The rainfall deficit across southeast of Puerto Rico resulted in the continuation of drought conditions, with Severe Drought (D2) across the southeast.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SJU wrote it up.
The rainfall deficit across southeast of Puerto Rico resulted in the continuation of drought conditions, with Severe Drought (D2) across the southeast.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 31, 9:40 PM AST, 2 hours 20 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Juan PR
940 PM AST Sun Jul 31 2022
.UPDATE...It was another evening with a strong, capping inversion
and only a very minor low-topped string of showers moved through
northeastern Puerto Rico this evening with traces in some
locations. Precipitable water values were similar to 24 hours
ago. The GFS is showing increasing moisture at 850 mb during the
next 24 hours and rainfall chances increase overnight and Monday.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR conds expected with brief passing -SHRA. Mtn
topping in the Luquillo range. Sfc VSBYs 10-15 miles in Saharan
dust. Sfc winds ENE 12 knots or less bcmg aft 01/13Z 12-18 kts
with gusts to 26 kt. Max winds E 25035 kt btwn FL074-240 and SW
20-30 kt btwn FL375-400.
&&
.MARINE...No changes to marine forecast or discussion. Next
tropical wave could bring small craft advisories next Sunday. The
rip current risk is decreasing, but will remain moderate for most
beaches after Monday until Sunday.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 545 PM AST Sun Jul 31 2022/
SYNOPSIS...
Generally fair weather conditions and hazy skies will remain for
early next week with above normal heat indices expected each
afternoon. A seasonal weather pattern is expected with limited
shower activity during the morning hours for the east and shower
activity during the afternoon hours for western Puerto Rico. Shower
and thunderstorm activity will increase by Tuesday and into
Wednesday due to a surface induced trough and further increase by
Saturday when a tropical waves crosses the forecast area. For
tonight, there will be a high rip current risk for the northwest
and north-central beaches of Puerto Rico.
SHORT TERM...Tonight through Tuesday...
Generally fair weather, hazy skies and high heat indices were the
main weather events today to end the month of July. Generally fair
weather was observed today with most shower activity in the forecast
area occurring during the afternoon hours in western/northwestern
Puerto Rico along with brief showers during the morning hours in
eastern/northern Puerto Rico. A Saharan Air Layer (SAL) currently
present in our region promoted hazy skies and should continue to
do so for tonight and most of the short term period. Precipitable
water values currently range from around 1.50 inches to around
1.60 inches, staying at or slightly below normal values for this
time of the year. Precipitable water values values should remain
from normal to slightly below normal for the rest of the short
term forecast period. A limited seasonal pattern will be observed
during at least through Monday with limited shower activity during
the overnight and early morning hours for eastern Puerto Rico and
shower activity during the afternoon hours over western Puerto
Rico due to diurnal and local effects. Models currently show cool
500mb temperatures of peaking at around -8C during Monday
afternoon, isolated thunderstorms are possible along with any
shower activity that could form during those hours over western
Puerto Rico. Heat indices of above 100 degrees Fahrenheit are
also posible on Monday, especially over northcentral and western
Puerto Rico. By late Monday and into Tuesday a surface induced
trough, promoted by a TUTT close to the area, will increase
moisture and possible shower activity and isolated thunderstorms,
especially on Tuesday afternoon through the end of the short term
period.
LONG TERM...Wednesday through Sunday...
FROM PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 504 AM AST Sun Jul 31 2022/
Based on the most recent model guidance, the weather scenario
expected in the long-term forecast cycle remains unchanged, with
the following features influencing the local weather conditions;
surface-induced trough through Wednesday, followed by a weak
tropical wave on Thursday, and yet another tropical wave on
Saturday into Sunday. Each feature will enhance shower and
possible thunderstorm activity across the area, producing
measurable rainfall. Still, it is not until the second and broader
tropical wave reaches the region, causing precipitable water
values to rise above 2.0 inches, that there may be a potential for
minor flooding. In the meantime, localized moderate to heavy rains
could lead to ponding of water on roadways and poorly drained
areas, even during periods with relatively drier air streaming
across the region. A high surface pressure meandering across the
north Atlantic Ocean will maintain a generally easterly wind flow
at 10-20 mph, but the above features will cause winds to vary
briefly in intensity and direction. Changes in the general wind
flow will also alter daytime maximum temperatures, but highs will
still peak into the upper 80s to around 90 degrees, with heat
indices into the lower to mid 100s each afternoon.
AVIATION...VFR conds expected. HZ is occurring but VIS is P6SM.
Winds from the east at 15-20KT with gusts through 31/22Z, gradually
decreasing thereafter to around 10KT through the night. VCSH/VCTS
possible near TJBQ between 31/18-21Z.
