Strong rip currents off of Conimicut Point in Warwick, RI (Narragansett Bay) caused the drowning death of a 10 year old girl and of the 45 year old man who went in to attempt to rescue her.
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The episode as NWS BOX wrote it up.
Strong rip currents off of Conimicut Point in Warwick, RI (Narragansett Bay) caused the drowning death of a 10 year old girl and of the 45 year old man who went in to attempt to rescue her.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 20, 1:27 PM EST, 1 hour 33 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 227 PM EDT Sun Jun 20 2021 .SYNOPSIS... Dry, very warm but less humid conditions (away from the south coast) this afternoon. Hot and very humid conditions arrive Monday which will be followed by more showers and thunderstorms Monday night into Tuesday. The heat and humidity break late Tuesday and Tuesday night, with much more seasonable and less humid weather Wednesday. Warmer and more humid return Friday and Saturday. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... 2 PM and 1030 AM Update... No changes to the latest update, have just brought things in line with the latest observations. 7 AM Update... Area of altocu after sunrise, seen by satellite over Eastern and Central MA, Nrn RI, and Northeast CT. West edge was moving east of the CT River. This will continue to move east, reaching Boston around 1330Z/930AM and moving east of Provincetown about 1630Z/1230PM. So the trend will be mostly sunny or becoming mostly sunny today. Hourly temps are close to forecast. The sky cover forecast has been changed through midday. The forecast is otherwise unchanged from the 415 AM edition. 415 AM Discussion... Mid-level ridge builds over New England behind an exiting short- wave trough that was responsible for triggering last nights showers/thunderstorms. Northwest winds aloft will usher in drier air which will allow for mostly sunny skies this afternoon. May see some diurnal cu/stratocu develop after noon. South/southwest winds along the south coast will keep dewpoints south of the I-90 corridor in the low 60s. Southwest flow aloft will produce WAA that will bring temperatures at 925 hPa and 850 hPa to 20-22 C and 16-18 C respectively. This will support high temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s this afternoon. Areas along the south coast will be a bit muggy with the low 60s dewpoints, but north of I-90 conditions will be a bit more comfortable with lower dewpoints in the upper 50s. There will also be several hundred J/Kg of CAPE available this afternoon that would support thunderstorm development, but forcing for ascent will be very limited. Westerly upslope flow and weak PVA aloft may be enough to support an isolated shower/thunderstorm out toward the Berkshires this afternoon. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/... .Tonight. Persistent deep southwest flow will allow for significant moisture transport that will bring PWATs up to the 1.5"-1.75" range Tonight into Monday morning. 1.75" would be well above the 90th percentile for southern New England on June 20th (1.55") per SPC sounding climatology. As a result we should see increasing cloud cover overnight as a broad upper-level trough approaches the eastern US from The Great Lakes Region. This will keep overnight low temperatures in the upper 60s and perhaps even close to 70 in the urban areas early tomorrow morning. .Monday. By tomorrow what's left of Tropical Depression Claudette will be making it's way up the east coast as a cold front associated with the aforementioned upper-level trough approaches from the west. At this point the NHC is forecasting Claudettee to pass well south and east of New England. Nonetheless strengthening southwest flow ahead of the approaching cold front will advect rich low-level moisture from Claudette into southern New England. This will bring dewpoints into the upper 60s to near 70 degrees Monday afternoon! With temps at 925 hPa still hovering in the low 20s C, we should see another afternoon with highs close to 90 degrees F. This will make for rather oppressive humidity for southern New England Monday afternoon. However the strengthening southwest winds gusting over 20 knots should provide at least some relief. SPC has placed the northwestern portion of the forecast area in a marginal risk for severe weather Monday evening. Instability will be respectable over this area (> 1000 J/kg) and there will be modest shear (30-35 kts 0-6 km shear) to potentially support organized thunderstorms. There is still a bit of uncertainty with respect to both timing and areal extent of thunderstorm activity tomorrow evening as both the timing of the frontal passage and the exact track of Claudette will play a role in the outcome. For now have left chance showers/thunderstorms for northwestern MA beginning around 6 pm Monday. Details will become a bit more clear with the next forecast package. