Even with an early onset to the Southwest Monsoon, drought conditions didn't see any improvement in June across Far West Texas.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
Even with an early onset to the Southwest Monsoon, drought conditions didn't see any improvement in June across Far West Texas.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 31, 10:21 PM MST, 1 hour 39 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 1121 PM MDT Tue May 31 2022 ...UPDATE FOR 06Z TAF CYCLE... .AVIATION...06Z TAF CYCLE VFR conditions can be expected through the TAF period with skies SKC. TCS may experience reduction to VIS due to haze/smoke from area wildfires during the early morning hours, not confident enough to put in TAF. Winds will remain light and somewhat variable or N/NW (E/NE for ELP) through the overnight hours between 4-8 knots. && .PREV DISCUSSION...253 PM MDT Tue May 31 2022... .SYNOPSIS... Warm and dry weather for one more day, then a pattern change Wednesday night will bring more moisture to the area. A backdoor coldfront will bring chances for wet thunderstorms to the Rio Grande Valley and eastward Thursday and Friday afternoon, with dry lightning chances west. Breezy east winds overnight, especially over the west slopes of higher terrain. Mild temperatures through the end of the week, with a warm and dry conditions returning this weekend. && .DISCUSSION... .SHORT TERM...Tonight and Wednesday... Broad troughing with southwest flow aloft will produce negligible lee troughing in central NM. At the surface, the pressure gradient is relaxed leading to light breezes this afternoon. Heading into the evening hours tonight, winds will become light and variable. A backdoor cold front will push it's way into the area early Wednesday morning bringing some much needed moisture along with it. Unfortunately, the moisture doesn't stay for long as dry, afternoon westerlies work to push moisture eastward. A slight chance for afternoon thunderstorms exists for far eastern Hudspeth county and the Sacs if the moisture can stay put just long enough. Otherwise, high pressure from the south will begin to dominate the area bringing warmer temperatures and another day with some light afternoon breeziness. && .LONG TERM...Wednesday night through Tuesday... Wednesday night, a ridge of high pressure over central north Mexico starts to build north and spill into southern NM and far west TX. As steering flow aloft weakens with the ridge, a surface coldfront that is hung up near the Sacramento Mountains will surge through the CWA overnight. This initialization of easterly winds will tap into more moisture to our southeast. Southwest to east winds will bring dewpoints of 30F to 40F all the way to the AZ/NM border, with 45F to 55F dewpoints in the Rio Grande Valley and eastward. This more moist airmass will hug the surface, with moisture only reaching up to 3,000 AGL. East winds will persist through the morning hours, keeping low clouds around Otero and Hudspeth counties. The upper level ridges orientation allows southwest winds aloft to organize over the western parts of the CWA (west of the continental divide). As mixing heights rise Thursday, winds near the surface west of the continental divide will veer west through the afternoon hours. These west winds will advect dry air near the surface, so any convection that started in the late morning has a veer good chance of falling as virga. This also introduces chances for dry lightning, especially in the higher terrain areas where convection has the best chances for starting before winds veer west. East of the continental divide, so including the Rio Grande Valley and areas east, will see much better chances for wet thunderstorms Thursday afternoon. Storm activity will depend on where skies can clear up, and if convection in the mountains can create outflow boundaries for storms in the lowlands to ride on. As of now, it is looking like garden variety thunderstorms forming where skies can clear and in higher terrain (the Sacramento or Organ Mountains). It wouldn't be surprising to see an isolated supercell or two, as there is some mid level shear in the environment to help organize storms. With the shallow moisture and dry air aloft, hail and stronger winds look to be the primary threat with stronger storms that do form. ECM/GFS/CMC ensembles want to keep PW values at or above 0.7 inches (with the mean around 1 inch). This would also indicate some potential for isolated heavy rain with thunderstorms that form east of the Rio Grande Valley (closer to the moisture source). However, the best chances for heavy rain are where low level clouds could persist through the day (Hudspeth and southern Otero) which would suppress chances for convection. Temperatures will stay cooler Thursday. As storms diminish overnight, east winds will surge again creating breezy west slope conditions. Early Thursday and Friday morning could bring some stratus and drizzle to the eastern side of the Sacramento Mountains with the nocturnal surges of the airmass. Friday, the ridge will persist in the morning allowing winds to remain easterly through midday. However an upper level shortwave will flatten out the ridge and strengthen westerly winds over the western part of the