Rain overspread the region through the day ahead of a low pressure system moving through the Ohio Valley. 5 inches produced widespread flooding.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ILN wrote it up.
Rain overspread the region through the day ahead of a low pressure system moving through the Ohio Valley. Rainfall amounts of 1.5 to 2.5 inches produced widespread flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wilmington, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 17, 12:34 PM EST, 2 hours 26 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1234 PM EST Thu Feb 17 2022
.SYNOPSIS...
A low pressure system will bring widespread rain and a chance
of thunderstorms to the region today. A strong cold front will
move through the Ohio Valley later this afternoon and tonight,
leading to the potential for a wintery mix before the
precipitation tapers off later tonight. High pressure and a
drier airmass will build into the area for Friday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Rain is just now starting to spread into our far western areas.
We have been seeing some occasional borderline wind advisory
gusts along the leading edge of the pcpn back across Indiana so
have issued a short term SPS to cover some of these gusts as
the pcpn moves into our area.
A wave of low pressure will ride northeast along a cold front
through this afternoon as the cold front pushes southeast
toward our area. Ahead of the low, a strengthening 70+ knot low
level jet will shift northeast across the Tennessee Valley into
the upper Ohio Valley by early evening. This will lead to
strong moisture advection up into our area with PWs climbing
into the 1.25 to possibly 1.5 inch range through the day, with
the highest values expected along and southeast of the I-71
corridor. This will lead to widespread rain with locally heavy
rainfall possible. 1-2 inches with locally higher amounts will
lead to the potential for flooding later this afternoon into
this evening. Some of the models continue to show a southward
shift in the track of the low, so have expanded the watch area
again to include the entire CWA.
Winds will also pick up through this afternoon with a
tightening pressure gradient and the strengthening low level
jet. The strongest winds ahead of the front look to be across
our southeast and will continue with a wind advisory for about
the southeast third of our fa.
Some very weak surface based/ML capes may also be pulled up into
our southern areas through this afternoon. Given the strength
of the system, this may be enough to produce some embedded
thunderstorms late this afternoon into early evening, mainly
along and just ahead of the cold front. Given the strength of
the wind fields, a few strong to severe storms will be possible,
especially for areas along and south of the Ohio River. The
primary severe threat will be damaging winds, although an
isolated tornado cannot be ruled out.
Temperatures will remain mild across most of the area today
with readings mostly in the 50s, although we will start to see
temperatures begin to fall across our northwest later this
afternoon as the cold front moves in.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Rain will continue into early evening with a chance of
thunderstorms and a low end severe threat lingering across our
southeast until the cold front moves through by mid evening. As
colder air begins to move in at the surface, pcpn will start to
change over to some freezing rain across our northwest and then
possibly over to snow for a brief period before the pcpn ends.
Some light snow accumulations will be possible, mainly across
our far northwest along with some potential for icing. Road
temperatures will be starting off warm, but they should drop
off fairly quickly through the evening hours in the strong CAA.
The best chance for somewhat better icing looks to be across
our northern tier of counties where 0.05 to possibly up to a
tenth of an inch of ice may be possible and will go with a
winter weather advisory for this evening in those areas. Lows
tonight will range from the teens in the northwest to the mid
20s in the southeast.
Surface high pressure and a drier airmass will build into the
region on Friday. We will remain cool though with afternoon
highs ranging from the upper 20s north to the mid 30s in the
south.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Models continue to indicate a disturbance moving through Friday
night into Saturday morning. While there is little moisture with
this system, there will be a push of cool air and breezy conditions.
In addition, have a slight chance of snow across the far north on
Saturday closer to the better upper support. Increased wind gusts
Saturday morning.
High pressure moves into the region late in the day on Saturday and
then pushes to the east Saturday night. Southerly flow with WAA
will pick up on Sunday bringing additional breezy conditions and
warmer temperatures. Bring high temperatures on Sunday up into the
middle 40s to middle 50s across the region.
