There was a surface trough across portions of West Texas. An upper level disturbance moved over the area.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
There was a surface trough across portions of West Texas. An upper level disturbance moved over the area. These features helped to produce lift. There was a lot of moisture and instability across West Texas. There was also a low-level jet stream that developed after sunset and helped bring in more moisture. These conditions resulted in thunderstorms that produced severe wind gusts, wind damage, hail, and flash flooding from the Permian Basin south to the Big Bend.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 28, 1:39 PM CST, 2 hours 23 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 239 PM CDT Sun Aug 28 2022 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Monday night) Issued at 223 PM CDT Sun Aug 28 2022 ...Big Changes on the way for West Texas and Southeast New Mexico... WV imagery shows fairly zonal flow aloft over West Texas and Southeast New Mexico this afternoon, with an upper ridge over old Mexico. Area radars show convection already developing over the Davis Mountains, where mesoanalysis shows mucapes of 3000 J/kg or so, and no cap. Highs will top out in the 90s most locations this afternoon, w/ensembles suggesting that today may be the warmest day the rest of the year. Convection will keep developing this afternoon, from the Davis Mountains northeast as models bring a shortwave through the top of the ridge, w/best chances extending through the northwest Permian Basin. A 30kt LLJ is forecast to develop after sundown, and this, along w/ample cloud cover, will keep overnight lows well above normal. This LLJ will advect plentiful Gulf moisture into the area, w/70F dewpoints as far NW as KMAF by late Monday morning. Monday, the upper ridge is forecast to develop north into the southwest CONUS, putting West Texas and Southeast New Mexico under northeast flow aloft. Dewpoints will mix out a little during the day, but not much. Models bring a shortwave down the eastern periphery of the ridge, to Southeast New Mexico by 00Z Tuesday. This will send thicknesses down, shaving a couple of degrees off today's highs. CAMs develop convection first in the Davis Mountains, but also north over the South Plains as the shortwave and a cold front approach the CWA. Monday night, return flow surges ahead of the cold front, w/PWATs increasing to up to 2 std devs above normal in the Permian Basin. The NAM increases PWAT at KMAF to 1.8" by 06Z, which is off the climatological charts. NBM ramps up POPs significantly, but considering the shortwave and cold front, this does not seem unreasonable. This will set the stage for Tuesday, which looks to be the main event, the details of which are below. Lows will come down a few degrees Tuesday night, but will nevertheless remain above normal. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 223 PM CDT Sun Aug 28 2022 The beginning of the period starts with a setup we have been desperately looking for since August of last year. Guidance is in agreement on the s/w pinching off the longwave trough sweeping through the plains, cutting south over NM and establishing its presence as an inverted trough centered over E NM and W TX. The result is a prevailing NE flow with formidable moisture advection allowing for a deep layer moisture signature as noted by 12z GFS soundings across all zones, especially the Stockton/Marfa Plateau's and Permian Basin. Areal PWAT indices are forecast off the climatological scale meaning we are starring at a formidable rain event in our neck of the woods. With a strong agreement in the environment and evolution of the 700-500mb pattern, have brought PoPs up considerably with NBM agreement. Local QPF max over the Hwy 90 corridor is consistent with the current setup with 2-4" of rain not out of the question for those in that vicinity. Elsewhere, a widespread 1-3" of rainfall is increasingly likely given the environment and likely efficient rainfall processes within the rich moisture field. Scattered thunderstorms will be embedded within the overall rainfall axis as forecast soundings indicate enough instability within the mid- levels to produce some thunder. Highest rainfall chances will occur on Tue/Wed with a slow scaling back on Thu/Fri, although storm chances will continue to be >20% for a bulk of the forecast area. Temperature wise will trend below normal with widespread 70s and 80s likely the entire long term period. Given the high probability of cloud cover and precipitation, it would not take much for the current forecast to adjust down a bit further for portions of the Permian Basin and SE NM, so will monitor the trends to see if we need to adjust down further. Low temperatures will remain mild, albeit cooler than what we've had in previous weeks. Considering RHs around 65-70F, it will be tough to dip too far below normal, but it'll feel nice having some moisture for a change! && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1158 AM CDT Sun Aug 28 2022 VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours except in areas of direct convection, the chances of which are too low for a mention at any given terminal attm. However, forecast soundings and current mesoanalysis suggests a juicy AMS is in place, with a widespread cu field developing shortly, and again at most terminals near the end of the forecast period. Otherwise, light return flow will persist. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 75 95 71 83 / 20 30 60 80 Carlsbad 70 95 68 81 / 20 50 60 70 Dryden 74 94 74 84 / 20 20 40 80 Fort Stockton 73 94 70 80 / 20 40 50 80 Guadalupe Pass 68 86 63 74 / 30 50 50 70 Hobbs 70 93 68 79 / 30 50 70 80 Marfa 63 86 63 75 / 40 70 60 80 Midland Intl Airport 74 93 70 81 / 30 30 60 80 Odessa 74 93 71 80 / 40 30 60 80 Wink 74 94 70 82 / 30 40 60 80 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && SHORT TERM...44 LONG TERM....87 AVIATION...44
