The D2 Severe Drought status remained constant for these counties despite precipitation amounts being near normal. 25.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GLD wrote it up.
The D2 Severe Drought status remained constant for these counties despite precipitation amounts being near normal. Precipitation ranged from 0.01 - 0.25.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 30, 9:50 PM CST, 2 hours 10 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Goodland KS 850 PM MST Tue Nov 30 2021 .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday) Issued at 140 PM MST Tue Nov 30 2021 The Tri-State area will be under northwest flow aloft due to high pressure sitting along the West Coast through the short term period. Shortwaves will travel along the ridge this evening as a weak trough moves over the Northern Plains overnight. Overnight lows are forecast to be in the mid 20s to mid 30s. Wednesday and Thursday, a lee trough will strengthen along the Front Range as weak shortwaves gradually push a cold front across the Plains and the Tri-State area late Thursday. The upper area of high pressure will move into the Four Corners, helping temperatures climb well above normal in the 70s. Near-record to record highs are possible both days. See the Climate section below for the list of records. With the increase in temperatures elevated to near critical fire weather conditions are possible mainly along and west of Highway 27 both days. RH values are currently forecast to be in the mid to upper teens in the area of concern, while the remainder of the area sees values in the low to mid 20s. Wind gusts on Wednesday could gust up to 30 mph. There are no fire weather hazard products issued at this time due to the lack or brief overlap in conditions. Burning is not advised. Thursday, the winds are a big limiting factor as they will be light from the south. Overnight lows are forecast to be in the 30s to lower 40s Wednesday night and the 30s Thursday night. .LONG TERM...(Friday through Tuesday) Issued at 205 PM MST Tue Nov 30 2021 The long term period continues to look dry with above average temperatures through the weekend and into next week. Next week also brings the area a chance for both cooler temperatures and precipitation though plenty of uncertainty remains. For Friday through Sunday, dry conditions with temperatures that are slightly above normal remain in the forecast in spite of multiple cold front passages during that time period. In the wake of the first front early Friday, high temperatures are only expected to reach the low 60's which would still be around 10 degrees warmer than average. Winds are expected to be breezy out of the north in the wake of the front with clear skies through the day. Saturday remains slightly cooler with temperatures in the mid 50's in the post frontal air and as an upper level cut-off low moves across the Southern CONUS and begins to help lower heights. Sunday the cooler temperatures remain in place as a shortwave trough moves through the Northern CONUS with the cut-off low moving further east, which will bringing another cold front across the area. Winds will shift to out of the north again and skies will remain clear. Precip is not expected with the frontal passage as the air remains dry through the lower couple hundred mbs though guidance has hinted at a small chance for some light rain and showers around the Nebraska border right along the front. No mention of rain now given the dry trend and the chance for the trough to stay further north as some ensembles are suggesting. Even if it did rain, it does not look like it would be anything more than light rain and sprinkles. Monday on has guidance diverge a bit though most models agree on the general pattern of an amplifying upper trough extending down into the the Central CONUS. While this would help unsettle our weather, Monday looks to be warmer compared to the weekend and remain dry as the broader trough becomes more zonal while heights lower over the Western CONUS. Tuesday has a high amount of uncertainty due to the diverging solutions but am currently leaning towards similar conditions to Monday. Reason being is the trend in guidance so far and most guidance does not bring the next trough through until Wednesday or beyond. If this is the case, the current forecast period as a whole will be dry with above average temperatures. However, if the next trough does form as guidance is suggesting and moves through quicker, Tuesday could be cooler than forecasted and potentially wetter. Otherwise, will have to see in future forecasts what is in store for the mid and later part of next week. && .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night) Issued at 850 PM MST Tue Nov 30 2021 KGLD...VFR conditions through the period. A west wind around 10kts at taf issuance will continue through late Wednesday morning before increasing into the 12-15kt range with some higher gusts through 21z. After 22z winds subside to 11kts or less from the west. KMCK...VFR conditions through the period. A west wind under 10kts at taf issuance will rise slightly to 12kts or so from 19z-21z. After 22z winds subside below 11kts from the west. && .CLIMATE... Issued at 140 PM MST Tue Nov 30 2021 December 1st Maximum Temperature Records: (+ denotes multiple years) Burlington...71 in 1998 McCook...75 in 1995 Goodland...73 in 1917 Tribune...75 in 1917 Hill City...75 in 1998 Yuma...69 in 1999 December 2nd Maximum Temperature Records: (+ denotes multiple years) Burlington...71 in 2008+ Colby...75 in 1926 Goodland...76 in 1926 Tribune...74 in 1926 Hill City...73 in 1972 Yuma...69 in 1999+ McCook...72 in 2012 && .GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...NONE. CO...NONE. NE...NONE. && SHORT TERM...KMK LONG TERM...KAK AVIATION...99 CLIMATE...KMK
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Goodland KS 500 PM MST Tue Nov 30 2021 COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-011200- Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas- Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock- Red Willow- 500 PM MST Tue Nov 30 2021 /600 PM CST Tue Nov 30 2021/ This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska... northwest Kansas and east central Colorado. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT... No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY... Record and near record high temperatures are expected across the area Wednesday and Thursday. Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions are expected late Wednesday morning through the afternoon along and west of Kansas Highway 27. Outdoor burning is not advised. Elevated fire weather conditions are possible along and west of Kansas Highway 27 Thursday afternoon. Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions are possible Monday afternoon across Yuma and Kit Carson counties in Colorado, Dundy county Nebraska and Cheyenne county Kansas. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Precipitation for the month ranged from 0.10 - 0.25. This was near normal, with normal precipitation ranging from 0.25 - 0.50.
Precipitation for the month ranged from 0.01 - 0.25, with the highest in the southeast part of the county. This was near normal, with normal precipitation ranging from 0.25 - 0.50, except for the southeast part of the county which ranged from 0.50 - 1.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Nebraska in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Nebraska, December 2021
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 993640, 993639.