Scattered severe thunderstorms associated with a surface trough produced damaging winds across portions of the Lower Maryland Eastern Shore.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS AKQ wrote it up.
Scattered severe thunderstorms associated with a surface trough produced damaging winds across portions of the Lower Maryland Eastern Shore.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 12, 6:48 PM EST, 1 hour 35 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 748 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022 .SYNOPSIS... Cold front will drop into the area tonight before stalling and remaining in place across the southeastern CWA for most of the week. Expect shower and thunderstorm chances to persist each day, with the best chances being along and southeast of the frontal boundary. Passing shortwaves will create additional storm chances for the weekend. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/... As of 245 PM EDT Tuesday... Surface analysis shows a cold front moving into the western PA/WV region with high pressure sliding offshore to our northeast. Conditions are noticeably more hot and humid today than 24 hours ago, with temperatures in the upper 80s to lower 90s across most of the area. Dewpoints have risen into the low to mid 70s, with PWATs gradually rising. A cluster of storms has formed ahead of the front in north-central WV and extreme western MD. Hi-res models continue to show scattered storms after 4-5pm. The question is how far south and east do these storms develop and track. Without any large-scale south of lift locally, the storms will depend on the daytime heating, muggy conditions, and outflow boundaries to get going. Because of that, it may take longer to see any convection move into our CWA. CAMs have trended all day towards far northern locations like Caroline, northern Louisa, the Northern Neck, and the Maryland Eastern Shore being the favored areas to see storms this evening. CAPE is generally around 2000-2500 J/kg with slightly higher values across southeastern Maryland. Shear isn't that great, though there is a bit north of I-64 towards northern VA. SPC has our far northern counties in a Slight Risk for severe weather, with strong damaging winds being the main threat. Some isolated hail can't be ruled out in any stronger cell. A localized heavy rain threat will also be possible as additional moisture continues to stream into the area along the southwesterly flow. This will largely depend on if additional storms form and train over the same areas. Some remnant outflow winds could make it into the immediate surrounding areas later this evening. Any lingering showers and storms should wind down after 9-11pm, though left low-end PoPs across N/NE locations for the chance of a dissipating shower passing through. High level clouds will also stream in from the SW gradually making for partly to mostly cloudy skies. Low temperatures will bottom out in the lower 70s. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 245 PM EDT Tuesday... The cold front looks to stall out just east of the central CWA during the day on Wednesday. It will be hard to notice due to very little shift in the wind or change in the dewpoints, but it will remain positioned over the area through the end of the week. Storm chances will develop along and southeast of the front on Wednesday where the moisture and instability will be ample. SPC has NE NC highlighted for a Marginal Risk of severe weather, with strong winds being the main threat. Hi- res models indicate pop up storms being possible across most of the CWA after 3-4pm, though the best chance for severe weather will remain across southeastern locations. PWATs will rise to around 2 inches by the afternoon, so a localized flooding threat may be possible. Storms should subside after sunset. High temperatures will be slightly cooler in the upper 80s to around 90 degrees. Southeastern locations could reach the lower 90s ahead of the front. The ample moisture will become focused over far SE VA/NE NC on Thursday as the stalled boundary sits overhead. PWATs will be 1.5-18 inches across those areas with values dropping to around 1.25 inches for the rest of the CWA. Dewpoints west of the boundary may mix out into the low to mid 60s. Models are trending towards keeping any rain chances to the immediate coast Thursday afternoon. Surface high pressure will move into the eastern Great Lakes region on Friday as a weak shortwave drops through here locally. Again, the front will remain stalled over the southeastern third of the CWA. Convection may wait to develop later Friday afternoon and evening as the shortwaves comes across the weakened boundary. Can't rule out storms for any portion of the area, though once again, areas east of I-95 look to have the highest chances. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 245 PM EDT Tuesday... The remnants of the stalled cold front will remain over SE VA/NE NC for the end of the week as high pressure slides by to the north before moving offshore. This will allow daily storm chances to persist, particularly across the aforementioned areas along the boundary. It will become washed out by later Saturday, though passing shortwaves will keep the humidity and storm chances around for the start of the new week. Another shortwave trough will drop down from the Great Lakes region for the Monday/Tuesday time frame reinforcing the moisture over the area. Expect high temperatures to hold steady in the mid to upper 80s through this period, with low temperatures in the upper 60s to lower 70s. && .AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 745 PM EDT Tuesday... Mainly VFR conditions will prevail through the period. SW winds are currently ~10-15kt. Gustiness has mostly subsided and winds will continue to diminish overnight. Surface high pressure will slide offshore as a cold front approaches from the northwest tonight and then pushes through part of the area on Wednesday. A broken line of convection has formed ahead of the front to the north and west of the local area. Kept VCTS through 06z for SBY due to storms currently north of the terminal and moving onto the Eastern Shore from the W. Gusty winds and reduced VIS will be possible in any storm that passes a terminal this evening. Storm threat