Strong thunderstorms that developed along the sea breeze collision moved east and offshore of Volusia County. One storm became severe where it produced wind damage in Edgewater.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MLB wrote it up.
Strong thunderstorms that developed along the sea breeze collision moved east and offshore of Volusia County. One storm became severe where it produced wind damage in Edgewater.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 19, 2:06 PM EST, 1 hour 14 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 306 PM EDT Tue Jul 19 2022 .DISCUSSION... Rest of Today-Tonight...An active west coast sea breeze is working eastward through east central Florida. A fairly continuous line of showers and thunderstorms extends from near Pierson to Four Corners along the WCSB, and expected to collide with the east coast sea breeze, which is crawling its way to I-95, later in the afternoon. Have increased PoPs to 60pct for Osceola and Brevard counties northward, but kept the southern counties around 20-30pct. Hi-res models continue to agree on the most aggressive part of the sea breeze collision occurring near the coast from Daytona Beach to Melbourne southward, then pushing offshore in the south to southwesterly flow. Some storms may become strong, capable of winds 40 to 50 mph, frequent lightning, and torrential downpours leading to localized flooding of low lying and urban areas. A few showers and storms may linger towards sunset near the Cape, but for the rest of ECFL, showers and storms expected to push offshore or dissipate by the early evening. Afternoon highs will be in the low to mid 90s. A clear but muggy night will follow, with overnight lows in the mid 70s. Wednesday-Friday (Previous Discussion)...Weak, elongated positive- tilt trough along the SE seaboard Wed will deform/shear out THU, with the central CONUS and western Atlantic ridges merging by Fri. The surface ridge axis will respond by lifting slowly north from near Lake O Wed morning into the central CWA Fri, allowing winds to slowly back from S-SW to S-SE. The local diurnal convective pattern transitions from WCSB-dominant with an eastern boundary collision to interior collision by late week. Models RH/PWAT fields continue to paint deeper moisture across the northern CWA, while overall blended POPs have come down slightly and are now more in line with the inherited forecast, which undercut NBM a tad. For Wed, POPS range from 20 or less along the Treasure Coast to 50 NW of I-4, with 20 coast/30 inland for Thu, and 30 coast/40 inland (50 near Lake O) Fri. Max temps L90s near the coast and M90s inland (96-97F in normally hotter metro areas). Mins in the M-U70s. Saturday-Monday (Previous Discussion)...Mid level ridge remains parked across the southern tier of the US and the western Atlantic, keeping the low level ridge across or a little north of NOFL. Prevailing SE flow should keep higher rain chances over the interior and western peninsula through the extended range. Models show a weak inverted H50 trough moving westward beneath the ridge and across the peninsula Sun night-Mon. If the model consensus toward this solution holds, then Mon could wind up being wetter than advertised. For now, POPs remain 30-50, with highest numbers over the far S-W interior. Little change to max temps with L90s near the coast and M90s inland. Mins in the M70s. && .AVIATION... Robust line of convection extends from just west of ISM to DAB. Higher coverage than expected has necessitated TEMPO AMDs to all inland terminals from 19Z to 21Z. Convection will continue eastward, with additional development expected along the coast from TIX to MLB along the sea breeze collision. Stout southwesterly flow will keep storms moving to the northeast at 10 to 215 mph, so conditions expected to quickly improve after thunderstorms reach the terminals, with the exception of MLB and TIX where showers may linger to sunset. VFR conditions prevail after convection clears through the night and morning. Afternoon thunderstorms expected again Wednesday. && .MARINE... Rest of Today-Tonight...Mainly S-SW flow as Atlantic ridge axis extends to around Lake Okeechobee. Winds S-SE around 10 kts near the coast will turn back to prevailing S-SW tonight, and increasing a bit to 10-15 kts across the waters. Scattered showers moving offshore possible the rest of the afternoon and evening, then mostly clear conditions tonight. Seas 2-4 ft. Wednesday-Saturday (Previous Discussion)...Surface ridge axis slowly lifts north through central Florida from mid-late week, reaching the northern CWA by Sat. As low level winds back more southerly, the threat for strong offshore-moving late day storms decreases Thu and especially Fri-Sat with mean drying expected to lower overall coverage over the local Atlantic. Wind speeds AOB 10-15kt with seas 2-3ft. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 76 94 75 95 / 20 30 10 20 MCO 77 96 76 97 / 10 40 10 30 MLB 77 93 76 92 / 20 20 10 20 VRB 74 93 74 93 / 10 20 10 20 LEE 77 93 76 95 / 10 40 10 30 SFB 77 95 76 96 / 20 40 10 20 ORL 79 97 79 97 / 10 40 10 30 FPR 74 92 74 92 / 10 20 10 20 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && SHORT TERM...Fehling LONG TERM....Tollefsen AVIATION...Law
