Southeast steering flow focused the east coast sea breeze well inland into the afternoon where the merger of sea breezes and outflows occurred toward the I-75 corridor. Elevated DCAPE was near 1000 J/kg which promoted strong gusty winds in strongest storms.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.
Southeast steering flow focused the east coast sea breeze well inland into the afternoon where the merger of sea breezes and outflows occurred toward the I-75 corridor. Elevated DCAPE was near 1000 J/kg which promoted strong gusty winds in strongest storms.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 5, 12:40 PM EST, 1 hour 42 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 140 PM EDT Fri Aug 5 2022 .AVIATION... [Through 18Z Saturday] No change to previous thinking/package. The Atlantic sea breeze front is near the St Johns River and Interstate 95 north of Jacksonville Progressing inland. Have TEMPO groups for KVQQ and KGNV who have the best chance of seeing convection. Otherwise have kept the TS in VCNTY for the other fields. && .PREV DISCUSSION [918 AM EDT]... .NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]... A rather stagnant weather pattern will continue locally, as deep- layered ridging remains anchored to the northeast of Bermuda. This feature will continue to extend its axis westward across the Deep South, creating a deepening onshore flow pattern. Prevailing southeasterly flow will drive the region of deeper moisture that currently resides over our coastal waters onshore this morning. Scattered showers are expected to develop at coastal locations by the mid-morning hours, with some low-topped convection possible, as model soundings depict mid-level temperatures cooling off slightly as the day progresses. Showers and thunderstorms will then increase in coverage as they cross the Interstate 95 corridor and the St. Johns River, with numerous showers and embedded thunderstorms expected by the mid to late afternoon hours across the I-75 corridor, where a weak Gulf coast sea breeze will collide with westward-moving convection. Model soundings mostly depict weak lapse rates, so only a few storms may pulse as mesoscale boundaries collide later this afternoon across the Suwannee Valley and inland southeast GA. Some lingering dry air in the mid-levels will result in downdraft CAPE values rising to around 1,000 j/kg later this afternoon along the I-75 corridor, so a few storms that manage to pulse as boundaries collide may be capable of producing downburst winds of 40-50 mph, along with briefly heavy downpours and frequent cloud to ground lightning strikes. Morning cloudiness and showers along with an onshore breeze will keep highs in the upper 80s to around 90 at coastal locations, with low to mid 90s possible for locations along and west of I-75, where convection will likely not develop until the late afternoon hours. Maximum heat index values will generally peak in the 100-105 degree range. Convection will shift to the west of our region during the early evening hours, with another round of low-topped convection then developing overnight across our adjacent coastal waters. This activity will gradually migrate towards coastal locations towards sunrise. Fair skies will otherwise prevail inland, where patchy fog and low stratus may develop at inland areas that receive downpours later this afternoon and evening. Lows tonight will fall to the low and mid 70s inland, ranging to the upper 70s to around 80 at coastal locations, where a light onshore breeze will prevail through the night. .SHORT TERM [Saturday Through Monday]... High pressure initially off to the northeast will result in an easterly prevailing flow over the southeastern US this weekend with drier air moving across the forecast area. PWAT values will be predominantly below 2 inches during this period with reduced chances for showers and storms with convection initially developing along the shoreline and then progressing inland with the diurnal sea breeze, with stronger developments more likely to occur further inland. Increased chances for showers and storms for the the tail end of the weekend and the beginning of next week as instability ahead of encroaching high level ridging from out of the northeast crosses over the region. Prevailing flow will shift about to become more out of the south next week as rotation associated with high pressure ridging extends into closer proximity of the region. High temperatures for the weekend are expected to reach into the lower 90s with overnight low temperatures dropping down into the lower 70s for inland areas and in the mid to upper 70s along the coastline. .LONG TERM [Tuesday Through Friday]... Prevailing flow will continue to be primarily out of the south as the high pressure ridging from out of the northeast extends closer to the coast of southeast Georgia and northeast Florida. Drier air with PWAT values below 1.75 inches will settle in by midweek with daily bouts of scattered showers and storms occurring most commonly in conjunction with the daytime sea breeze boundaries and areas of collision. Temperature values for next week are expected to remain near the seasonal average. .MARINE... Atlantic high pressure centered to the north of Bermuda will continue to extend its axis across the southeastern states through the weekend, resulting in prevailing onshore winds. Showers and a few thunderstorms will remain possible throughout our local waters, with activity shifting westward across the near shore waters during the predawn and early morning hours this weekend. Seas of 2-3 feet will prevail both near shore and offshore through Saturday night. An inverted trough will then approach our local waters from the east on Sunday night, resulting in a brief increase in coverage of showers and thunderstorms. The axis of Atlantic high pressure will then gradually sink southward next week, resulting in prevailing southerly winds by Tuesday. Seas will build slightly on Sunday night and Monday, but should mostly remain in the 2-4 foot range both near shore and offshore. Rip Currents: A persistent east-southeasterly swell will combine with strengthening onshore winds during the afternoon hours following the passage of the sea breeze to keep a moderate rip current risk in place at all area beaches through the weekend. .FIRE WEATHER... East-southeasterly transport winds will gradually strengthen area-wide this afternoon, resulting in good dispersion values nearly area-wide. Onshore surface winds will become breezy for locations east of I-95 during the afternoon hours. Surface and transport winds will shift to easterly on Saturday, with gradually strengthening speeds during the afternoon hours again creating good dispersion values. Showers and possibly a few thunderstorms will be possible during the morning and early afternoon hours at coastal locations today and Saturday, with showers and thunderstorms then increasing in coverage as they progress westward across the Interstate 95 corridor. Easterly transport winds will become breezy by Sunday afternoon across north central FL, where marginally high dispersion values will be possible. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 72 92 72 92 71 / 20 40 20 40 20 SSI 79 87 78 87 77 / 20 30 20 40 20 JAX 75 91 74 91 74 / 20 30 10 40 10 SGJ 76 88 75 88 75 / 20 20 10 40 20 GNV 73 92 72 92 72 / 30 50 20 50 20 OCF 73 92 72 93 73 / 30 50 20 50 20 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GA...None. AM...None. &&
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
304 PM EDT Fri Aug 5 2022
FLZ140-240-340-051945-
Central Marion FL-Western Marion FL-Eastern Marion FL-
304 PM EDT Fri Aug 5 2022
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of central Marion County
through 345 PM EDT...
At 304 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Fort McCoy to near Ocala. Movement was
west at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Ocala, Fort McCoy, Anthony and Burbank.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 2942 8198 2923 8222 2916 8207 2930 8186
TIME...MOT...LOC 1904Z 111DEG 11KT 2931 8190 2919 8206
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
KBThe Jacksonville radar (KJAX), 133 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:22 UTC.
2 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Duke Energy reported power outages off of 45th Terrace due to trees and limbs blown down into power lines. The time of damage was based on radar.
Duke Energy Utility Company reported power outages north of Reddick near NW 160th Street and NW 43rd Court due to tress and limbs blown down onto utility equipment. The time of damage was based on radar. The cost of damage was unknown but it was estimated for Storm Data.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, August 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1045128, 1045129.