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 158 PM CDT Sun Aug 28 2022 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082- 270>282-291900- Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines- Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler- Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County- Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin- Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County- 158 PM CDT Sun Aug 28 2022 /1258 PM MDT Sun Aug 28 2022/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New Mexico, southwest Texas and western Texas. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Thunderstorms are possible, mainly from the Presidio Valley through the Davis Mountains to the northwest Permian Basin. Any storms that do develop will be accompanied by frequent lightning, small hail, gusty winds, and brief, heavy rainfall. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Thunderstorms are possible Monday through Friday. Widespread rainfall will occur on Tuesday and Wednesday with a heightened chance of flash flooding due to persistent rainfall. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in Midland, can be found on the internet at... https://weather.gov/midland
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
309 PM CDT Sun Aug 28 2022
TXZ075-082-279-282100-
Pecos TX-Terrell TX-Central Brewster County TX-
309 PM CDT Sun Aug 28 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of south central Pecos,
northeastern Brewster and west central Terrell Counties through 400
PM CDT...
At 308 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 26
miles northwest of Sanderson, moving east at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of south central
Pecos, northeastern Brewster and west central Terrell Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3019 10298 3038 10290 3041 10245 3011 10252
TIME...MOT...LOC 2008Z 273DEG 7KT 3035 10277
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
91Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
333 PM CDT Sun Aug 28 2022
TXZ277>279-282115-
Central Brewster County TX-Davis Mountains Foothills TX-
Davis Mountains TX-
333 PM CDT Sun Aug 28 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern
Brewster County through 415 PM CDT...
At 332 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Alpine, moving east at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Alpine and Alpine-Casparis Municipal Airport.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3029 10379 3041 10378 3050 10367 3053 10327
3017 10331
TIME...MOT...LOC 2032Z 275DEG 11KT 3038 10360
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
16Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
452 PM CDT Sun Aug 28 2022
TXZ279-282-282230-
Central Brewster County TX-Lower Brewster County TX-
452 PM CDT Sun Aug 28 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern
Brewster County through 530 PM CDT...
At 452 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Castolon, or 19 miles east of Lajitas, moving southeast at 5 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Castolon.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 2906 10343 2907 10345 2907 10347 2908 10347
2912 10351 2912 10352 2914 10353 2916 10357
2922 10358 2922 10339 2910 10322 2904 10343
TIME...MOT...LOC 2152Z 319DEG 6KT 2915 10347
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
91The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
4 thunderstorm wind, 1 heavy rain, 1 flash flood, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
A thunderstorm produced a 58 mph wind gust near Castolon.
Heavy rain fell north of Odessa. 1.20 inches of rain fell within 45 minutes.
A thunderstorm produced wind damage in Odessa, TX. Eight power poles were snapped at the base near the 1400 block of E 2nd Street in Odessa along Business 20. Wind speeds were estimated to be 95 mph based on the wind damage. The cost of damage is a very rough estimate.
A thunderstorm produced wind damage in Odessa, TX. There were multiple buildings with tin roof damage south of Business 20 near Dixie Boulevard. Wind speeds were estimated to be 85 mph based on the wind damage. The cost of damage is a very rough estimate.
Heavy rain resulted in flash flooding in Odessa. There were numerous vehicles stranded or stalled in high water across Odessa. Some intersections were completely inundated with water over one foot deep. The cost of damage is a very rough estimate.
A thunderstorm produced a 59 mph wind gust at the Coyanosa Mesonet site.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, August 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1047695, 1047727, 1047704, 1047714, 1047720, 1047724, 1047725.