m. m.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GID wrote it up.
Mainly between 10:30 p.m. CDT on Friday the 24th and 2 a.m. CDT on Saturday the 25th, a small but potent complex of strong to severe thunderstorms tracked from southwestern into east-central portions of South Central Nebraska, prompting a few instances of marginally-severe wind gusts. The brunt of this complex affected areas between Interstate 80 and the Nebraska-Kansas state line, where numerous measured gusts of 45-55 MPH occurred. A few gusts reached or exceeded severe limits before activity abruptly weakened over northern York/southern Polk counties. The peak measured gust of 63 MPH occurred at two spots, near Holbrook in Furnas County and near Atlanta in Phelps County.
West-southwesterly flow prevailed in the upper levels, as broad high pressure was in place over southern and eastern portions of the CONUS. To the northwest, an area of low pressure was sliding east into central Canada, with a trough axis extending south into the Rockies and eventually the Plains. At the surface, the local area had east-southeasterly winds in place, with a trough axis extending through western Nebraska and Kansas between weak areas of low pressure. With better forcing to the north and west and warm mid-level temperatures keeping things capped, the daytime and early-mid evening hours remained dry. Thunderstorms developed during the late afternoon hours along the surface trough axis over western Nebraska, eventually pushing east into South Central Nebraska after dark. Though the better upper level lift focused well to the north, an increasing low-level jet and warm air advection aided in sustaining this slightly elevated activity as it shifted east through portions of the local area. While mesoscale analysis showed most-unstable CAPE values exceeding 3000 J/kg, deep layer shear was rather weak, around 20-30 knots.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 24, 6:27 PM CST, 3 hours 27 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Hastings NE 727 PM CDT Fri Jun 24 2022 ...Short Term and Aviation Update... .UPDATE... Issued at 726 PM CDT Fri Jun 24 2022 Some of our latest thoughts regarding thunderstorm/severe storm trends: - Thus far, strong capping (evidenced by 700 millibar temps in the 12-14C range) has held any "true" afternoon convection at bay (other than a few showers/very weak storms earlier mainly east of Hwy 281 in Nebraska). Even the attempts at high-based storms barely south-southwest of our CWA (Hays KS area) have struggled mightily). - As fairly well captured by higher-res models (CAMS) such as 18Z NAMNest/22Z HRRR, the main "action" at this time is still well to our west over western NE up into SD along the greater low level convergence along a north-south oriented surface trough. - So, the million dollar question: what are WE in for tonight? Well, to be perfectly honest and reiterate/build upon the excellent previous afternoon discussion below...there are still some question marks. Putting as much faith in the CAMS as we dare, odds are fairly good that our entire CWA should largely remain storm-free through around 10 PM. - However, anytime beyond (roughly) 10 PM and lasting until (roughly) 2-3 AM we begin a window of opportunity for POSSIBLE severe storms, which if were to occur would primarily be a function of storms to our west merging into at least a broken (if not more solid) line, developing a decent cold pool and charging eastward into our CWA. This would mainly foster a wind threat, although any embedded supercell structure would perhaps foster a large hail threat as well. It's possible some more isolated activity or a separate storm complex could try going up ahead of anything moving in from the west, but given such warm air aloft overhead and also the nose of the low level jet aiming more into northeast NE versus our area, this possibility would appear more favored over the OAX CWA. - IN SUMMARY: It "appears" that strong capping will most likely "save" us from any true isolated daylight severe storm threat, but especially the 10PM-3AM time frame bears close watching for a possible severe storm threat in our CWA. As mentioned in the main discussion below however, nothing appears to be a "sure thing" tonight and we'll continue to closely monitor things as they evolve. && .DISCUSSION...