of former tropical cyclone Irwin is located around 1250 miles east
of Hilo, and another broad area of low pressure is embedded in the
ITCZ around 900 miles south of the Big Island. Infrared satellite
imagery shows partly to mostly cloudy conditions across windward
areas, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies in most leeward
locales. Radar imagery shows a few showers moving into windward
areas, with a decaying shower or sprinkles reaching leeward
communities from time to time. Main short term focus revolves
around Wind and Fire Weather headlines.

High pressure northeast of the state will continue to drive breezy
to locally windy trades through Thursday, with the trades easing
Thursday night as the high shifts further north. A Wind Advisory
remains in effect for much of Maui County and the Big Island
through 6 PM Thursday. Moderate to locally breezy conditions will
then hold in place Friday and Saturday, with the trades easing
moderate levels Sunday as broad troughing develops north of the
islands. The trough will hold in place north of the islands early
next week, with light and variable winds expected to result in a
land/sea breeze pattern statewide. The trades could begin to
return around the middle of next week as the troughing north of
the islands begins to break down.

As for the remaining weather details, drier and more stable
conditions with precipitable water values at or below 1 inch are
moving into eastern islands this evening, and will spread
westward to the remaining islands overnight into early Thursday
morning. Rather dry trade wind weather will prevail with showers
limited mainly to windward slopes and coasts, and a few decaying
showers or sprinkles reaching leeward communities at times. Dry
trade wind weather is expected statewide on Thursday as inversion
heights lower to around 5-6 kft, with nothing more than isolated
showers affecting windward areas. Moisture appears to increase a
bit from east to west across the state Thursday night, so a
return to more typical trade wind weather is expected, which
should hold in place through Friday night. Drier trade wind
weather is then expected to build back over the islands Saturday
and Sunday, with limited showers affecting mainly windward/mauka
locales.

A mid/upper level trough pivoting southward just to the north of
the western islands Sunday night through Tuesday, may bring a
better shot for rainfall to both windward and leeward sections of
the smaller islands, particularly Kauai and Oahu. The added
instability along with sea breezes could result in a few downpours
as well. Meanwhile drier conditions should prevail over the Big
Island as the deeper moisture doesn't appear to make it this far
south. The deeper moisture and forcing from the upper low appears
to lift north of the island chain next Wednesday, with rather dry
conditions expected to return. However, some deeper moisture with
a connection to the tropics may pivot far enough northward to
increase rain chances over the Big Island next Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...
A robust area of surface high pressure positioned north of the
state will help generate breezy tradewinds through the forecast
period. Some low level moisture caught up in the flow will bring
scattered showers to the windward locations tonight. However,
by Thursday morning, drier air is expected to filter in from east
and lead to much drier conditions with partly cloudy skies.

AIRMET Tango remains in effect for low level turbulence over and
downwind of the terrain across all islands. This AIRMET will
likely continue through Thursday.

&&

.MARINE...
Surface high pressure northeast of the state drifts slowly west
resulting in fresh to strong easterly trades for all Hawaiian
waters through Thursday night. Winds are expected to ease
slightly Friday through Saturday as the ridge begins to weaken and
a broad trough approaches from the east. Guidance continues to
advertise light to gentle east-southeast winds Sunday night
through early next week as the trough moves closer to the area.
Small Craft Advisory conditions has been expanded to include all
waters through Thursday night. Seas will respond and become rough,
with some of the windier channels and waters exceeding the 10 ft
advisory level Thursday.

Surf along east facing shores will continue through the second
half of the week as the trades remain strong. Additionally,
expect some groundswell mixed in with 9-10 second periods for the
upcoming weekend from former Tropical Cyclone Irwin tracking
westward across the eastern Pacific. Surf heights should stay
below the 10 ft (faces) High Surf Advisory (HSA) criteria through
the peak of this event Thursday through Saturday. A downward trend
is expected Sunday into early next week as the trades weaken.

Surf along south facing shores will remain small through the
weekend as overlapping background level long-period southerly
pulses move through. For the extended, guidance is advertising a
south swell arriving next week (Monday night through midweek)
originating from an area of gales east of New Zealand. Expect a
late season event with heights potentially nearing the HSA level
during the peak late Tuesday through Wednesday.

Surf along exposed north and west facing shores will trend up
again this weekend as a small west-northwest (300-310 degree)
swell arrives. This will be in response to a storm-force low
(former TC Damrey) racing eastward toward the Date Line from Japan
over the past couple of days.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
The combination of dry fuels, strong and gusty winds and low
humidity levels will result in high fire danger and an the risk
for extreme fire behavior. The lowest humidity levels and
strongest winds are expected from mid morning Thursday through
late Thursday afternoon. During this time, any fires that start
will likely spread rapidly and be very difficult to control.
Outdoor burning should be avoided altogether until these critical
conditions end.

It is important to note that the winds for this event WILL NOT be
comparable in strength to the August 8, 2023 event, where wind
gusts of well over 60 mph were observed. The latest forecast for
Thursday is for trade winds of 15 to 30 mph with gusts of 40 to 50
mph, with the strongest wind gusts expected downwind / leeward of
the higher terrain on the islands of Maui County and the Big
Island.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 6 PM HST Thursday for Kauai Leeward-Oahu
South Shore-Waianae Coast-Oahu North Shore-Olomana-Central Oahu-
Waianae Mountains-Molokai Leeward-Lanai Makai-Lanai Mauka-Maui
Leeward West-Maui Central Valley-Leeward Haleakala-Kona-South
Big Island-Kohala-Big Island Interior.

Wind Advisory until 6 PM HST Thursday for Lanai Mauka-Kahoolawe-
Maui Leeward West-Kohala-Molokai Leeward South-Lanai Windward-
Lanai Leeward-Maui Central Valley North-Maui Central Valley
South-South Haleakala-Big Island Southeast-Big Island North.

Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM HST Friday for all Hawaiian
waters-

&&

DISCUSSION...Jelsema
AVIATION...Thomas
MARINE...Shigesato

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.

Wildfire, Big Island Southeast

When
August 31, 12:00 AM HST to 11:00 PM HST
Where
Big Island Southeast forecast zone
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue
Coordinates
19.602, -155.523 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A wildfire broke out near South Point on the Big Island.

What these are

Wildfire
A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Hawaii in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Hawaii, August 2023

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1122366.