An amplified and vigorous upper level pattern pushed several weak disturbances northeast across the region during the overnight and early morning of May 30th. With ample elevated instability on the order of 2000-2500 J/kg available and effective shear of 35 to 45 knots, storms became severe across south central South Dakota and north central Nebraska and organized into a large scale QLCS as it…
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FSD wrote it up.
An amplified and vigorous upper level pattern pushed several weak disturbances northeast across the region during the overnight and early morning of May 30th. With ample elevated instability on the order of 2000-2500 J/kg available and effective shear of 35 to 45 knots, storms became severe across south central South Dakota and north central Nebraska and organized into a large scale QLCS as it moved east and northeast into Minnesota and Iowa late night. Several QLCS tornadoes developed from the Sioux Falls area eastward. Widespread winds of 60 to 90 mph caused scattered tree damage, with isolated pockets of more significant structural damage. Presidential Disaster Declarations were granted to Lyon, Rock, and Nobles Counties in Minnesota for damages to public infrastructure.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Sioux Falls, SD wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 29, 11:18 PM CST, 1 hour 57 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD 1218 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022 .SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Monday) Issued at 220 PM CDT Sun May 29 2022 The main concerns center around the severe weather threat over roughly the next 36 hours. The driving force behind this continued threat for severe weather is an upper level low pressure that is expected to deepen over the central and northern Rockies tonight, then drift into central SD and northeast ND through Monday night. This will aid in backing the low to mid level flow through Monday afternoon which will keep instability in place through this period. Thunderstorm development is still expected to occur later, likely 7- 9pm for the initial development. Capping is just too strong with the thick mid level deck of clouds. There will be a small window before we decouple after sunset when a few very strong updrafts could develop, likely near northeast NE into southeast SD. CAPE values around 2500 J/kg will be likely with a strong and balanced shear profile from about 900 mb to 200 mb. The lowest few hundred feet may see questionable shear but if a few supercells can develop they would likely be able to sort of create their own environment to some extent, thus leading to the potential for a couple of tornadoes. Along with this threat will come a chance for hail to around tennis ball size and wind gusts to 70 mph with a nice pool of dry air from 700 mb to 500 mb. After the initial development in the area between about 0-3z timing become very difficult with strong southwest flow aloft and frequent pieces of energy wrapping northward. It does look like after about 9z much of northwest IA, northeast NE and far southeast SD will see much more isolated activity as a stronger piece of energy wraps north. So for now leaning towards the highest severe potential from about 1z to 9z. Monday will be a very interesting and potentially dangerous severe weather day. In the morning stronger backed flow in the low levels will likely drive shower and thunderstorm development in central SD. While shear is not very impressive there will be plenty of elevated instability to support a few hailers near and west of the James River through the morning. Near and shortly after 18z the low continues to deepen and lift north which will swing the dry slot northeast and significantly increase shear. With such strong forcing we may not need to wait until late afternoon to break the cap and significant updrafts could begin to develop as early as 17-18z, depending mostly on the timing of the low lifting north. With the combination of CAPE values near 2000 J/kg and deep, strong shear updrafts should rotate pretty quickly and a few tornadoes will be possible. Not out of the question to see a stronger tornado with the higher threat of this near and east of Interstate 29. The next 36 hours will definitely be an important time to keep up to date on the weather. Outside of the severe threat far eastern SD, southwest MN and northwest IA may need a wind advisory with very strong winds in the lowest 1 to 1.5 km. Gusts may be around 45 mph at times. .LONG TERM...(Monday Night through Sunday) Issued at 220 PM CDT Sun May 29 2022 Monday night should see the severe threat diminish pretty quickly with parts of northwest IA remaining in some more unstable air potentially through mid evening. Otherwise a strong and deep westerly flow will develop and usher in some cooler conditions. Lows likely in the 50s. Tuesday will see smaller chances for showers near highway 14 mainly in the morning. Otherwise breezy conditions with gusts around 25 mph through the day. Wednesday into next weekend still showing a cooler pattern with mostly below normal temperatures and only smaller chances for showers and thunderstorms. The warmest day looks to be Friday as deeper westerly flow develops. This may be the only day above normal through this period. && .