A stationary boundary lingered near the Ohio River through the day. The boundary provided a lifting mechanism for a moist and unstable air mass over eastern Kentucky.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JKL wrote it up.
A stationary boundary lingered near the Ohio River through the day. The boundary provided a lifting mechanism for a moist and unstable air mass over eastern Kentucky. Torrential rainfall on top of already saturated soils caused streams to rapidly rise and flash flood at several locations.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 10, 3:10 PM EST, 30 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Jackson KY 410 PM EDT Wed Aug 10 2022 .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday night) Issued at 202 PM EDT WED AUG 10 2022 A weak frontal boundary is diving southeast into the region. The boundary itself hasn't entered the forecast area but convection has developed and will continue to increase in coverage through the afternoon. With the slow storm propagation, saturated atmosphere (PW values around the 2 inch mark) , moderate CAPE (1,500 - 2,000 J/kg); the flash flooding risk continues to exist across the area. As of 1730Z, a couple flash flood advisories have been issued and with the environmental profile, confidence is high that this trend will continue into the overnight. As the front dives south, showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage. Still looking at minimal chances for severe weather but can't rule out a few storms touching severe limits as there have been areas this afternoon that saw more sunshine and instability was able to increase to about 2,000 J/kg. This region is mostly along the Mountain Parkway. Showers and storms continue into the overnight hours but by early morning, the front will slowly be exiting the forecast area with showers and storms decreasing in coverage from northwest to southeast. With the saturated soils, light winds and moist atmosphere, dense fog is expected to develop along and behind the front before burning off late morning. As the forecast area remains in the longwave trough pattern, closed circulation sitting off the Atlantic seaboard in far eastern Canada is progged to drag a secondary cold front through the area early Friday morning. This will give a few isolated chances of showers and storms early Friday morning before high pressure develops for the end of the forecast period. The secondary front will also provide a reinforcing shot of cold air advection which is progged to keep below average temperatures in the short-term as well as the long- term period. .LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday) Issued at 410 PM EDT WED AUG 10 2022 A shift towards drier conditions will arrive to start off the period. An amplified pattern will be in place aloft, with a dome of 5H 596 dam heights sitting across the Four Corners and through the Central Plains. Troughing will be place across the East Coast, while a stout 565 dam closed low sits just off the coast of the Pacific Northwest. A NW flow pattern will keep temperatures at bay through the upcoming week, while high pressure will traverse through the Ohio Valley the first half of the weekend. Guidance depicts the development of an MCS across Central Indiana Sunday, riding the periphery of the upper ridge southeast through the day, degrading with time. Given the uncertainty on how this evolves and holds together, have continued to hold onto slight chance to chance PoPs (20-30%) until there is a better grasp on this system. Into the new work week, confidence remains shaky. Eastern Kentucky will remain in the gradient between troughing to the east/northeast and ridging to the west. This will keep the area under the influence of passing complexes, with shower and thunderstorm potential each day - primarily during the afternoon and evening hours. Toward the end of the period, operational runs depict a closed low developing across the Mid Atlantic, bringing additional opportunities for showers and thunderstorms toward midweek. Ensemble cluster analysis, too, is struggling with how much impact we will have locally. As such, have veered close to the blend with slight chance to chance (20-40%) PoPs each day, gradually diminishing in activity each night with the loss of heating. In terms of temperatures throughout the period, below average can be expected. Highs will generally top out in the upper 70s to low 80s each day. Lows will be a little more variable, depending on cloud cloud cover each night, but low to mid 60s can be anticipated Sunday night and through the end of the period. For Friday and Saturday night, ridge/valley splits will be likely, as clear nights and calm winds will be conducive for these splits. Values will range from the low to mid 50s in valleys and mid to upper 50s atop ridges. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon) ISSUED AT 118 PM EDT WED AUG 10 2022 A combination of MVFR and VFR CIGS exist across all terminals. Sites KLOZ, KSME and KSYM have been MVFR/IFR through the morning and with KJKL and KSJS, there will be fluctuations as convection continues to develop across the forecast area. Presently, convection has mostly avoided the TAF sites but with a frontal boundary sagging southeast, increasing precipitation coverage is expected to occur this afternoon and continue into the overnight hours. Thunderstorms may produce strong and erratic outflow winds. The front is progged to slowly exit from northwest to southeast through early Thursday but lingering showers and storms will exist through the end of the period. Behind the departing front, dense fog is expected to develop which will likely impact all terminals before burning off late Thursday morning. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for KYZ044-050>052- 058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120. && SHORT TERM...VORST LONG TERM...BB AVIATION...VORST
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Jackson KY 336 PM EDT Wed Aug 10 2022 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-111100- Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle- Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan- Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott- Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike- Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville, Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson 336 PM EDT Wed Aug 10 2022 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern Kentucky. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Persistent, slow moving thunderstorms will result in locally heavy rainfall. This could result isolated flash flooding. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Thunderstorms are possible on Thursday. Thunderstorms are also possible at times from Sunday through Tuesday, mainly during the afternoon and evening hours. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report any occurrences of flooding that occur today. VORST/BB
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
136 PM EDT Wed Aug 10 2022
KYZ080-085-086-101800-
Whitley KY-Knox KY-Laurel KY-
136 PM EDT Wed Aug 10 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Laurel,
northwestern Knox and northwestern Whitley Counties through 200 PM
EDT...
