California, 2021

Winter Storm in California, February 1 to 2, 2021

February 1 to 2, 2021 · NWS STO · 4 events in 2 counties and zones

A trough brought Valley rain and mountain snow to northern California February 1st through the 3rd. Snow amounts generally ranged from 2 to 16 inches across the Sierra and southern Cascades and caused difficult travel conditions for motorists.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS STO wrote it up.

A trough brought Valley rain and mountain snow to northern California February 1st through the 3rd. Snow amounts generally ranged from 2 to 16 inches across the Sierra and southern Cascades and caused difficult travel conditions for motorists.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Sacramento, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 1, 2:43 PM PST, 5 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 1, 2:43 PM PST, 5 hours 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
243 PM PST Mon Feb 1 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
A winter storm will move across NorCal late tonight into
Wednesday with mountain travel impacts expected. Dry weather
should return by Thursday and continue through the weekend with
periods of increased north to east winds.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Upper level trough is moving onshore this afternoon as seen on
visible satellite imagery, bringing the next winter storm to
impact interior NorCal. A few light showers have been occurring
throughout the day in the mountains and northern Sacramento ahead
of the main trough passage. The main moisture plume is currently
situated just moving into the CWA with precipitation moving over
the Coastal Range and into the western Valley. NAM 3k and HRRR
show widespread precipitation slowly moving north to south through
the area through the afternoon and evening hours. The heaviest
precipitation is expected tonight through tomorrow with light
showers lingering through Wednesday along the back side of the
trough.

Moderate to heavy mountain snow is expected tonight through
tomorrow. Around 8 to 18 inches of snow is forecast over the
Sierra through the storm. Models show snow remaining north of I-80
this evening, spreading to areas along and south of I-80 after
midnight. Snow levels will start out around 5000 to 6000 feet
today, falling to 4000 to 4500 feet by tomorrow behind the frontal
passage. SREF plumes and NBM continue to suggest around 3 to 8
inches of snow down to Blue Canyon at around 5200 feet. Winter
Storm Warning remains in effect from tonight through early
Wednesday morning.

HREF, NAM 3k, and HRRR indicate periods of moderate to heavy rain
possible along the cold front as is moves through the area this
evening through the overnight areas. HREF shows only small (10 to
15%) probability of rain rates over 0.5 inch an hour. Therefore,
debris flow impacts over burn scars are not expected, though can't
rule out localized flooding or minor slides due to areas of
heavier precipitation.

Post-frontal scattered Valley showers are expected to continue
tomorrow. A slight chance of scattered thunderstorms is also
possible in the Sacramento Valley. HREF and NAM indicating CAPE
around 200-300 J/kg in the Valley, enough to potentially form a
few stronger cells. Main impact with any thunderstorm would be
small hail and brief heavy rain with maybe some lightning. HREF
indicates rainfall rates should be below 0.5 inch in an hour, so
burn scar impacts are also not expected at this time.

There are slight discrepancies between GEFS and Euro ENS on the
trough placement Wednesday. Euro ENS has the trough slightly
farther south which would bring light showers into the Valley
Wednesday. GEFS is a bit shallower which would leave shower
chances mainly in the mountains. Either way, additional
precipitation accumulations would be fairly light.

Dry weather returns Thursday as ensembles show the trough pushes
to the east and upper level ridging builds over the eastern
Pacific. Gusty north to east winds are possible as the ridge
builds, though they are not expected to be strong at this time.
-HEC

&&

.EXTENDED DISCUSSION (Friday THROUGH Monday)...
Ensemble guidance has continued to indicate high pressure over
the region will keep Northern California dry though the extended
forecast period. High temperatures will generally be a smidge
warmer than the seasonal averages for this time of year. The
warmest locations will be in the Northern Sacramento Valley with
highs reaching into the mid to upper 60s this weekend which is
about 5 to 10 degrees above normal for early February. Low
temperatures in the Valley will be a little cooler than normal for
this time of year with temperatures expected to be in the mid 30s
to low 40s. Upper foothill and mountain locations will have low
temperatures that are slightly warmer than normal. Locally breezy
north to east winds are also possible at times.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR decreasing to MVFR with areas of IFR and LIFR possible with
passing shower activity. Snow levels around 4500-6000 feet.
Southerly surface winds generally under 15kts with gusts up to 25
possible.

&&

.STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Storm Warning from 7 PM this evening to 6 AM PST
Wednesday for West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada-Western Plumas
County/Lassen Park.

&&

Event by event

4 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Mt Shasta/Western Plumas County

When
February 1, 8:00 PM PST to February 2, 8:41 PM PST
Where
Mt Shasta/Western Plumas County forecast zone
Reported by
CoCoRaHS

CoCoRaHS reported located 2.5 E of Shingletown reported 1 inch of snow accumulation.

Winter Storm, Mt Shasta/Western Plumas County

When
February 1, 8:00 PM PST to February 2, 8:41 PM PST
Where
Mt Shasta/Western Plumas County forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer

Chester reported 2 inches of storm total snow while Mineral and Manzanita reported 1 inch of snow accumulation each.

Winter Storm, West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada

When
February 1, 8:00 PM PST to February 2, 8:41 PM PST
Where
West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada forecast zone
Reported by
Public

Local ski resorts reported between 6 and 16 inches of storm total snow. Squaw/Alpine Ski Resort reported 16 inches of snow, Sugar Bowl got 14 inches, Soda Springs received 13, and Donner Ski Ranch received 6 inches.

Winter Storm, West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada

When
February 1, 8:00 PM PST to February 2, 8:41 PM PST
Where
West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways

Caltrans reported 16 inches of snow at Donner Summit, 8 inches at Kingvale, and 2 inches of snow at Cabbage Patch along highway 4.

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in California in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in California, February 2021

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 945469, 945470, 945471, 945472.