(This evening through Friday) Issued at 415 PM CDT Fri Jun 24 2022 Main forecast concerns are chances for strong/severe thunderstorms within the next 12 hours. Summary: Tricky thunderstorm forecast in the short term has several ingredients are in place for severe weather, but not all. This results in a highly conditional and generally uncertain forecast in the first 12 hours, or so. Generally speaking, an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm could develop from the Tri-Cities north and east at any time this afternoon and evening...but the "best" chances for thunderstorms and severe weather will probably hold off until after sunset when a line of thunderstorms MAY move in from the west. Even this scenario, however, is uncertain as a layer of warm air aloft (capping) could prevent most thunderstorm activity, or at least the really strong stuff. A cold front will move through the area Saturday AM and bring us refreshing, breezy NW winds, drier air, and cooler temperatures for the weekend. Temperatures will steadily warm through next week, likely culminating with at least near-triple digit heat in about a week. Early indications are for cooler, but potentially active, pattern for the 4th of July weekend. Forecast Details: Low confidence forecast through tonight due to mixed hi-res guidance, somewhat messy sfc/mid level pattern, and warm mid level temperatures amidst weak forcing. Starting off aloft...area remains in "dirty" SW upper flow with obvious connection to a monsoonal moisture plume. A weakening, positively tilted shortwave trough stretches from W Dakotas SW to the Four Corners, with another stronger trough nosing S into MT. Appears the primary upper forcing will remain across the N Plains, but much like yesterday, at least one or two weak perturbations are likely to work through the area through tonight. These waves could be strong enough to support convection as early as this aftn/eve...as we're currently seeing from Doniphan to York...but capping in the H8 to H7 layer (as evident by 12-14C temps at H7 per latest SPC mesoanalysis) may very well be strong enough to prevent sfc-based activity altogether. However, IF a storm can breach the cap and become sfc based, the aftn/eve environment would support strong- severe convection with strong instability (MLCAPE 2-3K+ J/kg) and modest shear (0-6km bulk shear 25-30kt, supported by significant veering in lowest 3km) in place. Dew points in the low 70s amidst backed low level flow could, in theory, also produce an iso tornado. Again though, the eve tstm potential is VERY conditional and more than likely not going to pan out. Somewhat more likely, though still conditional and uncertain, is that convection develops and organizes along sfc trough over W Neb., then gradually shifts E this eve and overnight. The degree to which this activity can make it into our CWA will likely depend on cold pool development to our W this eve. IF a strong cold pool develops, then this activity will likely have a significant reservoir of strong MUCAPE to work with with temps in the 80s and dew points in the 70s. This scenario would be similar to earlier runs of HRRR and 12Z/18Z runs of NAMNest. However, if activity fails to organize a strong cold pool, then diurnal cooling and aforementioned warm mid level temps could prevent activity from even making it into the area altogether...similar to recent runs of the HRRR. So as mentioned above, run to run and model to model consistency amongst the hi-res guidance is lacking and contributing to low confidence. The main severe threat overnight would probably be damaging wind gusts if a line does indeed form, but large hail will also be possible, esp. with any convection that remains more cellular. The actual cold front will enter NW portions of the CWA around sunrise and quickly progress SE through the morning. The primary instability axis should set up S/SE of the area by Sat aftn, but at least minor elevated instability may persist further N along the elevated frontal slope that could support some iso to scat weak convection roughly along and S of the NE/KS state line through mid to late aftn. Severe weather is not expected on Sat in our area. NW winds will be pretty brzy immediately along and behind the front, with gusts 30-35 MPH possible for esp. south central Nebraska. The brzy NW winds will usher much drier, more comfortable air into the region, as well as cooler air. Highs on Sat will range from near 80F north, to mid 80s S, but lows Sat night will fall well into the 50s, for most, and perhaps even upper 40s far N/W. Sun looks to be the coolest of this forecast with highs only in the 70s, and lows Sun night again in the 50s. Mild, dry conditions, light winds, and plentiful sunshine should make Sun a very pleasant day for those looking for a break from hot/humid, and even Mon will be fairly nice, though a bit warmer. Temps become notably warmer on Tue with most areas returning to the 90s, before even hotter temps in the upper 90s to low 100s move in for Wed-Thu as upper ridging at least briefly amplifies over the central/southern Rockies and Plains. Early indications are that the ridge will break down and upper flow will turn zonal, or even NWrly, atop a stalling front in the low-levels somewhere over the Central Plains. Where exactly the front stalls out remains uncertain, but there's a chance it could be over or very close to the forecast area, which would result in cooler and fairly active conditions for the 4th of July holiday weekend. && .AVIATION...