diminishes by late evening leaving SCT050 SCT- BKN250 clouds overnight. Winds will become a bit variable on Wednesday as the front stalls out, creating westerly winds for W/N areas and SW winds for SE areas. Showers possible at SE terminals Wednesday afternoon. Outlook: The stalled cold front will remain over the southeastern portion of the area into the second half of the week keeping daily storm chances around. Localized flight restrictions could develop in any storm. && .MARINE... As of 245 PM EDT Tuesday... This afternoon high pressure was anchored well offshore and much of the region was falling under a broad trough supporting S to SW winds of 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. The Bay remained below SCA criteria with just a few land based locations over the middle and upper Bay gusting to just over 20 kt with mixing. Some guidance suggest we may increase winds a couple of kts mid to late afternoon, but conditions look to remain just below SCA. The upper coast over coastal MD was also seeing some stronger winds of 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt especially near shore and Ocean City. Again expect these winds to persist through the afternoon and into early evening. SW winds gradually decrease everywhere overnight and towards daybreak Thursday. A cold front making its way across the Ohio Valley will push into the area early Wednesday before stalling and likely washing out across the middle Bay and Eastern Shore. This will result in fairly light winds on Wednesday ranging from W to WNW across the northern waters to SW and S across the lower Bay and coastal waters south of Cape Henry to Duck. Wed winds become more variable later in the day as the threat for showers and storms increases late. Winds remain light Thursday with the frontal boundary lingering in the area. Another weak front potentially crosses the waters on Friday. Moderate rip current risk continues this afternoon for all area beaches. With lighter winds and decreasing waves expect a low rip current risk for tomorrow and Thursday. && .AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...None. NC...None. VA...None. MARINE...None. && SYNOPSIS...JKP/TMG NEAR TERM...JKP SHORT TERM...JKP LONG TERM...JKP AVIATION...AM/JKP MARINE...AJB/JAO
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wakefield VA 846 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022 MDZ022>025-VAZ060>062-068-069-076>078-083-085-511>513-515>520-522- 140100- Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-Prince Edward- Cumberland-Goochland-Amelia-Powhatan-Richmond-Northumberland- Lancaster-New Kent-Middlesex-Western Hanover-Eastern Hanover- Western Chesterfield- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen- Eastern King and Queen-Eastern Essex- 846 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, central Virginia, east central Virginia and eastern Virginia. .DAY ONE...Tonight. There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms this evening. The main threat will be damaging winds. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. MDZ021-VAZ048-064-075-509-510-521-140100- Dorchester-Fluvanna-Caroline-Westmoreland-Western Louisa- Eastern Louisa-Western Essex- 846 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, central Virginia, east central Virginia and north central Virginia. .DAY ONE...Tonight. There is a slight risk for severe thunderstorms this evening. The main threat will be damaging winds. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ065>067-079>082-084-086>090-092-093- 095>100-514-523>525-140100- Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck- Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-Eastern Currituck-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg- Nottoway-Brunswick-Dinwiddie-Prince George-Charles City-Gloucester- Mathews-Greensville-Sussex-Surry-James City-Southampton- Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach- Accomack-Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-York- Newport News-Hampton/Poquoson- 846 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina, central Virginia, east central Virginia, eastern Virginia, south central Virginia and southeast Virginia. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. A cold front moves into the area Wednesday with scattered storms possible in the afternoon and evening. A few storms could produce damaging wind gusts. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
644 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022
MDZ021-122330-
Dorchester MD-
644 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northwestern
Dorchester County through 730 PM EDT...
At 643 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Magothy River to near Kent Point to 6 miles
southwest of Dunkirk. Movement was east at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Strong thunderstorms will be near...
Cambridge and University Of Maryland Center For Environmental
Studies around 730 PM EDT.
Other locations impacted by these storms include Madison, Taylors
Island, Woolford, Hudson, East New Market, Church Creek and Lloyds.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Strong wind gusts are possible with these storms. These wind gusts
are capable of knocking down tree limbs, small or weakened trees, and
blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture, and other
light outdoor objects.
&&
LAT...LON 3870 7580 3869 7580 3868 7579 3844 7608
3845 7631 3847 7633 3850 7633 3849 7627
3853 7620 3856 7621 3854 7628 3857 7631
3860 7626 3863 7629 3860 7621 3863 7617
3859 7616 3857 7603 3868 7594 3870 7590
TIME...MOT...LOC 2243Z 277DEG 32KT 3905 7645 3883 7641 3864 7673
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...45 MPH
AMSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
741 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022
MDZ021-130015-
Dorchester MD-
741 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northeastern
Dorchester County through 815 PM EDT...
At 740 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Hartly to Andrewsville to near Hurlock.
Movement was east at 45 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small trees and blow around
unsecured objects. Wind impacting handling of high profile
vehicles.
Locations impacted include...
