A strong troughing pattern was in place across the central Conus, with enhanced SW to NE flow present across the Ohio Valley during the day on October 12. A surface low pressure system was also slowly passing across the Hudson Bay during the day, dragging a long cold front south and southeastward.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JKL wrote it up.
A strong troughing pattern was in place across the central Conus, with enhanced SW to NE flow present across the Ohio Valley during the day on October 12. A surface low pressure system was also slowly passing across the Hudson Bay during the day, dragging a long cold front south and southeastward. This front was slow moving, staying east of the Commonwealth through much of the day. The increased SW flow across the region helped to advect both moisture and warmer temperatures into the region, ultimately leading to destabilization. Storms began developing well ahead of the front, impacting portions of central and eastern Kentucky. The short term forecaster on the desk at JKL noted that: In recent |mesoanalysis and collaboration with the SPC, there's modest |effective shear around 30 to 40 knots, ideal curving within the |hodograph and modest CAPE values for October. All which have been |reflected by the SPC's Day 1 Marginal Risk with 2 percent |categorical tornado and 5 percent categorical wind threats.
Sure enough, these storms increased in strength, leading to multiple warnings during the early and mid afternoon. Two of these storms did end up producing decent winds, resulting in downed trees across portions of Magoffin and Bath County. Bath County faired the worst, with multiple barns also being destroyed in the severe winds.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 12, 2:09 PM EST, 41 minutes earlier.
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</html>Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Jackson KY 406 AM EDT Wed Oct 12 2022 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-131000- Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle- Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan- Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott- Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike- Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville, Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson 406 AM EDT Wed Oct 12 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Thunderstorms are possible at times early this afternoon through early Thursday morning, some of which may contain locally strong wind gusts and small hail. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Patchy frost is possible in the coldest valley locations late Thursday night into Friday morning, and again late Friday night into Saturday morning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report any instances of hail or wind damage through this evening. BB/GEOGERIAN
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
303 PM EDT Wed Oct 12 2022
KYZ044-051-121930-
Bath KY-Fleming KY-
303 PM EDT Wed Oct 12 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of north central Bath
and Fleming Counties through 330 PM EDT...
At 302 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Pecks Ridge, or near Flemingsburg, moving northeast at 55 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Poplar Plains around 310 PM EDT.
Mount Carmel, Wallingford and Goddard around 315 PM EDT.
Foxport around 320 PM EDT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3849 8359 3843 8358 3839 8346 3824 8386
3827 8388 3830 8385 3834 8384 3834 8386
3836 8388 3835 8390 3837 8390 3836 8392
3841 8394 3846 8386 3852 8364
TIME...MOT...LOC 1902Z 240DEG 49KT 3836 8384
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
VORSTSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
303 PM EDT Wed Oct 12 2022
KYZ106-108-109-111-112-121945-
Lee KY-Breathitt KY-Magoffin KY-Morgan KY-Wolfe KY-
303 PM EDT Wed Oct 12 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of south central
Morgan, northwestern Breathitt, western Magoffin, east central Lee
and southeastern Wolfe Counties through 345 PM EDT...
At 302 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Fillmore, or 8 miles east of Beattyville, moving northeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Lawson around 310 PM EDT.
Bethany, Hollonville, Lane, Pence and Vancleve around 315 PM EDT.
Paxton, Wilhurst and Landsaw around 320 PM EDT.
Other locations in the path of this storm include Simpson, Lexie,
Malaga, Moct, Upper Gilmore, Gilmore, Rosefork, Shockey, Lower
Gilmore, Lee City, Adele, Belknap, Helechawa, Burkhart, Sellars,
Cannel City, Burg, Netty, Wheel Rim, Payton, Cutuno and Lizzielane.
THIS INCLUDES Bert T. Combs Mountain Parkway between mile markers 51
and 65.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3755 8357 3760 8363 3783 8332 3772 8320
TIME...MOT...LOC 1902Z 233DEG 26KT 3760 8356
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH
JPSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
305 PM EDT Wed Oct 12 2022
KYZ044-050>052-121945-
Rowan KY-Montgomery KY-Bath KY-Fleming KY-
305 PM EDT Wed Oct 12 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern
Montgomery, central Bath, south central Fleming and west central
Rowan Counties through 345 PM EDT...
At 304 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Camargo, or 7 miles southeast of Mount Sterling, moving northeast at
35 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Walkers Crossing, Hope, Howards Mill and Clay Lick around 310 PM
EDT.
Peeled Oak and Stepstone around 315 PM EDT.
Preston, Crooks, Bourbon Furnace and Kendall Springs around 320 PM
EDT.
Other locations in the path of this storm include Owingsville,
Olympia, Olympia Springs, Craigs, Marshall, Salt Lick, Polksville,
Peasticks, Slate Valley, Young Springs, Odessa, Moore's Ferry,
Midland, Farmers, Wyoming, Oakley, Ramey, Freestone, Bluestone,
Grange City, Hillsboro, Morehead, Sharkey, Ringos Mills and Brandy.