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night) Issued at 1217 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022 Latest radar imagery shows showers and storms blossoming across the region ahead of an advancing upper level low. As alluded to in the previous discussion, believe the best chances for seeing impacts remain during the 7-11z timeframe, with any thunderstorm capable of causing cigs and vsbys to briefly be reduced to MVFR levels. Outside of any thunderstorm, should see VFR conditions largely prevail. Will likely see a lull in activity near daybreak through mid- morning, with yet another round of showers and storms possible late tomorrow morning through afternoon. However, confidence in exact timing and location still remain rather low, as development will largely depend on the track of the upper level low tonight. So, have opted to only include mention in PROB30 group for the time being. Aside from this, look for SE/S winds to quickly increase after daybreak, with gusts between 30 to 40 KT possible through the evening. && .FSD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... SD...NONE. MN...NONE. IA...NONE. NE...NONE. && SHORT TERM...08 LONG TERM...08 AVIATION...SST
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD 910 PM CDT Sun May 29 2022 IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097- 098-NEZ013-014-SDZ038>040-050-052>071-310215- Lyon-Osceola-Dickinson-Sioux-O'Brien-Clay-Plymouth-Cherokee- Buena Vista-Woodbury-Ida-Lincoln-Murray-Cottonwood-Nobles-Jackson- Pipestone-Rock-Dixon-Dakota-Beadle-Kingsbury-Brookings-Gregory- Jerauld-Sanborn-Miner-Lake-Moody-Brule-Aurora-Davison-Hanson- McCook-Minnehaha-Charles Mix-Douglas-Hutchinson-Turner-Bon Homme- Yankton-Union- 910 PM CDT Sun May 29 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Iowa, west central Iowa, southwest Minnesota, northeast Nebraska, central South Dakota, east central South Dakota, south central South Dakota, and southeast South Dakota. .DAY ONE...Tonight Another round of strong to severe thunderstorms is expected to impact the area during the overnight period. While exact location details are uncertain, it appears that storms will be capable of producing hail up to tennis ball size and wind gusts to 70 mph. In addition to this, can't rule out the possibility of seeing a few isolated tornadoes occur. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday Yet another round of strong to severe storms remains likely for Monday afternoon and evening. Specific timing and location details are uncertain, though this activity is more likely to develop earlier in the day, with the threat diminishing by midnight Monday night. All modes of severe weather are possible, including a few tornadoes, very large hail, damaging winds, and perhaps localized flash flooding. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 32 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 07:14 UTC.
23 thunderstorm wind, 1 tornado. Local standard time, as filed.
A large tree limb was snapped by thunderstorm wind gusts.
A thunderstorm wind gust of 70 mph was measured by the Minnesota Road Weather Information System site MN005 1 mile west-southwest of Beaver Creek.
Concrete silo collapsed due to thunderstorm winds.
Roof panels were torn off a hog barn by thunderstorm winds.
Thunderstorm winds downed a concrete silo, damaged numerous outbuildings, and snapped several trees.
Large trees downed by thunderstorm winds.
Thunderstorm winds downed several trees.
One-half dozen large pine trees were snapped off, as well as a large deciduous tree uprooted, by strong thunderstorm wind gusts.
Several power poles were blown down by thunderstorm winds.
A tornado developed 4 miles north-northeast of Ellsworth, just south of 290th Street west of Chaney Avenue, and tracked eastward around one-half mile before dissipating. Damage was limited to a tree line where several trees were snapped and gnarled. The estimated maximum wind speed was 72 mph and the average path width was 50 yards.
A business in Rushmore lost its roof. Large limbs on nearby trees were also broken.
Several large tree branches were snapped off by thunderstorm winds at Sillerud Lutheran Church.
Thunderstorm winds downed a concrete silo and removed several large tree branches.
Trees downed in Garvin County Park by strong thunderstorm winds.
Thunderstorm winds downed trees in Camden State Park.
Thunderstorm winds damaged the roof of a laundromat.
A thunderstorm wind gust of 68 mph was measured by the Automated Weather Observing System site KOTG 2 miles east-northeast of Worthington.
Trees downed by strong thunderstorm winds.
A thunderstorm wind gust of 66 mph was measured by the Automated Weather Observing System site KMML 1 mile west of Marshall.
Shingles were removed from a house by thunderstorm winds in the southwest part of Marshall.
Thunderstorm winds uprooted two large trees.
Thunderstorm winds damaged the grain elevator and several roofs in Cottonwood. Trees and powerlines also down.
A thunderstorm wind gust to 82 mph was measured by a personal weather station northwest of Cottonwood.
Numerous 3 inch tree limbs were broken off by thunderstorm winds.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Minnesota in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for Minnesota, 2022Warnings in Minnesota, May 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1032536, 1032462, 1033091, 1033092, 1033093, 1033086, 1033088, 1032537, 1033095, 1032526, 1038044, 1033114, 1033115, 1033099, 1033103, 1033111, 1032463, 1033108, 1032464, 1032466, 1032469, 1033106, 1032471, 1032473.