An upper level disturbance moving through the Ohio Valley produced scattered thunderstorms during the late morning hours.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ILN wrote it up.
An upper level disturbance moving through the Ohio Valley produced scattered thunderstorms during the late morning hours.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wilmington, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 6, 8:49 AM EST, 1 hour 2 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 949 AM EDT Tue Sep 6 2022 .SYNOPSIS... Isolated to scattered showers and a stray storm will be possible today and Wednesday, but coverage in precipitation will be lower than previous days. The forecast favors dry conditions both Thursday and Friday before chances for showers and storms return for the weekend. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... Low stratus and fog continues to lift this morning as diurnal mixing has begun. The Dense Fog advisory has been cancelled with visibilities generally improving above a quarter mile in southern Ohio and Northern Kentucky. For the rest of today, a weak surface boundary will keep pushing south of the Ohio River allowing northerly surface flow to take over and surface high pressure to build in from the north. PWAT fields reflect slow drying of the atmospheric column thanks to northerly flow with drier air working south. Despite slowly receding PWATs, atmospheric moisture content remains anomalously high for early September and a weak upper level disturbance remains overhead. A slight chance/chance for showers/thunderstorms is still in the forecast through the afternoon thanks to the previously mentioned high moisture content and upper level disturbance in place. The best chance for showers/storms is southeast of I-71 this afternoon during peak heating. Precipitation coverage is not expected to be as great as the past few days due to drier air filtering in from the north and the upper level trough continuing to fill. Isolated pockets of heavy rain are possible, but overall flooding concerns continue to lessen thanks to lowering PWATs. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/... Models in favor of a dry forecast by the late evening hours, persisting through Tuesday night. Additional clearing can be expected as well, and with the light winds and saturated soils, fog development becomes possible once again. There remains just enough forcing from a shortwave trough moving through on Wednesday to keep a slight chance/chance of PoPs. Both SBCAPE and PWATs take a nosedive on Wednesday, with CAPE values struggling to increase above 200-300 J/kg and PWATs dropping to around 1.1-1.3" by the afternoon hours. This should limit thunder coverage, as well as the heavier rain rates with any shower that develops. Best chances for pcpn will be across portions of northern KY and the Scioto Valley. Locations near/NW of I-71 favored to remain dry. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... A drier period of weather is expected as we go through the end of the workweek. High pressure at the surface and aloft will extend across the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley Wednesday night into Thursday night. By Friday, the surface and mid level ridges will begin to shift east, allowing at least some low level moisture to return. However, the latest indications are that it will remain dry through Friday night. Lows will start out in the 50s both Thursday and Friday morning, then warm some into the 60s as clouds increase Friday night. Highs will warm from the upper 70s/lower 80s Thursday to the lower/mid 80s on Friday. As we head into the upcoming weekend, a mid level trough is poised to dig southeast from the northern Plains/south central Canada into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. At the same time, it appears this process will help pull a closed mid level low over the lower Mississippi River Valley north and merge its energy (phasing) with the digging mid level trough. This scenario will bring deep moisture back north into the region. In fact by Sunday, pwats may reach close to 2 inches again. While all this is happening, a cold front is expected to push east through the region sometime during the Sunday/Sunday night time frame. All in all, PoPs will be ramped up through the weekend (showers/a few storms) with the greatest chance occurring on Sunday. High temperatures will lower back into the 70s by Sunday with lows remaining warm in the 60s. For early next week, there is a good chance that the previous scenario will result in a closed mid level low across the region. How this all evolves and where and how fast the center of the low moves remains in question at this juncture. It could spell pcpn chances lingering into mid week along with cooler temperatures. && .AVIATION /14Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... Models continue to show a thick layer of low-level moisture in place through the morning hours, which will give way to continued CIG reductions. There will be gradual improvement from IFR/MVFR back into VFR category by the afternoon. By the early afternoon, most if not all terminals should improve to VFR. While a stray shower cannot be ruled out today, have kept out rain mention for all terminals with the exception of KCVG/KLUK where chances are slightly higher. Any shower that does develop today will have the capability of producing thunder as enough instability remains. Tuesday night, clouds thin out across the terminals, which will provide slightly better chances for vsby reductions, mainly at KLUK and KILN. Winds continue to remain near or below 5 kts through the period out of the north. OUTLOOK...MVFR/IFR CIGs and VSBYs possible at times through Wednesday. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && SYNOPSIS...Clark NEAR TERM...Campbell SHORT TERM...Clark LONG TERM...Hickman AVIATION...Clark
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wilmington OH 945 AM EDT Tue Sep 6 2022 INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046- 051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-071345- Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio- Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant- Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke- Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison- Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-Pickaway- Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown- Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto- 945 AM EDT Tue Sep 6 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana, Southeast Indiana, Northeast Kentucky, Northern Kentucky, Central Ohio, South Central Ohio, Southwest Ohio and West Central Ohio. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 15 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 14:48 UTC.
2 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Several trees were downed on Frazier Road, including a tree that fell on a house.
Several trees were downed along Jonesboro Road. A portion of a cornfield was also flattened.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Ohio in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Ohio, September 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1051771, 1051772.