THIS INCLUDES Interstate 64 in eastern Kentucky between mile markers
114 and 137.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3816 8343 3801 8370 3800 8372 3801 8374
3800 8375 3800 8376 3797 8377 3791 8388
3798 8398 3832 8368
TIME...MOT...LOC 1904Z 225DEG 32KT 3799 8386
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
JPSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
332 PM EDT Wed Oct 12 2022
KYZ106>109-112-122000-
Breathitt KY-Johnson KY-Magoffin KY-Morgan KY-Wolfe KY-
332 PM EDT Wed Oct 12 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Morgan,
southwestern Johnson, north central Breathitt, northern Magoffin and
east central Wolfe Counties through 400 PM EDT...
At 332 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Burg, or 11 miles west of Salyersville, moving northeast at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Netty, Cannel City, Seiltz, Puncheon, Eugene, Cornelia and Panama
around 335 PM EDT.
Lewis, Lykins, Bethanna, Hager, Epson, Holliday, Caney, Stella,
Ova and Stacy Fork around 340 PM EDT.
Wonnie, Patton, Harper, Elsie, Kernie, Williams, Gifford, Gullett,
White Oak and Gordon Ford around 345 PM EDT.
Salyersville, Mason, Bloomington, Cisco, Licksburg, Matthew,
Florress, Cottle and Lakesville around 350 PM EDT.
Other locations in the path of this storm include Plutarch, Coon,
Tella, Orient, Haleburg, Logville, Perlie, Cyrus, Stringtown,
Mashfork, Lacey, Quod, Grayfox, Ever, Minefork, Flat Fork, Win,
Wheelersburg, Leatha and Hargis.
THIS INCLUDES Bert T. Combs Mountain Parkway between mile markers 52
and 76.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3760 8331 3776 8345 3798 8308 3778 8289
TIME...MOT...LOC 1932Z 238DEG 30KT 3774 8328
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
VORSTSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
343 PM EDT Wed Oct 12 2022
KYZ083-122015-
Wayne KY-
343 PM EDT Wed Oct 12 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Wayne
County through 415 PM EDT...
At 342 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles northwest of Albany, or 15 miles north of Byrdstown, moving
northeast at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Cabell around 400 PM EDT.
Other locations in the path of this storm include Parnell, Monticello
and Steubenville.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3687 8505 3692 8496 3696 8494 3696 8492
3695 8490 3699 8485 3688 8475 3676 8501
3681 8503 3683 8506 3685 8506
TIME...MOT...LOC 1942Z 238DEG 30KT 3680 8520
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
VORSTThe Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 28 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:50 UTC.
15 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Trees were reported to have been blown down along KY-460, near the Morgan County line.
Trees were reported to have been blown down along KY-2019.
Trees were reported down along White Oak Road off of Highway 36.
A tree was reported down along Flat Creek Road near the community of Flat Creek, WNW of Owingsville.
Thunderstorm winds led to the destruction of 2 barns on a private property. The barns were old, and were not anchored down to the ground. One barn was moved off its foundation by about 15 feet and collapsed. The other lost roofing material and had multiple north-facing wall panels blown off.
Multiple barns and farm structures (corn crib bin and chicken coop) were damaged or destroyed due to thunderstorm winds. NWS Storm Survey results noted that the small buildings were light and not well anchored down, that the metal pole barn was open on the ends, and that the stick-built barn was old and also had a door open - allowing winds to get inside. All damage was laying uniformly towards the ENE.
Several locust trees were snapped along Wonderful Lane. However the NWS Storm Survey team noted that most of them had rotted trunks. All trees were uniformly laying to the east.
An older barn lost a large section of the roofing, causing one side to collapse. The roof sections were intact and traveled about 30 feet eastward, away from the barn. A large tree branch was also snapped in the same location.
Trees were reported down along East Fork Road north of Owingsville.
Multiple large tree limbs between 5 and 7 inches in diameter were downed due to thunderstorm winds. Trees did not appear to be rotted, and were all laying uniformly towards the east.
A rotten oak tree was snapped.
A peg construction barn collapsed with most debris uniformly laying towards the ENE and NE. The roof was dislodged and tossed 150 feet to the east of the barn, but the framing of the roof seemed to be rotted. The cement footers that the bar was sitting on showed no indication of being anchored to the barn - rather the weight of the barn was holding it up.
A partial barn collapse. The walls of the barn did look to be anchored with a piece of rebarb sticking out of the concrete footers, and into a hole at the bottom of the 6x6 inch barn posts/vertical beams. No other anchoring clips were used, so wind was able to lift post off the anchor. The NWS Storm Survey Team also noted that most of the wood was dry rotted.
A barn was moved off its foundation and lost its roof. According to the NWS Storm Survey Steam, the cement block footers showed no indication of anchors to the barn and the wood looked dry rotted. Remainders of the barn were through 1/8 mile in a uniform direction to the ENE.
An open air barn had its roof peeled off and thrown into the field east of the barn. The NWS Storm Survey Team noted that the wood of the barn was dry rotted and weathered.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, October 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1061390, 1061391, 1061393, 1061474, 1061403, 1061408, 1061409, 1061419, 1061392, 1061420, 1061421, 1061422, 1061423, 1061424, 1061425.