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... Big Picture... Hudsons Bay upper low creates a broad cyclonic upper flow over the North Central USA Tuesday, which drifts east to the Northeast USA Wednesday, then lifts north into Canada. Another upper trough then drops from Canada into the Northern Plains Saturday. Contour heights, reflecting temperatures through the deep layer, are a little below normal Tuesday, then around seasonable normals Wednesday-Thursday and trending above normal Friday-Saturday. Agreement among the models through Wednesday. Even in subsequent differences, the models trend the same way Friday and Saturday. Main uncertainty is in the extent of tropical moisture Monday night and Tuesday and movement of a cold front through New England Tuesday. Confidence is moderate-high Monday night-Tuesday, high Wednesday- Thursday, and moderate Friday-Saturday. Details... Monday night and Tuesday... 00Z guidance continues to take the remnants of Claudette well offshore Monday night. Vapor transport charts show the bulk of tropical moisture also remaining offshore, but with a chance that the edge of the moisture will clip the Islands and parts of Cape Cod Monday night/Tuesday morning. Also shown is a second area of strong vapor transport through the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes. This seems to be associated with a cold front pushed east by the broad upper trough. Convective parameters with this show a mixed bag. HREF shows mean CAPE of 2000 in the NW part of Mass, LI minus 3 to minus 5...parameters that are most favorable are in Western and especially NW Mass during Monday evening, diminishing by 10 PM. Will expect thunderstorms at that time and place, with weaker shower/thunder potential through the night as the cold front approaches. Cold front moves through during Tuesday. Clearing will take place behind the cold front Tuesday night. Dew points of 65 to 70 suggest Monday night min temps in a similar range. Also areas of fog. The high humidity lingers until the cold front passes, then dew points will lower from west to east...probably mid to late afternoon...into the upper 50s and lower 60s. Based on temps aloft, expect highs Tuesday in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Wednesday through Friday... High pressure builds in with subsidence and fair weather. Light winds Thursday and Friday should allow sea breezes to form along the Mass East Coast, keeping temps a little cooler than the interior. Expect min temps to range from the upper 40s to mid 50s, based on dew points. Temps aloft 8-11C Wednesday support max temps in the 70s and low 80s. By Friday expect those upper temps to be 12-14C, supporting low to mid 80s....again, cooler along the coast. Comfortable each day with seasonable temperatures. Saturday... Continued warming trend from Friday, with temps aloft 15-16C and supporting max temps mid to upper 80s. Cold front moves to the Eastern Great Lakes, and question will be whether a pre-frontal sfc trough develops in the Hudson Valley or Western New England. For now we will mention a chance of showers/thunder for Saturday in Nrn CT and Western/Central MA. && .AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Forecaster Confidence Levels. Low - less than 30 percent. Moderate - 30 to 60 percent. High - greater than 60 percent. Today...High confidence. VFR with light W to SW winds. Only exception is across the coastline where localized sea breezes are occurring. Have some fair weather cumulus with bases around 6 kft. Could have some gusts to 15-20 kts across the Cape Cod terminals. Tonight...High confidence in trends, moderate in timing. VFR conditions persist at the majority of terminals. Am anticipating fog/stratus to advect into the south coast. Should see conditions lower to IFR/VLIFR late. Some guidance brings this activity into the BOS area toward daybreak, but have only hinted at the possibility at this time. Southerly winds between 3-10 kts. Monday...High confidence. Expecting the fog/stratus to lift across most of the south coast terminals to VFR, but may linger for the Islands for much of the day. Elsewhere VFR with scattered shower/storms moving into western MA/CT during the evening. Have held off from including this activity in the latest set of TAFs. Southerly winds at 10-15 kts and gusts of 20-25 kt. Monday night...Moderate confidence. MVFR to LIFR conditions across southern New England with the lowest over the south coast due to stratus/fog. Shower and thunderstorm activity diminishing as it pushes eastward. More likely from central MA/RI westward. Southerly winds around 5-10 kts shifting to the W/WNW as the cold front slides in toward daybreak. KBOS TAF...High confidence in TAF. Sea breeze ending around 21-22Z and winds shift to the SW. KBDL TAF...High Confidence in TAF. Low possibility of TSRA 21-02Z. Have not included in the latest update. Outlook /Tuesday through Thursday/... Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA, slight chance TSRA. Tuesday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA. Wednesday through Thursday: VFR. && .MARINE... Forecaster Confidence Levels. Low - less than 30 percent. Moderate - 30 to 60 percent. High - greater than 60 percent. Short Term /through Monday/...High Confidence. Modest southwest winds in the 10-15 knot range this afternoon with seas ranging from 0-4 feet from the near-shore waters to the offshore waters. Southwest flow strengthens on Monday as a cold front advances from the west and Tropical Depression Claudette passes to the south. This will bring SCY conditions with southwest wind gusts up over 20 knots and seas up to 6 feet by Monday evening over the outer marine zones. Could also see some patchy sea-fog develop off The South Coast and outer Cape on Monday as well. Outlook /Monday Night through Thursday/... Monday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Patchy fog. Local visibility 1 nm or less. Monday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Slight chance of rain showers, slight chance of thunderstorms, patchy fog. Areas of visibility 1 nm or less. Tuesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Local rough seas. Chance of rain showers, areas fog, slight chance of thunderstorms. Areas of visibility 1 to 3 nm. Tuesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain showers. Wednesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Wednesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft. Thursday: Winds less than 25 kt. && .BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...None. MA...None. RI...None. MARINE...None. && SYNOPSIS...WTB/BL/RM NEAR TERM...WTB/BL/RM SHORT TERM...RM LONG TERM...WTB AVIATION...BL MARINE...WTB/RM
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 629 AM EDT Sun Jun 20 2021 CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-RIZ001>008-211030- Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA- Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA- Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA- Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA- Southern Worcester MA-Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA- Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA- Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-Southern Bristol MA- Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-Nantucket MA- Northern Middlesex MA-Northwest Providence RI- Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-Bristol RI- Washington RI-Newport RI-Block Island RI- 629 AM EDT Sun Jun 20 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Connecticut, all of Massachusetts east of Berkshire County, and Rhode Island. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Widely scattered thunderstorms may move into Western Massachusetts and adjacent Connecticut on Monday between 5 and 10 PM. One or two thunderstorms could produce strong or damaging wind gusts. All thunderstorms are capable of producing cloud-to-ground lightning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256-211030- Boston Harbor-Cape Cod Bay-Nantucket Sound-Vineyard Sound- Buzzards Bay-Rhode Island Sound-Narragansett Bay-Block Island Sound- Coastal waters east of Ipswich Bay and the Stellwagen Bank National Marine Sanctuary-Massachusetts Bay and Ipswich Bay- Coastal waters from Provincetown MA to Chatham MA to Nantucket MA out 20 nm- Coastal Waters extending out to 25 nm South of Marthas Vineyard and Nantucket- Coastal Waters from Montauk NY to Marthas Vineyard extending out to 20 nm South of Block Island- 629 AM EDT Sun Jun 20 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts and Rhode Island coastal waters. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. For more information on upcoming hazardous weather, please see the Area Forecast Discussion on our webpage for the latest forecast thinking. There is also our Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook at www.weather.gov/box/ehwo For the latest updates...please visit our webpage at www.weather.gov/boston You can follow us on Facebook at www.facebook.com/nwsboston You can follow us on Twitter at @NWSBoston
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.
Strong rip currents off of Conimicut Point in Warwick, RI (Narragansett Bay) caused the drowning death of a 10 year old girl and of the 45 year old man who went in to attempt to rescue her. Time approximate.
As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.
| Event | Date | Age | Sex | Where | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rip Current, Eastern Kent | 2021-06-20 | 10 | Female | In Water | Direct |
| Rip Current, Eastern Kent | 2021-06-20 | 45 | Male | In Water | Direct |
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Rhode Island in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Rhode Island, June 2021
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 956282.