Scattered thunderstorms along a frontal boundary produced heavy rain which caused flooding and flash flooding across portions of central and southeast Virginia.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS AKQ wrote it up.
Scattered thunderstorms along a frontal boundary produced heavy rain which caused flooding and flash flooding across portions of central and southeast Virginia.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 16, 3:05 AM EST, 1 hour 50 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 405 AM EDT Mon Aug 16 2021 .SYNOPSIS... Several rounds of heavy rain moves across the area for much of the early part of the week. Remnants of Tropical Storm Fred will track just to the west of the area Tuesday as high pressure sits along the coast. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 400 AM EDT Monday... Stalled frontal boundary continues to washout across northern VA and MD. Moisture continues to stream in from the south- southwest from the Atlantic Ocean and Gulf of Mexico. Showers and isolated thunderstorms have already developed across the areas early this morning. Showers and storms will continue to develop and move across the area into this afternoon. Heavy rain and localized flash flooding continues to be a threat through this evening. Especially in urban areas and in areas that have seen heavy rain the past few days. WPC has placed the Middle Peninsula, Northern Neck, and western portions of the Eastern Shore in a Slight Risk for excessive rainfall, and the rest of the area in a Marginal Risk. Pops area 50-70%, and 40-50% along the coast. High temperatures will be in the upper 80s for the southern portion of the area, and lower 80s north. Overnight lows will be around 70. && .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... As of 400 AM EDT Monday... Localized flash flooding will continue to be a threat for portions of the area Tuesday and Wednesday. Tuesday is now expected to be slightly drier than previously thought. The moisture from Tropical Storm Fred will be tracking west of the area (along the I-81 corridor) as sfc high pressure sits along the coast. Pops are less than 20% along the coast and 30-40% west of I-95. WPC has taken the eastern portion of our area out of any threat for excessive rainfall for Tuesday, and Marginal Risk for Richmond and points west. High temperatures will be in the upper 80s east and mid 80s west. As the remnants of Fred tracks northeast across northern MD and central PA, moisture from the south will increase. Pops increase for Wednesday and Wednesday afternoon, except along the coast. WPC has place the central and northern VA in a marginal risk for excessive rainfall for Wednesday and Wednesday night. Highs will be in the 80s and lows around 70. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 200 AM EDT Monday... The the ridge aloft, that has been located over the Southeast U.S. coast, will slide south then west along the northern gulf coast. A trough will move south across the Great Lakes and be situated just north of the area. This will allow for a westerly flow aloft over the region and allow for a little drying. However, Afternoon convection each day. Temperatures will be near normal. Highs will be in the upper 80s and lows around 70. && .AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 200 AM EDT Monday... Mid to low clouds have developed across the area tonight. In addition, heavy rain showers have developed and are moving from southwest to northeast. MVFR and IFR conditions are expected through the night. With IFR remaining inland and MVFR (and come VFR) conditions along the coast. CIGs will lift after sunrise MOnday morning but remain BKN/OVC 040-060 with passing thunderstorms. && .MARINE... As of 240 AM EDT Monday... Latest wx analysis shows a weak quasi-stationary frontal boundary draped along/just north of the VA-NC border, as high pressure remains well to our N. Winds are generally E-NE at ~10 kt, with 2-3 ft seas and 1-2 ft waves in the Bay/Sound. Sub-SCA conditions continue to prevail through much of the week. Previously referenced front lingers along the coast of SE VA/ern NC, and slowly edge north as a warm front during the early to middle part of the week, as the remnants of Fred track well to our W...with little to no impacts expected over the marine area. Winds will generally be SE from today through Tue, with speeds averaging around 10 kt. Winds become S-SE on Wed, then S-SW by Thu (perhaps increasing to 10-15 kt). Again, conditions are likely to remain sub-SCA throughout the period. Seas will generally be 2-3 ft through much of the week...with 1-2 ft waves on the Bay. Maintained a moderate rip risk for the northern beaches today, given surf heights of 2-3 ft, shore normal flow, and increasing wave periods with developing SE swell. && .AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...None. NC...None. VA...None. MARINE...None. && SYNOPSIS...CP NEAR TERM...CP SHORT TERM...CP LONG TERM...CP AVIATION...CP MARINE...ERI/MAM
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wakefield VA 539 AM EDT Mon Aug 16 2021 MDZ022>024-NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ077-078-081>090-092-093-095>098- 518-520-522>525-170945- Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Northampton-Hertford-Gates- Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans- Eastern Currituck-Northumberland-Lancaster-Prince George- Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester-Middlesex-Mathews-Greensville- Sussex-Surry-James City-Southampton-Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth- Suffolk-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-Eastern King William- Eastern King and Queen-Eastern Essex-York-Newport News- Hampton/Poquoson- 539 AM EDT Mon Aug 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, northeast North Carolina, east central Virginia, eastern Virginia, south central Virginia and southeast Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Heavy rain today may produce localized flash flooding. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. MDZ025-VAZ099-100-170945- Maryland Beaches-Accomack-Northampton- 539 AM EDT Mon Aug 16 2021 ...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, eastern Virginia and southeast Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK. Heavy rain today may produce localized flash flooding. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. MDZ021-VAZ048-060>062-064>069-075-076-079-080-509>517-519-521-170945- Dorchester-Fluvanna-Prince Edward-Cumberland-Goochland-Caroline- Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-Powhatan-Westmoreland-Richmond- Brunswick-Dinwiddie-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover- Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield- Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- Western King William-Western King and Queen-Western Essex- 539 AM EDT Mon Aug 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, central Virginia, east central Virginia, north central Virginia and south central Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Heavy rain today may produce localized flash flooding. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Additional rounds of heavy rainfall may lead to localized flooding Tuesday and Wednesday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 53 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 09:54 UTC.
8 flash flood, 1 flood, 1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
Ware Bottom Spring Road (Route 898) was closed due to standing water over the roadway.
Lane closures were reported due to standing water on Route 10 near Rushmere.
Lanes were closed on Route 673 near Lawson due to flash flooding.
Flash flooding was reported with some roads impassable.
Flash flooding was reported along London Boulevard.
Rainfall total of 2.73 inches was reported between 100 pm and 400 pm.
Amster Road, Schloss Road, and Route 687 were flooded and impassable.
High water was reported at the intersection of Arrow Point Trail and West Providence Road.
Road was impassable due to flash flooding near the intersection of Gayton Road and Monmouth Drive.
Flooding was reported near Parham Road and Patterson Avenue. Some roads in the area were flooded and impassable.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Virginia in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, August 2021
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 982720, 982691, 982697, 982701, 982707, 982745, 982715, 982717, 982729, 982736.