Bands of locally slow-moving thunderstorms resulted in isolated instances of flash flooding. An elongated mid-level trough and associated closed low stretched through the middle Mississippi and lower Ohio Valleys, helping to focus a stationary front across the region.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Bands of locally slow-moving thunderstorms resulted in isolated instances of flash flooding. An elongated mid-level trough and associated closed low stretched through the middle Mississippi and lower Ohio Valleys, helping to focus a stationary front across the region. Sufficient daytime heating helped generate moderate instability in the vicinity of the front. Where the slow-moving storms were locally focused near the front, isolated excessive rainfall occurred.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 5, 11:47 AM CST, 1 hour 38 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 1247 PM CDT Mon Sep 5 2022 .UPDATE... Issued at 1247 PM CDT Mon Sep 5 2022 The AVIATION section has been updated for the 18Z TAF issuance. && .SHORT TERM...(Today through Wednesday night) Issued at 300 AM CDT Mon Sep 5 2022 Early morning water vapor imagery clearly shows circulations within the mean mid level trof from southern Lake Michigan to near St. Louis down into northeast Oklahoma. Some drier air has worked across southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois. Convection early this morning was on the periphery of this zone, from parts of west Kentucky north and west into southwest Illinois just north of I-64. For early this morning will have to keep an eye on visibilities, as there is some patchy fog out there. Through the course of the day, according to most HiRes guidance, this axis will pivot south, with the axis of greatest moisture from southwest Indiana, and southern Illinois into southeast Missouri by the end of the day. We will carry our highest PoPs in this axis, with lower PoPs across west Kentucky. Tonight, as some support aloft moves east within the parent trof, the convective chances will follow suit. With the diurnal aspect gone, there should be some decrease in overall coverage. But the chance will exist all night. Tuesday, lows at the surface and up to around 700mb will work farther east, with best convective chances across our area shifting to areas south and east of the Ohio River. Chances drop off considerably Tuesday night. Wednesday, some diurnally enhanced convection is expected especially east of the Mississippi River. However, overall coverage will be more limited. Dry weather returns Wednesday night. Locally heavy rain will remain a possibility over the next couple of days. However, any potential issues should be limited in coverage as has been the case. Overall, we used a blend approach to smooth out some of the guidance depictions. The level of uncertainty dictates we should have less spatial and temporal details as the upper trof maintains its influence on our weather. Daytime highs will continue to be slightly below average. We stayed close to the NBM guidance. .LONG TERM...(Thursday through Sunday) Issued at 300 AM CDT Mon Sep 5 2022 For the start of the long term forecast period, the long-lived strong ridge will continue to be located over the western half of the country while another ridge is positioned over the Southeast coast. The latter ridge holds as TS Earl moves northward over the Atlantic. Between the two ridges, a trough remains over the Lower Ohio/Mississippi River Valleys. The western ridge finally starts to weaken late in the week as a trough deepens in the north and TS Kay moves closer. On Thursday, the upper low embedded in the Lower Mississippi trough, quite likely a closed low at this point, will be well south of the Quad State over or near Louisiana. As high pressure moves through the Great Lakes, northeasterly winds move through the Quad State. With reduced moisture in the area and the instability pushed further south, Thursday has the lowest rain chances this week, in the slight chance to low end chance range Thursday afternoon for Western Kentucky. On Friday, winds shift towards easterly providing better moisture advection and increasing shower and storm chances. Models lean towards Saturday having the best convective potential with higher vorticity. Low pressure approaches the Great Lakes on Sunday with a cold frontal passage. This front, and accompanying trough, may open up the closed low and lift the energy northeastward. For the end of the week through the weekend, storms will be diurnally driven, with shower/thunderstorm chances highest in the afternoon hours, and lowest overnight. Severe weather potential is minimal, while weak winds will keep the potential for locally heavy rainfall. Model confidence remains higher than normal for temperatures through Saturday, with highs in the low to mid 80s. Sunday has slightly more uncertainty with the cold front, but leans towards cooler highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Lows are forecast to be in the low to mid 60s. && .AVIATION... Issued at 1247 PM CDT Mon Sep 5 2022 Ceilings should become VFR quickly this afternoon with the exception of KMVN where they will lift to MVFR quickly and may take until 00Z to lift to VFR levels. Convection will impact KMVN and KEVV early this afternoon and then KOWB by mid to late afternoon. KCGI and KPAH will see some scattered showers mainly this evening. More low cloud and fog potential is advertised by most guidance tonight. However, with a north breeze and some drier air moving in, it may not be as bad at the northern sites. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && UPDATE...DRS SHORT TERM...CN LONG TERM....ATL AVIATION...DRS
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Paducah KY 304 AM CDT Mon Sep 5 2022 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-061000- Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves- Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell- Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean- Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- 304 AM CDT Mon Sep 5 2022 /404 AM EDT Mon Sep 5 2022/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Scattered thunderstorms are forecast. Locally heavy rain is possible. Localized flooding issues cannot be ruled out. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday A daily chance of thunderstorms remains in the forecast for the entire four state region. Thursday, a slight chance of storms is limited to west Kentucky. Locally heavy rain will be the primary hazard. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated.
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service PADUCAH KY 144 PM CDT Mon Sep 5 2022 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ007-010-014-015-018>020- MOZ076-086-087-100-107>111-052300- Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Livingston-Crittenden-Union KY-Webster-Henderson- Daviess-McLean-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott- Including the cities of Mount Vernon, Fairfield, Albion, Mount Carmel, Pinckneyville, West Frankfort, McLeansboro, Carmi, Carbondale, Murphysboro, Herrin, Harrisburg, Shawneetown, Jonesboro, Vienna, Golconda, Elizabethtown, Cairo, Mound City, Metropolis, Fort Branch, Petersburg, Poseyville, Evansville, Boonville, Rockport, Smithland, Marion, Morganfield, Dixon, Henderson, Owensboro, Calhoun, Perryville, Marble Hill, Cape Girardeau, Jackson, Piedmont, Van Buren, Doniphan, Poplar Bluff, Bloomfield, and Sikeston 144 PM CDT Mon Sep 5 2022 /244 PM EDT Mon Sep 5 2022/ Conditions are favorable for the development of weak, brief funnel clouds with the isolated showers and thunderstorms developing across southwest Indiana, southern Illinois, southeast Missouri, and northwest Kentucky this afternoon. This type of funnel cloud is harmless, but on rare occasions they can briefly touch down, producing wind gusts over 50 mph. If a funnel cloud is spotted move indoors and report your sighting to the National Weather Service. SP
The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 26 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:26 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Water completely covered the intersection of Highways 57 and 68.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Indiana in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Indiana, September 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1051755.