The D3 Extreme to D4 Exceptional Drought status continued for far Southwest Nebraska. The worst of the drought remained over Hitchcock and Red Willow counties.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GLD wrote it up.
The D3 Extreme to D4 Exceptional Drought status continued for far Southwest Nebraska. The worst of the drought remained over Hitchcock and Red Willow counties. Precipitation for the month ranged from one to four inches, with the highest amounts occurring over Red Willow County. Precipitation was near normal to three inches above normal for the month.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 31, 10:59 PM CST, 1 hour 1 minute earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Goodland KS 1059 PM MDT Wed Aug 31 2022 .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday) Issued at 230 PM MDT Wed Aug 31 2022 Convection has initiated this afternoon in northeast Colorado along outflow from storms earlier in the day. This activity is expected to continue to move southeast and increase in coverage. Additional activity will develop across southwest Nebraska by early this evening, potentially merging with the earlier storms into a cluster that will move across northwest Kansas tonight. Latest HRRR seems to have captured the earlier development best, while the NAMnest continues to suggest more robust development associated with the main upper shortwave this evening. Either way, damaging wind gusts will be the primary hazard with high based storms and DCAPE values around 1500 j/kg persisting well into the evening. May also see some blowing dust with the background drought conditions. Deep layer shear of 30-35 kts will also aid in storm organization and would not totally rule out some isolated hail up to quarter size. The cluster of storms may persist into the overnight hours as it slowly moves southeast, though intensity will diminish by then with loss of surface heating. Low temperatures will be in the 50s and 60s. Northwest flow aloft continues on Thursday on the eastern side of the large ridge centered over the western CONUS. Some concern that a surface boundary may be lingering over southeast portion of the forecast area Thursday afternoon and act as a focus for at least isolated thunderstorm development. Presently, only the 18z NAMnest is showing initiation in that area, so confidence is low, but given MLCAPE around 1200 j/kg, DCAPE around 1500 j/kg and deep layer shear around 25 kts, if storms do manage to develop would again expect at least some risk for strong wind gusts. Further west in northeast Colorado during the afternoon, relative humidity will drop to near 15%, but wind speeds will be light. So, elevated fire weather conditions can be expected basically west of Highway 27 for a few hours Thursday afternoon. High temperatures will be in the mid 90s with low temperatures in the 50s and 60s. On Friday, a cold front associated with a disturbance moving across the northern plains will move through the forecast area. Despite the lack of support aloft, the western ridge is actually building over the area, the front should be enough for widely scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Confidence remains rather low in convective development, but once again wind would be the main hazard with a deeply mixed boundary layer should any storms develop. The front continues south Friday evening, which should end the chance for precipitation. Elevate fire weather conditions will develop once again west of Highway 25 as relative humidity drops into the teens, but with light winds not expecting critical conditions. Highs will be in the upper 90s and lows will be in the upper 50s. On Saturday, upper ridge begins to build across the Rockies. At the surface, will see post frontal east to southeast winds. The low level upslope will dampen the potential for warmer temperatures under the ridge, with highs expected around 90. Do not see any thunderstorm chances under the strengthening ridge. Lows Saturday night will be in the upper 50s. .LONG TERM...(Sunday through Wednesday) Issued at 1243 PM MDT Wed Aug 31 2022 For the long term period, forecast currently calls for dry conditions with near seasonable temperatures. May have a chance for a few storms around the beginning of the week. Throughout the long term period, the 500mb pattern remains roughly the same with a ridge across the Western CONUS with it amplifying out into the North-Central Plains. Meanwhile, a cut off low is forecasted to get stranded in the Southern CONUS around Texas before moving slowly off to the northeast around the mid part of the week. Ensembles show this general pattern with some variance in how much either feature amplifies and how they interact with each other later in the period. For the Tri-state area, this will leave us in a weak north-northwest flow pattern aloft which could allow for a few disturbances to move through the area. Near the surface, high pressure from a system earlier in the weekend is forecasted to push off to the east with a broad area of lower pressure setting up during the week. Moisture is forecasted to be lacking for most of the area, though there could be a surge of moisture from the south to begin the week. For Sunday, ensemble 850mb temps made me question whether temperatures could climb into the 90's. But with the surface high nearby, elected to keep temperatures near 90 which lines up with 850mb temps in the mid to upper 20's. Next week has more uncertainty with the potential paths of the features at 500mb and with a potential surge of moisture from the south. Around Monday or Tuesday, guidance suggests that moisture may advect in from the south across eastern portions of the area. This could keep temperatures cooler if cloud cover develops with temperatures remaining near 90. Otherwise, mid to upper 90's become more likely. The surge of moisture could also allow for storm development if a disturbance moves through the area. Currently do not have any forecasted due to current guidance showing more northerly flow aloft and the ridge axis extending to the western portion of the area. However, any flattening or shift west with the ridge could allow a disturbance through the area and trigger storms if the moisture advects into the area. && .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night) Issued at 1047 PM MDT Wed Aug 31 2022 The evening showers and thunderstorms will continue to move away from the MCK and GLD TAF sites through the early portion of the 06Z TAF period. High clouds will become scattered between 07-09Z with light south southwest winds turning more southerly after 16Z with clear to mostly clear skies through the remainder of the period at both locations. && .GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...NONE. CO...NONE. NE...NONE. && SHORT TERM...024 LONG TERM...KAK AVIATION...LOCKHART
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Goodland KS 246 PM MDT Wed Aug 31 2022 COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-012100- Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas- Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock- Red Willow- 246 PM MDT Wed Aug 31 2022 /346 PM CDT Wed Aug 31 2022/ This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska... northwest Kansas and east central Colorado. .DAY ONE...TODAY... Scattered thunderstorms will move across the area this afternoon and evening. The main hazards will damaging wind gusts to 70 mph along with blowing dust, though a few storms may produce hail up to quarter size as well. Storms will diminish later this evening, with no severe storms expected after midnight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... Isolated thunderstorms are possible both Thursday and Friday in the afternoon and evening hours. At this time, severe storms are not expected, though brief gusty winds will be possible near any thunderstorm that develops. Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions are possible Thursday and Friday afternoons, mainly along and west of the Colorado border, due to relative humidity as low as 15 percent. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be required.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
802 PM MDT WED AUG 31 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0744 PM TSTM WND GST 1 W KIT CARSON 38.76N 102.81W
08/31/2022 M53 MPH CHEYENNE CO MESONET
MESONET STATION UP729 0.5 W KIT CARSON
(UPR).