Hurlock, Sharptown, Secretary, East New Market, Galestown, Brookview
and Eldorado.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Strong wind gusts are possible with these storms. These wind gusts
are capable of knocking down tree limbs, small or weakened trees, and
blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture, and other
light outdoor objects.
&&
LAT...LON 3868 7580 3868 7578 3869 7576 3864 7571
3856 7570 3854 7572 3859 7600 3861 7598
3863 7598 3865 7596 3867 7595 3869 7590
3870 7590 3869 7587 3870 7580
TIME...MOT...LOC 2340Z 270DEG 43KT 3915 7577 3885 7562 3867 7586
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
MMSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
804 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022
VAZ064-075-521-130030-
Westmoreland VA-Western Essex VA-Caroline VA-
804 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northwestern
Westmoreland, Caroline and northwestern Essex Counties through 830 PM
EDT...
At 804 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Potomac Creek to near Massaponax to 6
miles southeast of Orange. Movement was southeast at 45 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Colonial Beach, Bowling Green, Milford, Port Royal, Ladysmith,
Loretto, Leedstown, Fort A.p. Hill, Chilesburg, Golansville, Hustle,
Potomac Beach, Guinea, Corbin, Supply, Penola, Nancy Wrights Corner,
Cedar Fork, Ruther Glen and Cedon.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Strong wind gusts are possible with these storms. These wind gusts
are capable of knocking down tree limbs, small or weakened trees, and
blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture, and other
light outdoor objects.
&&
LAT...LON 3821 7695 3818 7688 3801 7707 3788 7743
3789 7745 3788 7748 3792 7756 3796 7757
3795 7761 3798 7764 3825 7735 3822 7729
3825 7727 3825 7723 3823 7725 3819 7725
3820 7722 3814 7707 3826 7705 3828 7698
TIME...MOT...LOC 0004Z 295DEG 38KT 3834 7736 3823 7749 3819 7802
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...45 MPH
MMSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
824 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022
MDZ021-130115-
Dorchester MD-
824 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Dorchester County
through 915 PM EDT...
At 823 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Taylors Island, moving northeast at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Cambridge, Hurlock, Secretary, Vienna, University Of Maryland Center
For Environmental Studies, East New Market, Church Creek, Brookview,
Eldorado, Madison, Lloyds, Taylors Island, Woolford, Bucktown and
Linkwood.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Strong wind gusts are possible with these storms. These wind gusts
are capable of knocking down tree limbs, small or weakened trees, and
blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture, and other
light outdoor objects.
&&
LAT...LON 3854 7573 3848 7583 3836 7618 3837 7622
3839 7623 3835 7623 3833 7626 3835 7624
3837 7628 3849 7634 3849 7627 3853 7623
3851 7621 3856 7621 3854 7628 3863 7618
3859 7616 3857 7603 3867 7595 3869 7591
TIME...MOT...LOC 0023Z 237DEG 34KT 3841 7630
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...45 MPH
AMSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
830 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022
VAZ509-130115-
Western Louisa VA-
830 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of north central Louisa
County through 915 PM EDT...
At 829 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Orange, moving east at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small trees and blow around
unsecured objects. Wind impacting handling of high profile
vehicles.
Locations impacted include...
Gordonsville and Vawter Corner.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Strong wind gusts are possible with these storms. These wind gusts
are capable of knocking down tree limbs, small or weakened trees, and
blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture, and other
light outdoor objects.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Wakefield.
&&
LAT...LON 3813 7821 3813 7818 3814 7815 3814 7812
3815 7811 3813 7805 3814 7801 3812 7798
3812 7797 3811 7793 3812 7792 3811 7791
3809 7792 3810 7823
TIME...MOT...LOC 0029Z 267DEG 21KT 3818 7805
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
MMSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
837 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022
VAZ075-130100-
Westmoreland VA-
837 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Westmoreland
County through 900 PM EDT...
At 837 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Colonial Beach, moving southeast at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Colonial Beach, Montross, Coles Point, Lerty, Stratford Hall,
Currioman Landing, Potomac Beach, Mount Holly, Erica, Westmoreland
State and Templeman.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Strong wind gusts are possible with these storms. These wind gusts
are capable of knocking down tree limbs, small or weakened trees, and
blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture, and other
light outdoor objects.
&&
LAT...LON 3826 7696 3823 7696 3821 7695 3820 7691
3817 7687 3816 7684 3817 7676 3815 7661
3804 7676 3824 7705 3826 7705 3827 7703
3828 7698
TIME...MOT...LOC 0037Z 307DEG 39KT 3829 7697
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...45 MPH
MMThe Dover AFB radar (KDOX), 87 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 01:23 UTC.
4 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Wind gust of 52 knots (60 mph) was measured at Hoopers Island Weatherflow.
Multiple large diameter limbs were knocked down.
Trees were downed at Powell Avenue off of Route 13.
Mount Hermon Road (Route 350) was closed at Airport Road due to downed trees on the roadway.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Maryland in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Maryland, July 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1048096, 1048091, 1048092, 1048094.