MARINE...Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds will maintain
choppy marine conditions. Marine conditions are forecast to
gradually improve over the next few days, but will remain choppy
for the offshore waters at least through tomorrow. For tonight,
there will be a high rip current risk for the northwest and
north-central beaches of Puerto Rico. A moderate risk will be in
effect for most other beaches of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin
islands, except for the beaches from southern Rincon to Boqueron,
which have a low risk of rip currents.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 79 91 79 90 / 30 30 30 50
STT 79 91 79 91 / 20 30 30 30
&&
.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...High Rip Current Risk through Monday afternoon for Northwest.
High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM AST Monday for North Central.
VI...None.
AM...None.
&&
SHORT TERM...WS
LONG TERM....MRR
PUBLIC DESK...LISPerspectivas sobre las Condiciones Peligrosas del Tiempo Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan PR 445 AM AST domingo 31 de julio de 2022 AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-010845- San Juan y Vecindad-Noreste-Sureste- Este Interior-Norte Central- Interior Central-Ponce y Vecindad-Noroeste-Oeste Interior-Mayaguez y Vecindad-Suroeste-Culebra-Vieques-Las aguas costeras cercanas y lejanas a la costa del Atlantico y del Caribe- 445 AM AST domingo 31 de julio de 2022 Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es para Puerto Rico y las aguas costeras adyacentes. .Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche .Tronadas...Existe el riesgo de observar tronadas con lluvias fuertes y rafagas de viento esta tarde a traves de sectores del oeste de Puerto Rico. .Inundaciones...Lluvias fuertes pueden ocasionar empozamiento de agua en las carreteras y en areas de poco drenaje. .Viento...Se esperan vientos sostenidos en exceso de 20 mph (17 nudos) a traves de las aguas locales y areas costeras. .Oleaje...Se espera oleaje picado de hasta 6 pies a traves de la mayoria de las aguas locales. .Corrientes marinas...Existe un riesgo alto de corrientes marinas para las playas a lo largo de la costa del Atlantico. .Fuego...Se espera peligro de fuego elevado a traves de las planicies costeras del sur. .Calor...Se esperan indices de calor por encima lo normal a traves de los sectores costeros durante la tarde. .Dias dos hasta el siete...lunes a sabado Corrientes marinas amenazantes a la vida continuaran durante la semana. Se esperan que indices de calor por encima de lo normal afecten las islas temprano esta semana. Se esperan condiciones ventosas y oleaje picado durante gran parte del periodo del pronostico. .Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores... No se anticipa la activacion de los observadores, sin embargo, alentamos a los observadores individuales a reportar cualquier informacion sobre inundaciones, vientos y corrientes marinas al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan. AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-010845- San Tomas, San John e Islas Adyacentes-Santa Cruz-Aguas cercanas del Atlantico y aguas costeras adyacentes del Caribe- 445 AM AST domingo 31 de julio de 2022 Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es para Islas Virgenes Estadounidenses y las aguas costeras adyacentes. .Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche .Viento...Se esperan vientos sostenidos en exceso de 20 mph (17 nudos) a traves de las areas costeras y aguas locales. .Oleaje...Se espera oleaje picado de hasta 6 pies a traves de la mayoria de las aguas locales. .Corrientes marinas...Existe un riesgo moderado de corrientes marinas para la mayoria de las playas. .Dias dos hasta el siete...lunes a sabado Corrientes marinas amenazantes a la vida son posibles todos los dias. Se esperan que indices de calor por encima de lo normal afecten las islas temprano esta semana. Se esperan condiciones ventosas y oleaje picado durante gran parte del periodo del pronostico. .Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores... No se anticipa la activacion de los observadores, sin embargo, alentamos a los observadores individuales a reportar cualquier informacion sobre inundaciones, vientos y corrientes marinas al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan.
3 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
The 28-day average streamflow from USGS river gauge network indicated some streamflows running below normal across eastern interior and southeast Puerto Rico. Although the drought is gradually improving, lingering effects are still causing water demands and stressed pastures, crops and native vegetation.
The 28-day average streamflow from USGS river gauge network indicated some streamflows running below normal across eastern interior and southeast Puerto Rico. Although the drought is gradually improving, lingering effects are still causing water demands and stressed pastures, crops and native vegetation.
The 28-day average streamflow from USGS river gauge network indicated some streamflows running below normal across eastern interior and southeast Puerto Rico. Although the drought is gradually improving, lingering effects are still causing water demands and stressed pastures, crops and native vegetation.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Puerto Rico in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Puerto Rico, August 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1045696, 1045697, 1045698.