Four separate rounds of thunderstorms impacted central and northern portions of Rush County through the afternoon and early evening of July 5th, with tree damage noted during the second round. A couple of trees that were downed or damaged near Carthage and the northside of Rushville had been weakened by severe storms on July 1st.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS IND wrote it up.
Four separate rounds of thunderstorms impacted central and northern portions of Rush County through the afternoon and early evening of July 5th, with tree damage noted during the second round. A couple of trees that were downed or damaged near Carthage and the northside of Rushville had been weakened by severe storms on July 1st. Later in the evening, an isolated storm caused widespread minor tree damage to Muncie.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Indianapolis, IN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 5, 2:02 PM EST, 43 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 302 PM EDT Tue Jul 5 2022 .Short Term...(This evening through Wednesday night) Issued at 302 PM EDT Tue Jul 5 2022 Highlights: - Hot and Humid; Heat index values above 100 - Periodic chances for thunderstorms, some could be severe This Afternoon and Tonight... Thunderstorms were developing this afternoon along a very distinct boundary seen in visible GOES16 and KIND 88D imagery, from around Delphi to New Castle. As the storms sprout up, movement has been southeast along a sharp instability axis with extreme mixed layer CAPE to 4000 J/KG and surface based to 6000 J/KG. Meanwhile, near and northeast of the boundary, sfc-6km shear was marginal but sufficient for a severe storm or two with damaging winds the main severe threat. Expect scattered thunderstorms to continue to developing along the boundary with heat of the isolated storms further southwest, where lifting mechanism was lacking. Meanwhile, temperatures have risen even higher than expected and to the upper 90s southwest of the boundary, where there was plenty of sunshine. Dew points in the 70s combined with the very hot temperatures, has resulted in heat indices to 110 degrees which is borderline heat warning criteria. For now will let the heat advisories go through the southwest through Wednesday evening and northeast tonight. Unanimous consensus with adjacent offices is there is too much uncertainty for tomorrow for temperatures northeast sections, with the potential for more widespread convection. CAMs South Dakota convection will become an MCS and track southeast across our northeast sections overnight into Wednesday with more convection during the day associated with leftover outflow boundaries, differential heating and sharp instability axis along with synoptic front dropping down from the north. This scenario would likely result in widespread convection over the northeast half with lesser coverage southeast. Flooding could start being an issue for northeast areas that have received several rounds of thunderstorms. More severe weather is possible, mainly during the afternoon and if the atmosphere can heat up enough. As mentioned earlier, confidence on temperatures over northeastern sections is not great based on convection and convective debris considerations. For now, will go with the blend and lower 90s northeast to middle and upper 90s southwest for highs. Yet another MCS may track southeast along the instability axis Wednesday night. Track far from certain but best chance is again over preferred northeast sections. Flooding concern will grow with time and into the long term. Severe weather will continue to be possible with potential bow echo induced wind damage. && .Long Term...(Thursday through Tuesday) Issued at 302 PM EDT Tue Jul 5 2022 - Hot and humid conditions with active flow aloft through Friday - Cooler and drier this weekend Thursday and Friday A large ridge positioned across the southern US is expected to remain fairly stationary as we head into the long range. Northwesterly flow aloft along the periphery of the ridge is expected to continue as well. A few shortwaves embedded within this flow should ride up and over the ridge, providing upper-level support for thunderstorm development. At the surface, clockwise flow around a surface high will bring warm moist air from the Gulf while a poorly-defined warm front meanders in place across northern Indiana. With the front acting as a source of surface convergence, ample moisture and instability will allow for scattered thunderstorm development both Thursday and Friday. The previously mentioned waves may enable some enhanced convective chances, with convection possibly organizing into a convective system or two. Heavy rain is a possibility with PWAT values over 2 inches, deep moisture, and moist lapse rates with high freezing levels. Warm rain processes and training convection along the stationary boundary could lead to high rainfall amounts. Even though it has been fairly dry across the region lately...localized flooding is possible in places that see repeated heavy rainfall. Saturday and Sunday After a potent wave passes through on Friday, a strong area of surface high pressure passes just to our north. After days of southerly winds, cooler drier air from the north will sweep much of the heat and humidity away. Stable and more pleasant weather will then continue through the weekend. Highs may only reach the middle 80s with dew points in the 50s. Monday through Wednesday The weekend's surface high pressure continues eastward and return flow on its southwest side brings moisture and instability back into Indiana. Though not as intensely hot and humid or long lasting as this week's airmass, it may be enough for another round of showers and thunderstorms next week. A progressive cold front is shown by most guidance to sweep across the region early next week, which will provide a source of lift for precip potential. Timing is rather uncertain this far out, so slight to chance PoPs will be carried Monday into Tuesday Evening until a consensus on fropa emerges. Cooler and drier air returns in the post-front environment later next week. && .Aviation...