CWA. As mixing heights rise, those slightly stronger westerlies will try to push the moisture further east than Thursday. This will keep storm and moisture chances to areas east of the Rio Grande Valley. Chances will again depend on where skies can clear up in time for surface heating in these areas, but hazards remain similar to Thrusday just pushes farther east (Otero and Hudspeth counties). This weekend, stronger zonal winds will move over the area and act to dry the area out once again and return afternoon breezy west winds. As a ridge is hinted to build in early next week, temperatures are forecasted to return to above normal next weekend lasting through early next week. && .FIRE WEATHER... Somewhat light afternoon winds will continue again Wednesday and Thursday becoming breezy again starting Friday and through the weekend. A cold front will push into the area early Wednesday switching winds easterly and bringing some moisture with it. As such, far eastern counties will see minRHs in the upper-teens while much of the area sees single digit values. Thankfully, a push of moisture from the east will bring healthy minRHs on Thursday with areas east of the continental divide seeing values as much as 45%, but western areas still seeing 10 percent. A chance for isolated dry lightning will exist for areas along the Continental Divide and west, while a chance for wetting rains will occur eastward during the afternoon. Another push of moisture occurs again Friday morning from the east. However, by the weekend we become much drier with the return of elevated fire weather concerns. Ventilation rates will be very good to excellent Wednesday and through the weekend with the exception of Thursday seeing fair to good ventilation rates. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 67 100 66 92 / 0 0 0 20 Sierra Blanca 66 95 61 82 / 0 20 20 40 Las Cruces 61 98 61 94 / 0 0 0 10 Alamogordo 60 97 58 90 / 0 0 10 30 Cloudcroft 50 74 45 67 / 0 20 30 50 Truth or Consequences 61 95 60 91 / 0 0 0 30 Silver City 58 87 58 87 / 0 0 0 10 Deming 55 96 57 94 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 56 94 57 95 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 67 98 66 92 / 0 0 0 20 Dell City 61 97 57 82 / 0 20 30 40 Fort Hancock 64 102 61 92 / 0 0 10 40 Loma Linda 64 92 60 83 / 0 0 0 30 Fabens 64 101 64 93 / 0 0 0 30 Santa Teresa 61 97 61 92 / 0 0 0 20 White Sands HQ 69 97 67 90 / 0 0 0 30 Jornada Range 58 95 59 90 / 0 0 0 20 Hatch 58 96 59 94 / 0 0 0 20 Columbus 62 97 61 95 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 62 97 63 88 / 0 0 0 30 Mayhill 53 84 47 74 / 0 20 40 50 Mescalero 52 84 47 77 / 0 20 30 50 Timberon 56 82 51 73 / 0 20 20 40 Winston 50 89 48 85 / 0 0 0 20 Hillsboro 60 92 58 89 / 0 0 0 20 Spaceport 57 96 56 91 / 0 0 0 20 Lake Roberts 51 89 50 89 / 0 0 0 10 Hurley 54 92 54 91 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 43 96 42 96 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 53 88 53 90 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 58 91 57 89 / 0 0 0 10 Animas 55 95 56 96 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 56 95 56 95 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 57 95 57 96 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 57 90 58 92 / 0 0 0 0 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...None. TX...None. && 99/99/38
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 557 AM MDT Tue May 31 2022 NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-011200- Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range- Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley- Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel- Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin- Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes- Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley- Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin- West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet- Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet- East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa- Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County- Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin- Southern Hudspeth Highlands- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County- 557 AM MDT Tue May 31 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central New Mexico, southwest New Mexico, and southwest Texas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday Showers and thunderstorms will be possible Thursday afternoon mainly along and east of the Rio Grande Valley. Brief heavy rain, strong gusty winds, and hail will be the primary concerns with the strongest storms. Slight chance again on Friday for eastern Hudspeth county and the Sacramento mtns followed by dry, hot, and breezy conditions this weekend. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
The eastern half of the zone remained in Extreme(D3) drought while the west remained in Moderate(D1) drought.
The eastern half of the zone remained in Exceptional(D4) drought with the western half in Extreme(D3) drought conditions through the month of June.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, June 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1037955, 1037956.