Montana, 2021

High Wind in Montana, December 1, 2021

December 1, 2021 · NWS TFX · 15 events in 15 counties and zones

A strong upper level jet streak moved over North-Central Montana, bringing powerful winds to the area, especially along the Rocky Mountain Front. Wind gusts along the Rocky Mountain Front exceeded 100 mph in some locations, particularly at Deep Creek and at the Two Medicine Bridge along US 2.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
15

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

A strong upper level jet streak moved over North-Central Montana, bringing powerful winds to the area, especially along the Rocky Mountain Front. Wind gusts along the Rocky Mountain Front exceeded 100 mph in some locations, particularly at Deep Creek and at the Two Medicine Bridge along US 2. Wind gusts in excess of 60 mph spread across the plains, with most of North-Central Montana seeing High Wind Criteria. Of note, several fires occurred during this wind event. More information on these fires are under the episode titled Wind-fueled fires sweep across the plains.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 1, 2:05 AM MST, 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 1, 2:05 AM MST, 25 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
205 AM MST Wed Dec 1 2021

.SYNOPSIS...

Periods of strong winds will continue along the Rocky Mountain Front
and adjacent plains tonight, expanding out into much of the North-
Central Plains through this evening. Record high temperatures
expected today, with most areas warming into the 60s and possibly
the 70s.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today through Friday...Strong and gusty winds continue to push
across the Central and North-Central Plains tonight through this
evening. Morning gusts are expected to be isolated in Blaine, Hill,
Chouteau, and Liberty counties, thus have elected to upgrade the
High Wind Watch to a Warning through 4z Thursday. Chouteau and Hill
counties have already hit high warning criteria between 5 and 6z
tonight. All other highlights have been left as is; however, may
need to extend the highlight for Rocky Mountain Front and Glacier
County, as confidence wasn't high enough to adjust at this time.
Primary impacts are to travel, which may be difficult at times,
especially to high profile vehicles. Additionally, areas immediately
adjacent to the Rocky Mountain Front may also experience blowing
dust through the next 12 or so hours, resulting in periods of
reduced visibility. Wind gusts are expected to decrease after
Thursday morning through the early portion of the weekend.
Furthermore, Today's high temperatures are still on trend to
potentially create new record highs, as old records will likely be
shattered by 5-10 degrees. For further details, please find the
Climate section below.

Saturday through next Wednesday...Winds are expected to decrease
drastically from previous days. High temperatures will begin to
return closer to seasonal averages. There is higher confidence that
the snow probability for this weekend to be diminished as latest
models have come in warmer and drier than previous runs. However,
model guidance shows a shortwave passing through the region early
next week, which betters the chance of precipitation Monday.
Current model guidance also suggests Monday's precipitation may
bring light snow into the region, but given the event being
several says out, confidence is low at this time. - Pierce

&&

.AVIATION...
1015 PM MST Tue Nov 30 2021 (01/06Z TAF period)

Strong west to southwest winds continue to prevail across the region
and will gradually increase throughout tonight into the morning.
Surface winds at KCTB may exceed operational limits, where gusts in
excess of 75kts can be expected. Many terminals, including KGTF,
KCTB, KHVR, and KLWT may experience blowing dust as a result of
these winds. Additionally, widespread low-level wind shear is
possible, primarily near KBZN and KLWT. Strong to severe mountain
wave turbulence should be expected through this TAF period.
Precipitation will be limited to areas of higher elevation, combined
with low- to mid-level cloudiness along the Rocky Mountain Front
will likely cause mountain obscuration. - Pierce

KWYS TAF will not be issued until airport operations resume next
spring.

Refer to weather.gov/zlc for more detailed regional aviation
weather and hazard information.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Elevated fire weather conditions will exist through tonight due to
strong southwest to west downsloping winds, which will lead to low
afternoon relative humidity values in the 25-35% range and poor
moisture recovery during the overnight hours.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Record high temperatures are expected today across much of the
region. Some record high temperatures could break the previous
record high temperatures by nearly 10 degrees. Additionally, some
locations could even approach the all time record high temperatures
for December. For instance, Great Falls all time record high for
December is 69 degrees, set on December 5, 1939. The all time high
for Helena for December is 64 degrees, set on December 4, 1918 and
December 27, 1980. Brusda

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  66  50  59  27 /  10   0   0   0
CTB  62  43  52  22 /  10   0  10  10
HLN  67  47  60  33 /  10   0   0   0
BZN  64  40  58  32 /   0   0   0   0
WYS  41  27  43  25 /  20  10   0   0
DLN  58  36  55  31 /   0   0   0   0
HVR  67  40  56  24 /  10   0   0  10
LWT  66  46  59  26 /  10   0   0  10

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Warning until 6 AM MST Thursday Eastern Glacier...
Northern Rocky Mountain Front...Southern Rocky Mountain Front.

High Wind Warning until 9 PM MST this evening Blaine...Cascade...
Chouteau...Fergus...Hill...Judith Basin...Liberty...Toole.

&&

http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 1, 1:23 AM MST, 1 hour 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
123 AM MST WED DEC 1 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1216 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 14 NNW JOPLIN           48.74N 110.93W
12/01/2021  M57 MPH          LIBERTY            MT   MESONET

            57 MPH WIND GUST. MESONET SITE DW4821.

&&

BRUSDA
Local storm report, Dec 1, 1:30 AM MST, 1 hour before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
130 AM MST WED DEC 1 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1031 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 20 N RUDYARD            48.85N 110.60W
11/30/2021  M58 MPH          HILL               MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION EW1937 GOLDSTONE.