(18Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 1212 PM EDT Tue Jul 5 2022 IMPACTS: - Thunderstorms possible through the TAF period but mainly at KLAF and KIND through 01z and again after 07z. - High confidence in VFR flying conditions except for brief deteriorating conditions in thunderstorms. - Winds 230-260 degrees less than 10 knots away from thunderstorms. Winds greater than 50 knots possible in thunderstorms. Discussion: High confidence in VFR flying conditions expect potentially worse in thunderstorms. Boundary just to the NE of KLAF and KIND could touch off some nearby afternoon convection and an MCS could also clip mainly KLAF and KIND late tonight as it drops southeast nearby. There is the possibility of bow echoes producing damaging winds as the MCS moves in. && .IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Heat Advisory until 9 PM EDT this evening for INZ021-028>031- 035>042-046>049-055>057-065. Heat Advisory until 9 PM EDT Wednesday for INZ043>045-051>054- 060>064-067>072. && Short Term...MK Long Term...Eckhoff Aviation...MK
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 347 AM EDT Tue Jul 5 2022 INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-060800- Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-Boone- Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-Putnam- Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-Johnson-Shelby- Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Knox-Daviess- Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings- Including the cities of Delphi, Flora, Williamsport, West Lebanon, Lafayette, West Lafayette, Frankfort, Kokomo, Attica, Covington, Veedersburg, Crawfordsville, Lebanon, Zionsville, Tipton, Fishers, Carmel, Noblesville, Anderson, Muncie, Winchester, Union City, Farmland, Parker City, Clinton, Fairview Park, Rockville, Montezuma, Rosedale, Greencastle, Plainfield, Brownsburg, Danville, Indianapolis, Greenfield, New Castle, Terre Haute, Brazil, Spencer, Gosport, Martinsville, Mooresville, Greenwood, Franklin, Shelbyville, Rushville, Sullivan, Carlisle, Shelburn, Farmersburg, Linton, Bloomfield, Jasonville, Worthington, Bloomington, Nashville, Columbus, Greensburg, Vincennes, Washington, Loogootee, Shoals, Bedford, Mitchell, Seymour, and North Vernon 347 AM EDT Tue Jul 5 2022 This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 9 PM EDT TUESDAY... .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Scattered thunderstorms will move across north central Indiana this morning. Storms could be strong to severe with damaging winds as the primary threat. Thunderstorms are expected to develop once again late this afternoon and evening with damaging winds, and hail possible. A Heat Advisory is in place this afternoon with heat index values near or above 105 degrees. Highest heat indices will be in SW portions of central Indiana. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Strong to severe thunderstorms continue into Tuesday and Wednesday with more widespread coverage compared to tonight. Damaging winds and frequent lightning will be the primary threats with these storms. Storm chances then continue through Friday. A Heat Advisory is in place Wednesday across SW central Indiana with heat index values above 105 degrees. Additional dangerous heat is possible through Friday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report any severe weather reports late tonight and again on Tuesday. && More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
310 PM EDT Tue Jul 5 2022
INZ057-051945-
Rush IN-
310 PM EDT Tue Jul 5 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northern Rush County
through 345 PM EDT...
At 310 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles northwest of Rushville, or 18 miles northeast of Shelbyville,
moving east at 15 mph. This storm has the potential to produce a
quick downburst of wind.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Rushville.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3959 8537 3971 8557 3976 8554 3976 8530
3974 8530
TIME...MOT...LOC 1910Z 290DEG 11KT 3971 8552
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
AWPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
330 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0320 PM HAIL CARTHAGE 39.74N 85.57W
07/05/2022 E0.50 INCH RUSH IN EMERGENCY MNGR
0325 PM HAIL MAYS 39.74N 85.43W
07/05/2022 M0.50 INCH RUSH IN EMERGENCY MNGR
&&Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
344 PM EDT Tue Jul 5 2022
INZ056-057-052015-
Rush IN-Shelby IN-
344 PM EDT Tue Jul 5 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Shelby
and central Rush Counties through 415 PM EDT...
At 344 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Rushville, or 15 miles west of Connersville, moving southeast at 20
mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern Shelby
and central Rush Counties, including the following locations...
Glenwood, Milroy, Arlington, New Salem and Manilla.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3948 8549 3964 8574 3968 8536 3963 8530
3957 8530
TIME...MOT...LOC 1944Z 302DEG 16KT 3963 8544
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
AGMThe Indianapolis radar (KIND), 73 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:47 UTC.
2 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A 12-15 inch tree downed by thunderstorm wind gusts on the north side of Rushville. According to the emergency manager the tree was likely weakened by the storms on July 1st, and estimated winds of 50-55 mph.
Widespread minor tree damage across the town of Muncie due to thunderstorm wind gusts. One large tree limb was snapped and broke into a house with another large tree uprooted into a house.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Indiana in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Indiana, July 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1027137, 1027141.