Heavy rainfall from thunderstorms resulted in widespread street flooding in Madison County.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS HGX wrote it up.
Heavy rainfall from thunderstorms resulted in widespread street flooding in Madison County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Houston/Galveston, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 12, 5:22 AM CST, 5 hours 8 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 622 AM CDT Mon Jul 12 2021 .AVIATION [12Z TAF Issuance]... Mostly VFR conditions this morning, but a BKN deck of 1500 to 2500 ft is spread across the north bringing MVFR conditions to CLL, UTS and CXO. Periods of MVFR CIGs will also be possible at IAH through the next few hours. A slow moving line of showers and thunderstorms is progressing down through the area. It will bring VCTS to CLL and UTS this morning, and then down to CXO and IAH by the mid to late morning. The line is slow moving, so the precipitation will linger for a couple hours once it reaches a terminal. The line will be fading as it progresses south, but some isolated showers will be possible at SGR and CLL this afternoon. South to southwesterly flow will prevail through the period. Fowler && .PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 445 AM CDT Mon Jul 12 2021/... .SHORT TERM [Today through Tuesday Night]... A near stationary boundary has been located just north of Houston County all night producing showers and thunderstorms. This boundary will slowly push southward through the morning getting down to the College Station-Huntsville-Lake Livingston line by sunrise. Gusty winds, lightning, and locally heavy rainfall will be possible, but nothing enough to cause any major issues. The line of precipitation will be losing its rigor as it pushes further southwards, but some showers should make its way into Harris County by mid-morning. Like yesterday, the line will continue to weaken and wash in the afternoon. However, isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will remain a possibility through the day thanks to daytime heating and remaining moisture. After sunset, there will be a lull in precipitation that will last through the night. Chance of storms returns on Tuesday, but these storms will be focused mainly south of I-45 along the seabreeze in the afternoon. High temperatures today will again be in the low to mid 90s, and then solidly in the mid 90s on Tuesday. Overnight lows will continue to be in the mid 70s inland and near 80s along the coast. Fowler .LONG TERM [Wednesday Through Monday]... Moisture should be increasing Wednesday morning with high pressure to the northeast keeping the SE flow in place. Rain chances should be mainly diurnally driven along the seabreeze. ECMWF is trending a little wetter Friday as deeper moisture arrives and the morning starts off with a bit stronger coastal speed convergence and the upper shear axis over the area sags south to near the coast. Have favored this slightly with 40-45 chances on rain Thursday and Friday as the dominant upper ridge near or north of the 4 Corners area wobbles northward. Slightly cooler temperatures aloft/weaker capping occurs before the profile starts to warm back up and deeper moisture moves well inland and drier air at least in the 900-700mb layer arrives. Will be watching a wave near Cuba fill and slip westward as this may be the next greater chance of rain if it doesn't get shunted into Mexico or fills. Overall looking for afternoon temperatures close to climo and a little warmer on mins by a degree or 3. Time for the mosquitos to make a comeback. .MARINE... Mostly quiet for the marine areas with 5-10 and 10-15 knots the primary winds across the area...a little stronger over the Gulf at night and then stronger in the bays during the afternoon with the seabreeze expanding inland. Seas 2-4 feet this week. The variations will probably be in the form of weather - showers and thunderstorms as the moisture deepens Thursday and Friday expect to see an increase in coverage. Tide levels and rip currents should be closer to normal for much of the week if not all the way into the weekend. 45 .HYDROLOGY... River levels continuing to steadily lower and 4 more have dropped out of flood since Sunday afternoon. Boling/Strane Park/Sweeny the only remaining in flood. .TROPICAL... Quiet if not dusty. The big dust storm that came off of Africa 3 days ago is moving through the Caribbean and could reach SETX late Friday or Saturday on way out on the east side of tropical wave. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 89 73 91 73 92 / 50 10 20 10 20 Houston (IAH) 91 75 92 75 92 / 50 10 40 0 30 Galveston (GLS) 88 80 88 80 89 / 20 10 30 10 30 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. &&
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 908 AM CDT Mon Jul 12 2021 TXZ164-177>179-121445- San Jacinto TX-Walker TX-Polk TX-Trinity TX- 908 AM CDT Mon Jul 12 2021 ...Strong Thunderstorms Moving From Walker County into San Jacinto County... At 907 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7 miles west of Point Blank, or 13 miles east of Huntsville, moving northeast at 25 mph. Winds to about 40 mph will be possible with the strongest part of this storm. Locations impacted include... Onalaska, Point Blank and Oakhurst. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3065 9549 3076 9542 3092 9516 3069 9506 TIME...MOT...LOC 1407Z 244DEG 24KT 3071 9533
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
936 AM CDT Mon Jul 12 2021
TXZ164-177>179-199-121515-
San Jacinto TX-Walker TX-Polk TX-Montgomery TX-Trinity TX-
936 AM CDT Mon Jul 12 2021
...Strong Thunderstorms Capable of Producing Heavy Rain and Gusty
Winds...
At 935 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Point Blank to 10 miles west of Coldspring
to near Panorama Village. Movement was northeast at 25 mph.
Winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with these storms.
Locations impacted include...
Northwestern Conroe, Willis, Livingston, Shepherd, Panorama Village,
Onalaska, Corrigan, Coldspring, Point Blank, Lake Livingston State
Park, West Livingston, Oakhurst and Evergreen.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3112 9479 3073 9492 3050 9501 3033 9554
3049 9543 3081 9530 3113 9481
TIME...MOT...LOC 1435Z 238DEG 20KT 3082 9521 3054 9530 3038 9546Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1012 AM CDT Mon Jul 12 2021
TXZ178-179-199-200-121600-
San Jacinto TX-Northern Liberty TX-Polk TX-Montgomery TX-
1012 AM CDT Mon Jul 12 2021
...LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF
HEAVY DOWNPOURS AS IT ADVANCES EASTWARD...
At 1012 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Livingston to Splendora. Movement was
southeast at 30 mph.
Winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with these storms.
Locations impacted include...
Northern Liberty, Cleveland, Livingston, Shepherd, Onalaska,
Splendora, Patton Village, Roman Forest, Woodbranch, Coldspring,
Hardin, Plum Grove, Kenefick, Goodrich, North Cleveland, Dayton
Lakes, Lake Livingston State Park, West Livingston, Alabama-Coushatta
Reservation and Moss Hill.
LAT...LON 3049 9454 3049 9473 3028 9466 3008 9480
3013 9509 3017 9510 3014 9513 3019 9539
3084 9509 3078 9460
TIME...MOT...LOC 1512Z 299DEG 25KT 3075 9492 3024 9519The Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 118 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 16:31 UTC.
2 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Several county roadways were closed across parts of Northern Madison County due to floodwaters.
FM 2289 from TX-OSR to FM 978 was closed due to flooding. A social media picture showed water covering the roadway.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2021
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 966839, 966837.