&&

BRUSDA
Local storm report, Dec 1, 1:40 AM MST, 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
140 AM MST WED DEC 1 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0118 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 13 S FORT BELKNAP       48.30N 108.72W
12/01/2021  M59 MPH          BLAINE             MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION FBLM8 FORT BELKNAP RAWS.

&&

BRUSDA
Local storm report, Dec 1, 1:42 AM MST, 48 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
142 AM MST WED DEC 1 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0135 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 13 SSE FORESTGROVE      46.83N 108.93W
12/01/2021  M60 MPH          FERGUS             MT   AWOS

            AWOS STATION KMVH N BAR RANCH AWOS.

&&

BRUSDA
Local storm report, Dec 1, 1:56 AM MST, 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
156 AM MST WED DEC 1 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0118 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 ENE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.20W
12/01/2021  M91 MPH          GLACIER            MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION MTBRN TWO MEDICINE BRIDGE
            (MT DOT).

&&

BRUSDA
Local storm report, Dec 1, 2:00 AM MST, 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
200 AM MST WED DEC 1 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SSW LOMA              47.89N 110.53W
12/01/2021  M59 MPH          CHOUTEAU           MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION MTM45 3.2 SW LOMA (MT-MESO).

1230 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 8 ESE FORT BENTON       47.79N 110.48W
12/01/2021  M59 MPH          CHOUTEAU           MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION MTM02 10.2 S LOMA (MT-MESO).

0100 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 ESE CHINOOK           48.58N 109.16W
12/01/2021  M59 MPH          BLAINE             MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION MTM48 CHINOOK E - MDA.

0121 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST BROWNING                48.56N 113.01W
12/01/2021  M59 MPH          GLACIER            MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION BGRM8 BROWNING RAWS.

&&

Event by event

15 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Toole

When
December 1, 2:30 AM MST to 12:30 PM MST
Where
Toole forecast zone
Measured
62 kt (71 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Shelby airport reports wind gust of 71 mph at noon. Other reports of high winds were received from across the county in the time indicated.

High Wind, Chouteau

When
December 1, 4:00 AM MST
Where
Chouteau forecast zone
Measured
70 kt (81 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Social Media

Wind gust of 81 mph via Facebook. Other locations in the area gusted over to or over 63 mph.

High Wind, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
December 1, 5:23 AM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
89 kt (102 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Mesonet station at Two Medicine Bridge (mtbrn) measures wind gust of 108 mph.

High Wind, Liberty

When
December 1, 5:30 AM MST to 8:00 AM MST
Where
Liberty forecast zone
Measured
54 kt (62 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Mesonet station gw0625 measures peak wing gust of 62 mph. Multiple other stations gusted over 58 mph through the period indicated.

High Wind, Southern Lewis and Clark

When
December 1, 6:40 AM MST
Where
Southern Lewis and Clark forecast zone
Measured
58 kt (67 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

MT DOT sensor at MacDonanld Pass records wind gust of 67 mph.

High Wind, Jefferson

When
December 1, 7:45 AM MST
Where
Jefferson forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Mesonet station jvwm, which is 5.4 miles north of Waterloo, reports wind gust of 60 mph. This appears to be an isolated gust.

High Wind, Southern Rocky Mountain Front

When
December 1, 8:29 AM MST
Where
Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Northwest Energy meson 10 miles west of Simms reports a wind gust of 64 mph multiple times through the day.

High Wind, Eastern Glacier

When
December 1, 8:56 AM MST
Where
Eastern Glacier forecast zone
Measured
61 kt (70 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS

First LSR of High Winds. Winds would eventually reach 77 mph around 10AM.

High Wind, Eastern Teton

When
December 1, 11:04 AM MST
Where
Eastern Teton forecast zone
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Mesonet station klette reports a wind gust of 58 mph. In addition, the public reported a house with significant roof damage west of Power, MT around 10 AM.

High Wind, Judith Basin

When
December 1, 11:39 AM MST
Where
Judith Basin forecast zone
Measured
57 kt (66 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

MT DOT sensor at Geyser (mtgys) reports wind gust of 66 mph.

High Wind, Cascade

When
December 1, 11:53 AM MST
Where
Cascade forecast zone
Measured
62 kt (71 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS

Great Falls ASOS measures wind gust of 71 mph.

High Wind, Fergus

When
December 1, 1:55 PM MST
Where
Fergus forecast zone
Measured
65 kt (75 mph) measured gust
Reported by
AWOS

AWOS station at N Bar Ranch reports wind gust of 75 mph.

High Wind, Blaine

When
December 1, 2:15 PM MST
Where
Blaine forecast zone
Measured
58 kt (67 mph) measured gust
Reported by
COOP Observer

Coop Observer reports wind gust of 67 mph.

High Wind, Hill

When
December 1, 3:00 PM MST
Where
Hill forecast zone
Measured
53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Public

Public reports wind gust of 61 mph.

High Wind, Eastern Pondera

When
December 1, 3:15 PM MST
Where
Eastern Pondera forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet

Mesonet station mtm05 arc-wtri near Conrad MT reports wind gust of 64 mph.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, December 2021

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 992452, 990395, 992442, 992449, 992447, 992445, 992448, 992443, 992451, 992446, 990394, 990397, 990393, 992444, 992450.