There was an upper level low pressure system over Northern Mexico. A cold front was across the Permian Basin.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
There was an upper level low pressure system over Northern Mexico. A cold front was across the Permian Basin. These features brought an increase in lift across West Texas. High low-level moisture was in place. These conditions resulted in thunderstorms that produced high wind gusts in Brewster County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 17, 1:47 PM CST, 3 hours 21 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 247 PM CDT Wed Aug 17 2022 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Thursday night) Issued at 149 PM CDT Wed Aug 17 2022 As of this forecast issuance, a cold front has entered the N Permian Basin and is located along a line extending from HOB-MAF- ABI. It is not expected to progress much further this afternoon due to weak pressure rises behind it. Although it will provide a focus for scattered showers and thunderstorms for areas along and N of I- 20. Another source for lift will be the departing upper lvl low over N Chihuahua which will bring another round of showers and storms to portions of far West TX including the Guadalupe and Davis Mountains and adjacent foothills. These areas have seen heavy rainfall yesterday, so localized flooding will be of concern again today, especially with the higher PWATs in place. The aforementioned cold front is expected to advance further into the Basin after sunset, aided by ongoing convection across the TX South Plains. Latest high- res guidances shows this area of convection moving into SE New Mexico and the N Permian Basin overnight into early Thursday. By Thursday morning, the cold front will reach the Pecos River valley. Cooler temperatures are expected in the wake of this front with highs topping out in the 80s across the Permian Basin and SE New Mexico Thursday afternoon. Rain chances will increase throughout the day on Thursday, especially across the Permian Basin, so hopefully some areas will finally see some much needed rainfall! Scattered storms will also be possible again across the higher terrain of West TX. Showers and storms may linger into Thursday night with lows falling into the U60s/L70s. -Salerno && .LONG TERM... (Friday through Tuesday) Issued at 149 PM CDT Wed Aug 17 2022 More active upper pattern Friday with a broad upper trough over the eastern half of the country and a deep low over MN. An upper ridge along the Rockies will become centered over W TX/Nrn Mexico Friday as a trough over OR moves up the west side of the ridge. A trough extending from the deep low will swing across TX on Sunday. The region will be between a ridge over the west and a trough over the east Monday and Tuesday. Temperatures will be below normal Friday through the middle of next week as fronts move into the area Saturday and another one early Monday. Highs will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Lows in the 60s and 70s. Have broken out of the death ridge pattern and will have rain chances daily for the end of the week into next week. Fronts and outflow boundaries will become focus for storm development and will have upper support on Sunday. Have good moisture with dewpts in the 60s and even some 70s and MAF 12z sounding had PW over 1 inch. Will have a chance of showers and storms across the area Friday, while on Saturday and Sunday the higher elevations will be favored. On Monday the Permian Basin and Davis Mtns will have the best chance of rain with rain chances shifting south Tuesday. And on Wednesday the best pops will once again be west of the Pecos River so all parts of the area will have a shot at getting rain over the coming week. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1245 PM CDT Wed Aug 17 2022 Most terminals either have or will continue to see ceilings improve to VFR this afternoon after a brief period of MVFR. A weak cold front has stalled across the northern Permian Basin causing winds to shift out of the ENE at HOB and MAF. This front is expected to slowly advance towards the Pecos River late this evening. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening at most of the northern terminals. Will continue to monitor radar trends and amd as needed. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 72 87 70 89 / 30 50 40 40 Carlsbad 69 87 68 88 / 40 30 50 50 Dryden 72 91 71 94 / 10 20 20 30 Fort Stockton 69 91 69 88 / 10 20 20 40 Guadalupe Pass 65 78 64 80 / 30 30 30 50 Hobbs 68 84 66 86 / 50 50 50 40 Marfa 58 83 58 82 / 40 40 20 50 Midland Intl Airport 72 88 70 88 / 40 40 50 40 Odessa 74 88 72 89 / 40 40 50 40 Wink 72 90 70 89 / 30 30 40 40 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && SHORT TERM...24 LONG TERM....72 AVIATION...24
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 153 PM CDT Wed Aug 17 2022 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082- 270>282-181900- Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines- Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler- Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County- Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin- Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County- 153 PM CDT Wed Aug 17 2022 /1253 PM MDT Wed Aug 17 2022/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New Mexico, southwest Texas and western Texas. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Chance of thunderstorms mainly across the higher elevations and north of I-20. Locally heavy rain that could produce flash flooding will be the main concern. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Thunderstorm chances will continue each day through the weekend into next week. Flash flooding will be the main concern. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in Midland, can be found on the internet at... https://weather.gov/midland
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 thunderstorm wind, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
A thunderstorm produced a wind gust of 76 mph at the Castolon Mesonet site.
A thunderstorm produced a 68 mph wind gust at the Castolon Mesonet site.
A thunderstorm produced a 58 mph wind gust at the Castolon Mesonet site.
Heavy rain resulted in flash flooding in Brewster County. Route 16 and Old Maverick from the Maverick Entrance were closed due to the flooding. Rocks up to bowling ball sized were being removed. A couple of cars were stalled. The cost of damage is a very rough estimate.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, August 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1046739, 1046740, 1046741, 1046920.