On Monday the next storm system begins to approach the region.
Current indications are that Monday during the day will generally be
dry. Warm conditions are expected for both Monday and Tuesday with
highs in the 50s and 60s.
There are some minor differences, however in general expect
precipitation to move across the region during the Monday night
through Tuesday night time period. There is some instability on
Tuesday during the day and have a slight chance of thunder in across
the southern portions of the region. A brief period of switch over
to snow will be possible as cooler air moves in Tuesday night. There
are still some differences in the details with where the axis of
heaviest rainfall will be with this system, however will have to
continue to monitor as there will be the potential for additional
flooding issues.
A brief lull or decrease in precipitation is expected for during the
day on Wednesday, however working into Wednesday night and Thursday
morning the next system begins to move up from the south. There is
surprisingly a good amount of agreement on this system this far out.
Went with a period of mixed precipitation including sleet and
freezing rain potential due to supportive sounding profiles. This
system shows the potential to bring a mix of winter concerns along
with additional flooding rain concerns. Will hold off on mention in
the HWO until see additional model run consistency.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Rain, lowered ceilings and visibilities, and strong winds will
continue to impact TAF sites as a cold front and low pressure
march slowly from the west. Conditions as low as IFR are likely
into tonight, along with wind gusts close to 30 knots, and some
wind shear this evening. There will be improvement near the end
of the forecast as drier air works in behind the front.
OUTLOOK...Gusty winds are likely on Saturday.
&&
.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Flood Watch through late tonight for OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088.
Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 AM EST
Friday for OHZ026-034-035-043>046.
Wind Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for OHZ073-078>082-
088.
KY...Flood Watch through late tonight for KYZ089>100.
Wind Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for KYZ089>100.
IN...Flood Watch through late tonight for INZ050-058-059-066-
073>075-080.
Wind Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for INZ075-080.
&&
SYNOPSIS...JGL
NEAR TERM...Coniglio/JGL
SHORT TERM...JGL
LONG TERM...Novak
AVIATION...ConiglioHazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wilmington OH 925 AM EST Thu Feb 17 2022 OHZ026-034-035-043>046-181430- Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware- 925 AM EST Thu Feb 17 2022 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST FRIDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Central Ohio and West Central Ohio. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Winter Weather Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. INZ050-058-059-OHZ042-051>056-060>062-181430- Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Darke-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison- Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene- 925 AM EST Thu Feb 17 2022 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana, Central Ohio and West Central Ohio. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. A brief period of freezing rain and/or sleet will be possible this evening before the precipitation comes to an end overnight. A light glaze of ice and minor sleet or snow accumulations may be possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. INZ066-073-074-OHZ063>065-070>072-074-077-181430- Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Fayette OH-Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler- Warren-Clinton-Hocking-Hamilton- 925 AM EST Thu Feb 17 2022 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Southeast Indiana, Central Ohio and Southwest Ohio. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Wind gusts between 30 and 40 mph are possible this afternoon and evening. A strong storm or two will also be possible late this afternoon through this evening with damaging winds being the primary threat. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. INZ075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ073-078>082-088-181430- Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant- Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Ross-Clermont-Brown-Highland- Adams-Pike-Scioto- 925 AM EST Thu Feb 17 2022 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Southeast Indiana, Northeast Kentucky, Northern Kentucky, South Central Ohio and Southwest Ohio. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Wind Advisory. A few strong to severe storms will also be possible late this afternoon through this evening with damaging winds being the primary threat. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
7 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
East County Road 300 N was closed due to high water.
High water was reported on St. Marys Road near Levee Road.
High water was reported on U.S. 52 just west of Franklin.
High water was reported on State Route 56 near Aberdeen.
High water was reported on State Route 56.
State Route 62 was closed due to high water near Laughery Creek.
High water was reported on Log Lick Road.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Indiana in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Indiana, February 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 998476, 998477, 998478, 998479, 998480, 998481, 998482.