An upper low and a cold front led to the development of showers and thunderstorms across North and Central Texas on October 24. A few storms developed in the morning as a lead disturbance moved overhead.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
An upper low and a cold front led to the development of showers and thunderstorms across North and Central Texas on October 24. A few storms developed in the morning as a lead disturbance moved overhead. Most storms occurred in the evening, however, as the front pushed through the area. A few of these storms became severe, producing both large hail and damaging winds.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 24, 5:10 AM CST, 3 hours earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 610 AM CDT Mon Oct 24 2022 ...New Short Term, Aviation... .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ Update: No wholesale changes have been made to the current forecast. Showers are ongoing across the SW to NE portions of the region, and will continue to move through North and Central Texas as a broad area of ascent on the eastward periphery of a trough across the western-central CONUS moves ever closer. The initial shortwave disturbance can be easily seen on water vapor satellite imagery, currently moving through New Mexico and far western Texas. This shortwave will bring us the first line of showers and storms late morning, ahead of the incoming cold front. With this first wave of convection, the severe threat is fairly low at this time as instability is meager. However, isolated damaging wind gusts will be possible with any more robust storm. The main show will be with the cold front that will move through over the afternoon and evening hours today. This round of showers and storms will have a greater chance for severe weather, mainly east of I-35. The main threat with any stronger to severe-caliber storm will be damaging wind gusts, though some hail and a couple tornadoes cannot be ruled out. Prater && Previous Discussion: /Through Tuesday Afternoon/ Bottom line: Multiple rounds of showers and storms will be possible over Monday into early Tuesday morning, culminating into the entrance of a line of showers and storms along an incoming cold front later in the day Monday. Some storms could become strong to severe, with the severe threat mainly in the evening hours in the southeast portion of the region. Thanks to the powerful upper trough over the western CONUS, warm air advection-induced showers are occurring, and will continue into early Monday morning. This will kick off the expected unsettled weather event. Temperatures on Monday will be a bit cooler than previous days, due to widespread cloud cover and precipitation. Morning lows will range in the 60s and 70s, with highs peaking in the 70s for most, with some areas out west and in Central Texas peaking into the low 80s. Over the late morning and afternoon hours on Monday, a shortwave disturbance and attendant surface low will enter the region, bringing another round of showers and storms across the region. This initial line of convection may foster strong to marginally severe storms, especially in the east and southeast portions of the region, where the atmosphere is more unstable. There will be a lull in convection between the initial shortwave disturbance and the actual surface low and cold front boundary in the late afternoon/early evening on Monday. The front will move through over the later afternoon and evening hours, and will encounter enough instability to foster some severe activity (especially once again out east and southeast), mainly along the front as it passes. The main threat with any strong to severe storm will be damaging winds, though some hail and a tornado or two cannot be ruled out. Make sure to have multiple ways to receive warnings and keep updated with the current weather conditions for your area! Behind the front, precipitation and cloud cover will lift quickly, with northwesterly flow behind the frontal boundary. As the surface low moves over North and Central Texas, gusty winds will continue over Tuesday as the tightened pressure gradient on the west side of the low moves overhead. Otherwise, expect a cool Tuesday with morning lows in the 40s and 50s, and highs in the mid 60s to low 70s. Prater && .LONG TERM... /Issued 338 AM CDT Mon Oct 24 2022/ /Tuesday Night and Beyond/ By Tuesday night, the upper-level low responsible for the unsettled weather early this week will be entering the Ohio River Valley well northeast of the FWD CWA. Light northerly surface flow will continue into Tuesday night, and in conjunction with mostly clear skies, efficient radiational cooling will allow for temperatures to fall into the 40s across North and Central Texas by Wednesday morning. Pressure falls in the lee of the Rockies will allow for increasing southerly surface winds to return to the forecast area by Wednesday afternoon continuing into Thursday. As zonal flow aloft takes over the upper-level synoptic pattern behind the upper-level low, pleasant weather with near-normal temperatures are expected during the middle portions of this week. Afternoon highs in the low to mid 70s are in the forecast for most of North and Central Texas both Wednesday and Thursday afternoon. A few readings near 80 degrees will be possible Thursday afternoon primarily in our Central Texas and Brazos Valley counties. The next feature of interest will be an upper-level low that will dig south towards Texas late Thursday bringing widespread rain chances toward the end of this week. GEFS and ECMWF ensemble members are in good agreement that the closed low will be located near the 4 Corners region of the Desert Southwest by Thursday midday. Beyond this time frame, model discrepancies begin to arise. The GFS suggests a more progressive solution with the bulk of the system entering North and Central Texas Thursday night and exiting East Texas by the end of the day Friday. The Euro solution is a bit slower with the bulk of the system entering the forecast area Friday with precipitation lingering into early Saturday. The position of the associated 850mb and surface low will be an important factor in determining the degree of moisture return. Current guidance tracks the 850mb and surface lows across the center of the CWA allowing for appreciable moisture transport into the forecast area noted by PWATs in the 1.2-1.4 inch range and surface dewpoints in the upper 50s and low 60s. A further south track may limit the northern extent of the greater moisture return, so continue to monitor the forecast for updates. Rainfall amounts with this event do not look overly impressive at the moment with totals generally under an inch, but any