At 136 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Keavy, or 10 miles southwest of London, moving northeast at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Moore Hill around 140 PM EDT.
Dorthae and North Corbin around 145 PM EDT.
Gray around 150 PM EDT.
Lily and Lynn Camp around 155 PM EDT.
Other locations in the path of this storm include London, Fariston,
Levi Jackson S.P., London-Corbin Airport, Sublimity City, Lesbas,
McHargue, Tuttle, Maplesville and Lida.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3693 8431 3694 8430 3695 8432 3722 8408
3708 8388 3707 8389 3705 8386 3704 8386
3704 8383 3684 8419
TIME...MOT...LOC 1736Z 229DEG 18KT 3698 8417
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
BBSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
246 PM EDT Wed Aug 10 2022
KYZ058-059-101915-
Estill KY-Powell KY-
246 PM EDT Wed Aug 10 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Powell
and northwestern Estill Counties through 315 PM EDT...
At 245 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Winston, or 7 miles west of Irvine, moving east at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Kings Station around 250 PM EDT.
Rice Station, Fox, Witt and Iron Mound around 255 PM EDT.
Calloway Crossing, Sandhill, Weedon, Wiseman Crossing Station,
West Irvine, Hargett, Wisemantown and Station Camp around 300 PM
EDT.
Irvine, Ravenna, North Irvine, South Irvine and Kimbrell around
305 PM EDT.
Other locations in the path of this storm include Hardwick, Willow
Tree, Cow Creek, Doe Creek, Cottage Furnace, Pitts, Vaughns Mill,
Pryse, Texola and Shade.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3783 8387 3764 8386 3763 8412 3765 8413
3767 8409 3768 8410 3770 8409 3774 8410
3775 8408 3777 8409 3778 8411 3780 8408
3781 8409
TIME...MOT...LOC 1845Z 261DEG 20KT 3772 8411
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
BBSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
329 PM EDT Wed Aug 10 2022
KYZ109-112-102000-
Breathitt KY-Magoffin KY-
329 PM EDT Wed Aug 10 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern
Breathitt and southwestern Magoffin Counties through 400 PM EDT...
At 328 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Rousseau, or 7 miles east of Jackson, moving northeast at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Guage, Camp Lewis and Lunah around 335 PM EDT.
Cornelia around 340 PM EDT.
Lambric, Eugene, Puncheon, Daisydell and Seiltz around 345 PM EDT.
Other locations in the path of this storm include Foraker, Hendricks,
Fritz, Carver Station, Carver, Tiptop, Duco and Evanston.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3752 8329 3763 8334 3774 8310 3754 8299
TIME...MOT...LOC 1928Z 246DEG 16KT 3759 8324
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
BBThe Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 84 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:39 UTC.
11 flash flood, 1 debris flow. Local standard time, as filed.
Flash flood waters peeled up pavement on Climax Rd between 4 and 5 miles outside of Mount Vernon.
Pictures showed several inches of water flowing over East Main Street in Mount Vernon.
Norton School Branch Road closed due to flowing water over the road.
Road closures reported on Buckeye and Hummel roads due to flash flooding.
Video showed an estimated at least 1 foot of water flowing over Goochtown Rd.
Flash flood waters were reportedly flowing over Quail Rd.
Mudslide was reported in the 4900 block along KY-70.
Pictures show flash flood waters surrounding mobile homes along Freedom School Rd.
A car was reportedly stranded at the intersection of Little Robinson Creek and Robinson Creek roads.
Kentucky State Police reported a car stranded by flash flood waters at the intersection of KY-610 and Indian Creek Road.
Flash flood waters reportedly observed carrying trees across Old Waynesburg Road near the 500 block.
Swiftly flowing water from the Left Fork of Caney Creek was flowing across KY-611 making it impassable. A video on social media showed traffic backed up on either side of the flooded roadway unable to cross and waiting for the water to recede.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, August 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1046055, 1046054, 1046059, 1046061, 1046063, 1046056, 1046057, 1046058, 1046066, 1046067, 1046069, 1046068.