&&Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
816 PM MDT Wed Aug 31 2022
COZ090-091-KSZ001-013-010300-
Kit Carson County CO-Yuma County CO-Sherman KS-Cheyenne KS-
816 PM MDT Wed Aug 31 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Yuma
County in northeastern Colorado, northeastern Kit Carson County in
east central Colorado, southwestern Cheyenne and northwestern Sherman
Counties in northwestern Kansas through 900 PM MDT/1000 PM CDT/...
At 815 PM MDT/915 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 6 miles east of Bonny Reservoir, moving east at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 55 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southeastern Yuma
County in northeastern Colorado, northeastern Kit Carson County in
east central Colorado, southwestern Cheyenne and northwestern Sherman
Counties in northwestern Kansas, including the following locations...
Hale.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall with this storm may lead to localized flooding.
Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3953 10225 3976 10213 3972 10188 3969 10176
3943 10193 3942 10205
TIME...MOT...LOC 0215Z 284DEG 9KT 3963 10205
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
VincentPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
907 PM MDT WED AUG 31 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0902 PM TSTM WND GST 1 NNE GOODLAND 39.37N 101.70W
08/31/2022 M49 MPH SHERMAN KS ASOS
THE ASOS IN GOODLAND (KGLD) MEASURED A 43
KNOT (49 MPH) WIND GUST AT 0302 UTC.
&&
VINCENTSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
911 PM MDT Wed Aug 31 2022
KSZ013-014-010400-
Thomas KS-Sherman KS-
911 PM MDT Wed Aug 31 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Thomas
and northeastern Sherman Counties through 1000 PM MDT/1100 PM CDT/...
At 910 PM MDT/1010 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 10 miles northwest of Brewster, moving southeast at 10
mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph. Torrential rainfall.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Brewster.
This includes Interstate 70 in Kansas between mile markers 29 and 46.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall with this storm may lead to localized flooding.
Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3946 10164 3957 10146 3957 10130 3947 10122
3936 10120 3927 10145
TIME...MOT...LOC 0310Z 314DEG 7KT 3948 10150
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
VincentSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1041 PM CDT Wed Aug 31 2022
KSZ014-010430-
Thomas KS-
1041 PM CDT Wed Aug 31 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Thomas
County through 1130 PM CDT...
At 1041 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 6
miles northwest of Levant, moving east at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph. Torrential rainfall.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Levant and Colby.
This includes Interstate 70 in Kansas between mile markers 36 and 55.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall with this storm may lead to localized flooding.
Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3932 10139 3953 10139 3953 10101 3927 10103
TIME...MOT...LOC 0341Z 274DEG 11KT 3944 10129
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
VincentSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1114 PM CDT Wed Aug 31 2022
KSZ014-028-029-010500-
Gove KS-Thomas KS-Logan KS-
1114 PM CDT Wed Aug 31 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Thomas,
northeastern Logan and northwestern Gove Counties through MIDNIGHT
CDT...
At 1113 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 4
miles northwest of Oakley, moving south at 5 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 55 mph and torrential rainfall.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Oakley and Monument.
This includes Interstate 70 in Kansas between mile markers 66 and 80.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall with this storm may lead to localized flooding.
Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3905 10113 3926 10098 3921 10072 3898 10073
TIME...MOT...LOC 0413Z 013DEG 5KT 3917 10089
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
VincentThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
The precipitation for the month ranged from one to three inches. This was near normal to an inch above normal for the month. Normal precipitation ranges from one to two inches.
The precipitation for the month ranged from one to four inches. This was near normal to three inches above normal for the month. Normal precipitation ranges from one to two inches.
The precipitation for the month ranged from one to three inches. This was near normal to two inches above normal for the month. Normal precipitation ranges from one to two inches.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Nebraska in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Nebraska, September 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1057705, 1057706, 1057704.