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Melbourne FL 1042 AM EDT Tue Jul 19 2022 AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159- 164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747-200000- Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia- Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm- Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia- Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia- Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm- Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia- Northern Lake-Orange-Seminole-Osceola-Okeechobee-Coastal Volusia- Southern Lake-Coastal Indian River-Coastal Saint Lucie- Coastal Martin-Inland Northern Brevard-Inland Indian River- Inland Saint Lucie-Inland Martin-Mainland Northern Brevard- Northern Brevard Barrier Islands-Inland Southern Brevard- Mainland Southern Brevard-Southern Brevard Barrier Islands- 1042 AM EDT Tue Jul 19 2022 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. .THUNDERSTORM IMPACT... Scattered lightning storms are expected to develop this afternoon from Vero Beach to Lake Kissimmee northward, though a stray storm or two is possible along the southern Treasure Coast. The strongest storms are going to produce frequent lightning strikes, wind gusts up to 40 mph, and torrential downpours. Movement will be towards the northeast at 15 to 20 mph. .FLOOD IMPACT... Locally heavy rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches are possible from Melbourne to Kissimmee northward. This could cause minor flooding of urban and poor drainage areas. .EXCESSIVE HEAT IMPACT... Afternoon temperatures are forecast to reach the low to mid 90s. Combined with high humidity, expect peak heat index values between 105 to 107. If outdoors this afternoon, be sure to take plenty of breaks in an air conditioned room, stay hydrated, and wear light colored clothing. .RIP CURRENT IMPACT... There is a moderate risk of rip currents at all Central Florida Atlantic beaches today. Always swim near a life guard and never swim alone. .MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT... Scattered lightning storms this afternoon and early evening will be capable of producing wind gusts of 35 knots on inland lakes, the Intracoastal Waterway, and nearshore Atlantic waters north of Sebastian Inlet. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. Scattered showers and lightning storms are forecast each afternoon for the rest of this week and weekend, with the highest coverage of storms being west of Interstate 95. The main threats from any strong storms will be frequent cloud to ground lightning strikes, torrential downpours, and gusty winds. The rip current risk is expected to remain moderate this week. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight. Haley/Rodriguez
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
313 PM EDT Tue Jul 19 2022
FLZ045-046-192015-
Orange FL-Seminole FL-
313 PM EDT Tue Jul 19 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern
Seminole and southwestern Orange Counties through 415 PM EDT...
At 312 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Sea World, or over Oak Ridge, moving northeast at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Orlando, Altamonte Springs, Winter Springs, Winter Park and
Casselberry.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 2873 8133 2836 8109 2835 8120 2835 8153
2842 8156
TIME...MOT...LOC 1912Z 233DEG 12KT 2844 8144
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
FehlingSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
322 PM EDT Tue Jul 19 2022
FLZ053-192015-
Osceola FL-
322 PM EDT Tue Jul 19 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Osceola
County through 415 PM EDT...
At 321 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Poinciana, or near West Lake Toho, moving northeast at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Kissimmee, Saint Cloud, Celebration, West Lake Toho and Intercession
City.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 2835 8153 2835 8128 2815 8114 2808 8135
2808 8136 2807 8135 2809 8145 2806 8145
2804 8143 2803 8145 2804 8146 2806 8146
2814 8145 2814 8152 2820 8152 2826 8156
2826 8166
TIME...MOT...LOC 1921Z 236DEG 11KT 2815 8146
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
FehlingSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
336 PM EDT Tue Jul 19 2022
FLZ041-045-046-141-247-347-192015-
Coastal Volusia FL-Orange FL-Seminole FL-Inland Volusia FL-
Mainland Northern Brevard FL-Inland Northern Brevard FL-
336 PM EDT Tue Jul 19 2022
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of eastern Seminole,
northwestern Brevard, central Orange and southeastern Volusia
Counties through 415 PM EDT...
At 336 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Osteen to Union Park. Movement was northeast at
30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Orlando, Deltona, Sanford, Oviedo and Winter Springs.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or hard-topped vehicle. Remember, when
thunder roars, go indoors!
&&
LAT...LON 2905 8087 2902 8084 2857 8087 2845 8134
2889 8123 2908 8089
TIME...MOT...LOC 1936Z 238DEG 27KT 2883 8119 2856 8126
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
SchaperSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
354 PM EDT Tue Jul 19 2022
FLZ053-192030-
Osceola FL-
354 PM EDT Tue Jul 19 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Osceola
County through 430 PM EDT...
At 354 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Lake Hart, or near Narcoossee, moving northeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
East Lake Toho, Narcoossee, Austin Tindall Park, Harmony and
Alligator Lake.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 2835 8108 2820 8100 2813 8121 2835 8136
TIME...MOT...LOC 1954Z 245DEG 21KT 2835 8124
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
FehlingPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
415 PM EDT TUE JUL 19 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0328 PM TSTM WND GST SANFORD AIRPORT 28.78N 81.24W
07/19/2022 M55 MPH SEMINOLE FL ASOS
ASOS MEASURED WIND GUST OUT OF THE WEST. 48 KTS/55 MPH.
&&
EVENT NUMBER MLB2200369
JPThe Melbourne radar (KMLB), 96 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:21 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Local broadcast media relayed a report of several trees and additional large tree limbs that were downed in Edgewater near the intersection of 30th Street, Lime Tree Drive, and Mango Tree Drive.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, July 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1033906.