Arizona, 2022

Flash Flooding in Arizona, July 29 to 30, 2022

July 29 to 30, 2022 · NWS FGZ · 4 events in 3 counties and zones

Deep monsoon moisture remained over northern Arizona with thunderstorms, heavy rain, and flash flooding.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$1.0 million
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.

Deep monsoon moisture remained over northern Arizona with thunderstorms, heavy rain, and flash flooding.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 29, 9:51 AM MST, 3 hours 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 29, 9:51 AM MST, 3 hours 29 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
951 AM MST Fri Jul 29 2022

.SYNOPSIS...An active monsoon pattern will continue with
widespread showers and thunderstorms expected. Flash flooding will
remain the main threat during this time.

&&

.UPDATE...Some showers and thunderstorms are starting to develop
across northeastern Arizona this morning. Motion of these storms
is towards the north-northeast and they are moving pretty quickly
so do not anticipate much coming from them other than a quick
burst of rain and some gusty winds. As we head into this
afternoon, expect the radar to fill in a bit more and with the
ripe conditions in place due to atmospheric moisture and wet
antecedent conditions, another day of potential flash flooding is
expected.

Made some updates to the PoPs to better reflect current radar and
trends. Otherwise, the forecast looks good and on track.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /244 AM MST/...Isolated showers and thunderstorms
continue this morning. Over western Navajo County, Coconino and
Yavapai Counties: most seem to be rotating around Mesoscale
Convective Vortices - remnants of strong storms that happened
over the past few days. This is similar to what we've seen with
storm activity the past two mornings. Across Gila, southern
Navajo and Apache Counties: we're seeing storms ahead of a
complex in southeastern Arizona this morning. The Flash Flood
threat continues for your morning commute. Turn around, don't
drown!

High Precipitable Water content continues across northern Arizona
with values above 1". This is due to the placement of high
pressure currently residing over the Pacific Northwest allowing
for moisture to advect across our region from the Gulf of
California. This will continue the Flash Flood threat especially
with the flooding we have seen thus far creating saturated soils
that are unable to absorb additional rainfall. The Flash Flood
Watch continues through early Saturday morning for all of northern
Arizona. Avoid slot canyons and swimming holes, have a way to get
to higher ground and have more than one way to receive warnings.
Do not drive into flood waters!

Beginning Sunday, the high looks to shift to our north and into
the Plains. This should tamper down some of the moisture
propagating into the region with some chances that we might return
to more normal looking monsoon day(s)- clear at night and in the
morning with thunderstorm activity in the late morning to early
evening. However, since models are showing differing solutions
related to the position of that high, we will have to see if the
deluge continues.

&&

AVIATION...For the 18Z TAF package...Widespread showers and
thunderstorms. VFR conditions with light winds except for MVFR/IFR
and gusty, erratic winds near and in storms. Storm coverage will
decrease after 06Z. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF
amendments.

&&

FIRE WEATHER...Widespread thunderstorms today with flash
flooding the main threat. Storm chances and coverage will decrease
overnight. Scattered to numerous storms Saturday. Light winds,
seasonally cool temperatures, and humid both days with gusty,
erratic winds in and near storms.

Sunday through Tuesday...Daily thunderstorms will continue through
Tuesday, with a slight decline in storm coverage each day. Flash
flooding will continue to be the major threat.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through late tonight for AZZ004>018-037>040-104>118-
137>140.

&&

PUBLIC...Meola/Kobold
AVIATION...MAS
FIRE WEATHER...MAS

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 29, 8:38 AM MST, 4 hours 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
838 AM MST FRI JUL 29 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0915 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 E CHINLE              36.15N 109.55W
07/26/2022                   APACHE             AZ   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A FEW PEOPLE WERE EVACUATED FROM A HOME THAT
            FLOODED IN EASTERN CHINLE NEAR CANYON DE
            CHELLY/CHINLE WASH. TIME ESTIMATED FROM
            RADAR.

&&

TM
Local storm report, Jul 29, 10:10 AM MST, 3 hours 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1010 AM MST FRI JUL 29 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0925 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 ENE STEAMBOAT CANYON  35.75N 109.84W
07/27/2022                   APACHE             AZ   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLOODING IN RURAL STEAMBOAT CANYON AZ. PHOTO
            EVIDENCE OF WATER/MUD WASHING OUT A
            RESIDENTIAL ROAD. TIME OF EVENT ESTIMATED
            FROM RADAR.

&&

TM
Local storm report, Jul 29, 10:54 AM MST, 2 hours 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1054 AM MST FRI JUL 29 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SSE HARDROCK          36.08N 110.44W
07/28/2022                   NAVAJO             AZ   PUBLIC

            PHOTO EVIDENCE OF WHITE VALLEY ROAD - N8031
            COMPLETELY WASHED OUT. NOT SURE THE EXACT
            TIME THE ROAD WASHED OUT, SO THE TIME STAMP
            IS THE TIME OF THE REPORT.

&&

TM
Local storm report, Jul 29, 11:09 AM MST, 2 hours 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1109 AM MST FRI JUL 29 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0150 PM     FLASH FLOOD      K'AI'BII'TO             36.61N 111.07W
07/27/2022                   COCONINO           AZ   PUBLIC

            PHOTO EVIDENCE OF WASHED OUT ROADS IN THE
            AREA. TIME IS ESTIMATED.

&&

TM

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 189 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:17 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

4 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Navajo

When
July 29, 1:20 PM MST to 3:20 PM MST
Where
Navajo County, 11.26 mi SE of Pinon to 3.57 mi NE of Keams Canyon
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
36.002, -110.059

Six feet of water was flowing through Burnt Corn Wash.

Flash Flood, Coconino

When
July 29, 4:00 PM MST to 8:00 PM MST
Where
Coconino County, 8.8 mi NNW of Flagstaff to 10.26 mi NNW of Flagstaff
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Property damage
$1.0 million
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
35.320, -111.702

Heavy rain over the Pipeline/Tunnel (2022) and Schultz Fire (2010) scars caused extensive flash flooding northwest through northeast of Flagstaff. Highway 89 northeast of Flagstaff was closed in both directions around mile post 425 around 442 PM MST. The following roads in far northeast Flagstaff were flooded: Copeland Lane, Gunman Road, Vista de Oro, Pioneer Valley Road, and Neptune Drive. Highway 180 northwest of Flagstaff was closed in both directions around MP 218 at 419 PM. The Stevanna Way and Coconino Estates neighborhoods on the northwest side of Flagstaff flooded with apartments, homes, and streets impacted.

Flash Flood, Apache

When
July 29, 5:13 PM MST to 7:00 PM MST
Where
Apache County, 5.75 mi NNE of Ft Defiance to 4.85 mi NE of Ft Defiance
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
35.830, -109.053

A video of flash flooding three miles north of Fort Defiance was posted on social media.

Flash Flood, Coconino

When
July 30, 7:19 PM MST to 9:19 PM MST
Where
Coconino County, 14.6 mi SSE of Page to 12.43 mi E of (Pga)page Arpt
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$20,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
36.743, -111.326

Heavy rain caused flash flooding in Antelope Canyon. The popular tourist slot canyon was closed for at least a day so that the water could be removed and sand could be replaced.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, July 2022

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1049727, 1049740, 1050114, 1050112.