A cold front was stalling in northern Mississippi on the morning of the 13th. Storms began to develop ahead of the boundary across central Mississippi around midday and were moving southward towards the local area.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LIX wrote it up.
A cold front was stalling in northern Mississippi on the morning of the 13th. Storms began to develop ahead of the boundary across central Mississippi around midday and were moving southward towards the local area. As they approached southwest Mississippi, the storms intensified as a result of entering a region of ample instability. The resultant squall-line produced damaging winds across Pike County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS New Orleans, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 13, 6:01 PM CST, 2 hours 14 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New Orleans LA 701 PM CDT Wed Jul 13 2022 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM (This afternoon through Thursday Night)... Branching off this morning's update focusing in on this afternoon/evening, we will continue to see convective initiation across portions of the I-10/12 corridor south into SE LA through the rest of today. Location and propagation will be determined by small- scale boundary interactions likely from the northward surging boundary reaching the Northshore, as well as lake breeze boundary development as seen my GOES-16 VIS. Main threats will remain to be localized flooding from these interactions, with slow but somewhat progressive WSW to SW mean storm motion. However, due to relatively weak mean storm motion, training/backward propagation could be possible leading to flash flooding in some areas especially within complex boundary interactions. Main focus will remain across the central portions of the CWA or along/near I-10/12 along the leading edge of deeper tropospheric moisture and a differential heating boundary from a cirrus canopy over coastal SE LA to coastal MS. This, coinciding with mid-level vorticity /upper-level deformation all supportive of convection to persist into the evening hours. Recent mesoanalysis trends illustrate DCAPE surpassing 1000-1100J/kg already extending from the Atchafalaya Basin, ENE across the MS coast as mid-level dry air continues to bleed south. As isolated/scattered convection develops later today, any locally stronger updrafts tapping into this dry layer will lead to evaporative cooling/downward transport causing a wet microbursts potential. At this time, winds should remain sub- severe but can't rule out stronger (40-50mph) isolated gusts from any stronger storms (also given THI in the mid/upper 30's). Will be monitoring upstream convection as well this evening, as a remnant outflow boundary will continue to ignite messy convection across central MS/AL. Mean storm flow will be from the north, meaning if any convection becomes deep enough to develop cold pooling (which could be likely given the proximity of environmental dry air and downward transport potential), they could drift south close to or within our northern areas. CAM's do not have storms entering our CWA as we lose diurnal support later, but cold pooling could continue southward propagation into atleast SW MS/Florida Parishes this evening so might be something to watch. Otherwise, turning dry tonight. Going into Thursday, recent thoughts have been on the potential or a weak frontal boundary to make it's way south. However, not seeing a clear enough indication of an actual defined boundary to call it much of a front. The main focus will be the slow/steady return of a corridor of deeper tropospheric moisture/association dynamic ascent drifting north across the CWA. However, in the mean time mid-level flow transitions more out of the north helping to amplify upper-level deformation owing in greater dynamic lift potential. One plausible solution came out of the 12Z HRRR today which follows suit with this steady environmental transition, illustrating more widespread coverage and the potential for small cold-pool driven storm clusters to dive south throughout the day. One thing to also closely watch will be how this re-enforcing mid-level northerly push of dry air penetrates into our area within developing convection leading to a slight uptick in strong (sub-severe) wind gust potential. Hard to say as CAM's continue to struggle overall, but will be worth monitoring. However, storm motions largely collapse within an equilibrium of vertical winds aloft meaning any propagation would be confided to local boundary surges but again, complex interactions may likely lead to training and given the northward surge of PW's (in the 2.1-2.3" range), intense rain rates will become a heightened concern leading to a localized flash flooding risk with again most activity coming to an end in the evening hours. KLG .LONG TERM (Friday through Wednesday)... Mid-level dry air tries to take over a bit more into the CWA on Friday as we reside on the southeastern periphery of a deep, strong western US ridge closed off over the four-corners region. This will create yet another tight corridor of high PW's along central/coastal portions of the CWA to slightly drier air up north. Question again will be how far this drier air bleeds south to entrain into afternoon pop-up convection but overall, seeing a similar day compared to Thursday with the same risks for flash flooding persisting along with occasionally gusty winds in any stronger storms. Going into the weekend, a strong upper-level low over the Bahamas will continue drifting NW across the Florida Atlantic coast with northwesterly flow persisting across the northern Gulf states. Will have to monitor several mid-level impulses riding along the outer periphery of the ridge from the north/central Plains, southeast into the Mid MS valley potentially getting into the SE US. Hard to determine where eventual impulses/clusters or complex's of storms will end up, but will be something to monitor outside of daily pop-up storm chances. This aforementioned upper-low near Florida continues to drift northwest into a region of mid-level weakness over the SE US, with a slow/steady weakening trend overall but still may support an uptick in rain chances going into next week. Hard to pinpoint individual threats, but if you are not tired of the rain then you are in good luck because we'll keep this summertime shower/storm chances going for atleast the next 7 days. KLG && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 653 PM CDT Wed Jul 13 2022 VFR conditions are expected for most terminals outside of thunderstorm or fog issues (for MCB primarily). The northern terminals do have a secondary threat of thunderstorms tonight due to some scattered cells moving into SW Mississippi and then SE Louisiana in the next few hours. There is some uncertainty on how far south these storms will be able to reach, so will amend tempo groups as necessary. -BL && .MARINE... Ongoing widespread shower/storm chances will persist through late week, into the weekend and into early next week, with greater convective coverage in the overnight to morning hours each day. Main threats in any one storm will continue to be gusty, erratic downdraft winds leading to locally enhanced waves/seas, waterspouts and dangerous lightning. Winds outside of showers/storms will remain light to occasionally breezy at around 5-10kt with seas 1-3ft. KLG && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MCB 73 89 71 90 / 40 70 30 60 BTR 75 90 73 91 / 30 80 30 70 ASD 75 90 73 90 / 30 90 50 80 MSY 77 88 76 88 / 40 90 50 80 GPT 75 88 75 88 / 40 80 60 80 PQL 75 87 74 87 / 40 80 60 80 && .LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. MS...None. GM...None. &&
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
621 PM CDT Wed Jul 13 2022
LAZ034>036-047-048-132345-
East Feliciana LA-Pointe Coupee LA-West Baton Rouge LA-
East Baton Rouge LA-West Feliciana LA-
621 PM CDT Wed Jul 13 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern West
Feliciana, north central West Baton Rouge, east central Pointe
Coupee, southwestern East Feliciana and northwestern East Baton Rouge
Parishes through 645 PM CDT...