rainfall is beneficial with the ongoing drought conditions. Cold air advection will return to the region as an associated cold front pushes through the area and winds turn northerly Friday with the eastward progression of this system. Afternoon highs in the 60s are likely Friday and into the weekend. Langfeld && .AVIATION... /NEW/ Update: Expect a few hours of VFR and intermittent MVFR at the D10 sites this morning, before devolving once again to MVFR with continuing light rain. ACT will continue with MVFR cigs through the morning with light rain. Not much has changed with concern to the forecast below. Main changes are to adjust timing and lower visibilties a tad for the TEMPO lines at all sites. Have decided on 2SM TSRA from 18-20Z at the D10 sites with the initial line of storms. For ACT, higher confidence still remains with the actual front itself later today, so have gone with 2SM TSRA from 1-3Z. Current guidance has hastened the end of the convection at all sites, and have upped the end to around 5Z at all sites. Prater && Previous Discussion: /06Z TAF/ Gusty southerly winds will continue on over the course of the overnight and morning hours on Monday. Showers will be possible over all TAF sites through the early morning hours, ahead of an initial line of showers and storms expected to move through around 16-18Z. Higher confidence of TSRA and IFR vis at the D10 sites will be in the early afternoon hours (18-21Z), before a lull in precipitation over the early evening. Southerly winds will turn easterly behind this initial wave of convection ahead of an incoming cold front. The front will move through all sites around the early evening hours (25/0-3Z), where better chances for TSRA and IFR vis will occur at ACT between 1-3Z. Convection and MVFR cigs will lift quickly after the front passes, leaving behind northwesterly winds. Prater && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 75 52 70 48 74 / 100 70 0 0 0 Waco 80 52 75 44 78 / 90 60 0 0 0 Paris 75 51 65 44 70 / 100 80 5 0 0 Denton 75 47 70 42 74 / 90 80 0 0 0 McKinney 74 48 67 43 73 / 100 80 5 0 0 Dallas 75 51 70 48 74 / 100 70 0 0 0 Terrell 77 51 68 44 73 / 100 80 0 0 0 Corsicana 77 52 70 48 75 / 90 80 0 0 0 Temple 79 51 75 45 78 / 90 60 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 77 47 73 44 77 / 100 50 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 333 AM CDT Mon Oct 24 2022 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-250845- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 333 AM CDT Mon Oct 24 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. There is a slight chance of thunderstorms this morning west of the I-35 corridor. Isolated damaging wind gusts and lightning will be the primary hazard. Strong to severe storms will be possible Monday afternoon and evening mainly across eastern portions of North and Central Texas. Damaging winds are the main threat, though some hail and a couple of tornadoes cannot be ruled out at this time. In addition, periods of heavy rainfall may lead to isolated flash flooding. Storm chances will generally end late Monday night. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Another round of showers and storms is expected Thursday night into Friday. Severe weather appears unlikely at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
740 AM CDT Mon Oct 24 2022
TXZ100-115-241315-
Stephens TX-Young TX-
740 AM CDT Mon Oct 24 2022
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Young and Stephens
Counties through 815 AM CDT...
At 739 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Elbert to near Woodson to near Hubbard
Creek Reservoir. Movement was east at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Graham, Breckenridge, Olney, Lake Graham, Hubbard Creek Reservoir,
Necessity, Caddo, Crystal Falls, Lake Daniel, Possum Kingdom Lake,
Newcastle, Jean, Murray, Loving, Eliasville, Ivan, Padgett and South
Bend.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3296 9909 3296 9895 3340 9895 3339 9847
3295 9851 3295 9858 3257 9858 3271 9909
TIME...MOT...LOC 1239Z 284DEG 36KT 3334 9899 3306 9899 3281 9909
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
GordonThe Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 114 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 14:09 UTC.
13 thunderstorm wind, 5 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
Estimated winds of 50-60 mph were reported in northeast Jack County.
The Emergency Manager reported damage to buildings in and around Paradise. The damage consisted of garage door being blown in.
Spotter network report of 60 mph winds in Decatur.
A trained spotter reported half-dollar sized hail on Boy's Ranch Road in Bell County.
A public report indicated golf ball sized hail in Killeen.
A public report indicated quarter sized hail in Frisco.
A public report indicated half dollar sized hail in Harker Heights.
Thunderstorm winds caused damage to a property on Wolfridge Rd in far southwestern Bell County. Minor roof damage was observed in pictures, a tree was split and fell on a chicken coop, a large wood shed was shifted off its cinderblocks and one wall partially collapsed, and other heavy objects on the property were pushed into each other. Damage was also reported to surrounding properties.
A trained spotter reported wind gusts of 60 mph just south of Harker Heights, TX.
A public report indicated a 4-inch diameter tree snapped in half about 6 miles west of the Temple, TX Airport.
A public report indicated quarter sized hail in Morgan's Point resort.
The Automated Weather Observation System at the Temple, TX Airport measured a wind gust of 68 MPH.
A trained spotter reported several 4-inch diameter tree limbs blown down in Temple, TX.
Emergency management reported an outbuilding and a barn destroyed along NW CR 1180 between Barry and Corsicana, with scattered damage to power poles and tree limbs.
Emergency management reported plywood being blown through a bedroom window, casing minor cuts and scratches to the head and arm of one person. On the next door property, tree limbs were broken, and a barn sustained some damage.
Emergency management reported trees uprooted and snapped on Crescent Drive and Land Cove in Star Harbor, TX.
A trained spotter reported a tree down on a house and a power line down on North Archer Street near Groesbeck, TX.
A wind gust of 59 MPH was measured by the Automated Weather Observation System at the Palestine, TX Airport.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, October 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1061833, 1061835, 1061834, 1060570, 1060571, 1060572, 1060573, 1062041, 1060575, 1060577, 1060574, 1060576, 1060578, 1061427, 1061430, 1061431, 1061437, 1061438.