(For the 00Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 00Z Sunday) Issued at 726 PM CDT Fri Jun 24 2022 General overview: A tricky TAF period with regard to several elements including: thunderstorm potential (maybe severe?), timing of wind shifts and also possible low ceilings. Overall though, the majority of the period should prevail VFR ceiling/visibility and be precipitation- free. Read on for more element-by-element details. Thunderstorm potential: Although we are drawing closer to POSSIBLE thunderstorms, there is still some decent uncertainty in how things evolve. Do not have the confidence for any TEMPO groups yet (let alone prevailing thunder), but have confined a generic "vicinity thunderstorm" (VCTS) mention to what appears to be the most favored 4-hour time frames (04-08Z KEAR/06-10Z KGRI). IF storms roll in during this time, they could be severe, with gusts around 50KT being the main threat, along with brief heavy rain and a lesser threat of large hail. Cannot rule out at least a few showers/weaker storms beyond these most favored times, but the VCTS period should capture the main time frame of concern. Ceiling/visibility: Although confidence is very high in VFR for these first several hours this evening and also late in the period Saturday afternoon, the early morning through late morning hours are a big question mark, as at least a few sets of usually-reliable guidance are strongly suggesting perhaps several hours of MVFR ceiling (with brief IFR not out of the question). However, convection sometimes has a way of "messing up" low cloud forecasts this time of year, so opted against buying in to low ceilings wholesale just yet. However, did introduce prevailing MVFR ceiling for anywhere from 3-7 hours on Saturday morning. Stay tuned for plenty of adjustments here in later forecasts (possibly significant?). Winds: Compared to other TAF elements, this one carries higher confidence (at least outside of thunderstorm influences). Not accounting for any possible thunderstorm-enhanced outflow, these first several hours will feature fairly fairly light breezes, gradually shifting from east-southeasterly to north-northeasterly. Although passing storms could subsequently result in a period of highly variable direction/speed, a fairly strong cold front by summer standards will push through around sunrise, solidly switching winds to northerly through the entire latter half of the period (Saturday daytime). Sustained speeds will commonly average up to around 20KT/gusts 25-30KT before speeds start to slacken late afternoon. && .GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. KS...NONE. && UPDATE...Pfannkuch DISCUSSION...Thies AVIATION...Pfannkuch
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Hastings NE 756 PM CDT Fri Jun 24 2022 KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087- 251200- Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance- Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York- Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin- Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer- 756 PM CDT Fri Jun 24 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and portions of north central Kansas. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Mainly between 10 PM and 3 AM, there is the possibility that a line or broken line of strong to severe thunderstorms could move into the outlook area from west-to-east, with a lesser probability of more isolated activity developing out ahead of the main complex of storms. The greatest threat for possible severe storms tonight would favor Nebraska portions of the area, with lesser chances in Kansas. The main threats with any severe storms would be damaging winds mainly in the 60 to 70 MPH range, with a lesser threat of large hail up to around ping pong ball size. After 3 AM, the entire outlook area will still stand a small chance for spotty thunderstorm activity, but any of these very late night/early morning storms would be less likely to be severe. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Into at least a part of the daytime hours Saturday, spotty thunderstorm activity could linger within the outlook area, especially for locations south and southeast of a line from York to Alma Nebraska, and including north central Kansas. Although severe storms currently appear fairly unlikely, spotty instances of small hail and gusty winds cannot be ruled out. Beyond Saturday, our next thunderstorm chances do not arrive until Wednesday night and Thursday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report any damaging winds or hail that might occur this evening and overnight. && More information may be obtained at the following web page: https://www.weather.gov/hastings Pfannkuch
The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 140 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 03:53 UTC.
4 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A wind gust of 63 MPH was measured by a trained spotter located four miles west of Holbrook.
A wind gust of 63 MPH was measured by a mesonet station located six miles west-northwest of Atlanta.
A wind gust of 58 MPH was measured by the Hastings Airport ASOS.
Wind gusts were estimated to be near 60 MPH.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Nebraska in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Nebraska, June 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1032874, 1032877, 1032883, 1032884.