Northwesterly flow aloft aided in pushing a cold front southward into the region on the afternoon of September 25th. Despite only weak upper-level support, frontal forcing was sufficient to generate scattered convection along the frontal boundary during the afternoon.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SHV wrote it up.
Northwesterly flow aloft aided in pushing a cold front southward into the region on the afternoon of September 25th. Despite only weak upper-level support, frontal forcing was sufficient to generate scattered convection along the frontal boundary during the afternoon. The atmosphere was relatively uncapped, and with afternoon temperatures climbing into the mid 90s, moderate surface-based instability developed. However, a lack of deep layer moisture appeared to be a limiting factor for any severe weather although classic inverted-V forecast soundings indicated the potential for isolated damaging wind gusts from thunderstorm downbursts in the afternoon. Moisture proved to be sufficient for storms to rapidly develop by mid to late afternoon, quickly accelerating southward and producing sporadic damaging wind gusts and large hail across parts of Southwest Arkansas.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Shreveport, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 25, 1:22 PM CST, 23 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 222 PM CDT Sun Sep 25 2022 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Monday Night) Issued at 202 PM CDT Sun Sep 25 2022 Strong cold front is beginning its surge south and east into our area attm as sfc pressure rises can be seen north and west of the I-30 Corridor. Likewise, tighter pressure gradient exists across this region as well, not to mention the compressional warming we are seeing in the pre-frontal airmass near and southeast of the corridor. Over the last hour, a broken line of elevated convection has developed north and west of the I-30 Corridor with CB bases more consistent with upper midwest convection. For that reason, will need to watch for the possibility of dry microburst potential mainly through sunset between the I-30 and I-20 Corridors. Did expand low end chance pops just in advance of the current convection on radar through the evening hours but the closer we get to midnight, should really start to see convection loosing its coverage and intensity, as we are only forecasting rain chances less than 20 percent south of the I-20 Corridor after midnight. Cold front pushes through our entire region tonight with post frontal cold air advection in its wake. Did undercut NBM temps slightly overnight, especially across SE OK and SW AR. Stayed very close to NBM temps for daytime highs on Monday as milder and drier air continues to spill into the region. Did continue the trend of undercutting overnight minimum temperatures Monday night, again more so across our northern and northeastern zones as upper 40s cannot be ruled out across our more sheltered areas of SE OK and SW AR. 13 && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through next Saturday) Issued at 202 PM CDT Sun Sep 25 2022 A very welcomed shift in the pattern is expected over the course of this long-term, with the first extended period of fall temperatures likely. We'll start this long-term under the post-frontal airmass working in over the short-term, with highs Tuesday afternoon across the region ranging in the mid to upper-80s. Temperatures into Wednesday will follow this trend, for pretty much a seasonal feel afternoon wise into Thursday. However, there is a chance that overnight lows will be well below average into Thursday with limited cloud cover and stiff NE winds. The interesting shift, or rather reinforcement in the pattern looks to come on Thursday with the landfall of now TS Ian. Here, the surface trough will extend, or rather be forced down into the region by the landfalling tropical system. Trailing this trough will be another frontal boundary that is also getting pushed through the region by Ian. This should result in another shot of cold air, which will allow for below average temperatures headed into the weekend. Given how long-range guidance tends to plot warmer than actual during the overnight hours, widespread 40's are not out of the realm of possibility Thursday and Friday nights. /44/ && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1100 AM CDT Sun Sep 25 2022 While isolated to widely scattered convection will be possible later this afternoon through this evening near and south of the I-20 Corridor ahead of a strong cold front that will be moving through our airspace, storm coverage does not warrant mentioning in the 18z TAF package. Will instead handle anything close to an airport with an AMD if necessary. Otherwise, mid level cloud cover will be in an out across our airspace ahead of the front and post frontal as well but all ceilings should remain VFR in nature. Look for WNW winds prevailing near 10kts, with those winds quickly veering around to a NW, N and eventually NNE direction during this TAF period as well. 13 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 66 87 58 85 / 30 0 0 0 MLU 66 86 54 83 / 20 0 0 0 DEQ 55 88 50 87 / 10 0 0 0 TXK 61 86 55 85 / 20 0 0 0 ELD 58 83 49 81 / 30 0 0 0 TYR 65 87 59 88 / 30 0 0 0 GGG 64 87 55 86 / 30 0 0 0 LFK 66 89 55 88 / 20 0 0 0 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && SHORT TERM...13 LONG TERM....44 AVIATION...13
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Shreveport LA 533 AM CDT Sun Sep 25 2022 ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096- 097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-261045- Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette- Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto- Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-Grant- Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass- Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola- Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine- 533 AM CDT Sun Sep 25 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible along a cold front this afternoon and tonight, generally for all areas of the region along and south of the Interstate 30 corridor. Severe weather is not anticipated, but the strongest storms could produce gusty winds and brief heavy downpours. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. 20
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
149 PM CDT Sun Sep 25 2022
ARZ060-061-251930-
Hempstead AR-Nevada AR-
149 PM CDT Sun Sep 25 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central
Hempstead and central Nevada Counties through 230 PM CDT...
At 149 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Prescott, moving southeast at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Prescott, Emmet, Bluff City, White Oak Lake State Park, Mount Moriah,
Sutton, Morris, Laneburg and Boughton.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3390 9330 3388 9331 3384 9329 3384 9326
3383 9326 3383 9323 3382 9321 3370 9311
3369 9311 3358 9343 3389 9353 3395 9337
TIME...MOT...LOC 1849Z 336DEG 12KT 3387 9340
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
44Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
218 PM CDT Sun Sep 25 2022
ARZ060-061-252000-
Hempstead AR-Nevada AR-
218 PM CDT Sun Sep 25 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of eastern Hempstead
and west central Nevada Counties through 300 PM CDT...
At 217 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Washington, or 10 miles north of Hope, moving southeast at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Hope, Emmet, Blevins, Perrytown, Washington, Ozan, Oakhaven and
Sutton.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3386 9379 3392 9356 3363 9338 3354 9368
TIME...MOT...LOC 1917Z 336DEG 11KT 3382 9363
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
44Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
245 PM CDT Sun Sep 25 2022
ARZ061-252030-
Nevada AR-
245 PM CDT Sun Sep 25 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southern Nevada
County through 330 PM CDT...
At 244 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Emmet, or 9 miles south of Prescott, moving southeast at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Emmet, Rosston, Willisville, Bodcaw, Cale, Mount Moriah, Young,
Sutton, Morris, Waterloo, Laneburg and Falcon.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3348 9311 3345 9321 3346 9322 3345 9322
3344 9325 3344 9342 3345 9343 3362 9348
3371 9348 3377 9331
TIME...MOT...LOC 1944Z 336DEG 11KT 3367 9338
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
44The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 145 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:44 UTC.
6 thunderstorm wind, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
Three chicken houses had their roofs partially removed.
A barn was severely damaged near Rosston.
A 59 mph wind gust was recorded at the Texarkana Regional Airport.
Social media picture of nickel-sized hail in Texarkana, AR.
Several trees down across the northern and northwest parts of Miller County.
Trees downed along Highway 29 north of Bradley.
Trees downed near County Road 2 and Highway 160 East.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, September 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1056488, 1056489, 1056494, 1056487, 1056491, 1056492, 1056493.