At 620 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Zachary, moving northwest at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Zachary, Baker, New Roads, St. Francisville and Slaughter.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3067 9111 3055 9121 3066 9149 3087 9129
TIME...MOT...LOC 2320Z 129DEG 10KT 3065 9123
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
PGSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
708 PM CDT Wed Jul 13 2022
MSZ071-140045-
Walthall MS-
708 PM CDT Wed Jul 13 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern
Walthall County through 745 PM CDT...
At 707 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Holly Springs, or near Kokomo. This storm was nearly stationary.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Salem.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3133 9008 3133 9004 3120 9004 3124 9017
3135 9015 3135 9011
TIME...MOT...LOC 0007Z 199DEG 4KT 3129 9005
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
PGSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
805 PM CDT Wed Jul 13 2022
LAZ039-071-079-MSZ070-071-077-080-081-140200-
Washington LA-Northern St. Tammany LA-Northern Tangipahoa LA-Pike MS-
Walthall MS-Harrison MS-Hancock MS-Pearl River MS-
805 PM CDT Wed Jul 13 2022
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of north central St.
Tammany, northeastern Tangipahoa and Washington Parishes, Walthall,
southeastern Pike, northwestern Harrison, northern Hancock and Pearl
River Counties through 900 PM CDT...
At 804 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Salem to Sandy Hook to 7 miles west of
Maxie to near McLain. Movement was southwest at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Bogalusa, Picayune, Franklinton, Poplarville, Tylertown, Varnado,
Sun, Enon, Crossroads, Mount Herman, Saucier, Bush, Salem, Dexter,
Mcneil and Angie.
This includes Interstate 59 in Mississippi between mile markers 4 and
42.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3133 9004 3118 9003 3114 9000 3113 8994
3107 8992 3107 8984 3100 8983 3101 8951
3098 8943 3101 8942 3101 8935 3065 8934
3065 8925 3068 8924 3067 8890 3049 8961
3059 9007 3094 9050 3135 9016 3135 9011
TIME...MOT...LOC 0104Z 028DEG 23KT 3131 9009 3105 8978 3095 8933 3109
8878
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
PGSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
836 PM CDT Wed Jul 13 2022
MSZ069>071-140200-
Pike MS-Walthall MS-Amite MS-
836 PM CDT Wed Jul 13 2022
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northwestern
Walthall, Pike and southeastern Amite Counties through 900 PM CDT...
At 836 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Topeka to near Summit. Movement was south
at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Mccomb, Magnolia, Summit and Mccomb Airport.
This includes Interstate 55 in Mississippi between mile markers 7 and
24.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3135 9009 3133 9008 3133 9005 3128 9004
3103 9062 3135 9053
TIME...MOT...LOC 0136Z 003DEG 14KT 3147 9018 3135 9046
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
PGSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
859 PM CDT Wed Jul 13 2022
LAZ034>037-039-071-076-079>081-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-140300-
Central Tangipahoa LA-East Feliciana LA-Pointe Coupee LA-
Southwestern St. Tammany LA-West Feliciana LA-Washington LA-
Southeast St. Tammany LA-Northern St. Tammany LA-St. Helena LA-
Northern Tangipahoa LA-Wilkinson MS-Jackson MS-Amite MS-
Pearl River MS-Pike MS-Walthall MS-Harrison MS-Hancock MS-
859 PM CDT Wed Jul 13 2022
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of West Feliciana, north
central Pointe Coupee, St. Tammany, St. Helena, East Feliciana,
northern Tangipahoa and Washington Parishes, southwestern Walthall,
southern Pike, Wilkinson, Amite, Harrison, Hancock, western Jackson
and southern Pearl River Counties through 1000 PM CDT...
At 859 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Dolorosa to 6 miles south of Smithdale to
near Magnolia to near Bogalusa to near Mcneil to near McHenry to 10
miles southwest of Lucedale. Movement was south at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Gulfport, Biloxi, Slidell, Ocean Springs, Long Beach, Mccomb,
Bogalusa, Picayune, Covington, Waveland, Franklinton, Jackson, St.
Francisville, Clinton, Liberty, Greensburg, Amite, St. Martin,
Diamondhead and D'iberville.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3119 9035 3070 8952 3071 8934 3065 8925
3074 8866 3042 8869 3038 8880 3043 8899
3042 8901 3037 8882 3039 8900 3030 8927
3037 8935 3018 8945 3017 8965 3065 9047
3077 9081 3076 9159 3130 9138 3130 9069
TIME...MOT...LOC 0159Z 011DEG 21KT 3125 9132 3125 9071 3114 9037 3084
8992 3065 8954 3068 8912 3084 8873
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
PGThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Law enforcement reported multiple locations across the county with trees and power lines down.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Mississippi in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Mississippi, July 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1043535.