California, 2021

Debris Flow and Flooding in California, December 23 to 24, 2021

December 23 to 24, 2021 · NWS HNX · 8 events in 5 counties and zones

A deep upper trough with a warm subtropical moisture fetch in front of it pushed into central California during the evening of December 22 and brought a period of rain and higher elevation snow to the area which continued through the evening of December 23. Several stations in the Sierra Nevada measured between 1 and 3 inches of liquid precipitation with the snow level between 8000 and 9000 feet.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
8

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS HNX wrote it up.

A deep upper trough with a warm subtropical moisture fetch in front of it pushed into central California during the evening of December 22 and brought a period of rain and higher elevation snow to the area which continued through the evening of December 23. Several stations in the Sierra Nevada measured between 1 and 3 inches of liquid precipitation with the snow level between 8000 and 9000 feet. Rain shadowing kept precipitation amounts in the San Joaquin Valley lower with a half inch to an inch of rain on the east side and a quarter to half inch of the west side. Some localized nuisance flooding was reported during the afternoon of December 23. Cooler air pushed into the area during the evening of December 23 resulting in showery precipitation which continued through the early morning of December 24. A few higher elevation SNOTELs picked up an estimated 18 to 24 inches of new snowfall. Some ice pellet showers and a few thunderstorms were observed in the Sierra foothills and the snow level in the Sierra Nevada lowered to around 5500 feet before the precipitation tapered off.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hanford, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 22, 4:01 PM PST, 11 hours 59 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 22, 4:01 PM PST, 11 hours 59 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Hanford CA
401 PM PST Wed Dec 22 2021

.UPDATE...Updated Air Quality Section.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...A very wet weather pattern will continue through the
next few days as several weather disturbances move into and across
the Central California Interior. Heavy mountain snow and
significant lower elevation rain will occur through the middle of
next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Area radars show increasing coverage and intensity
of incoming precipitation as it moves onshore in the southwest
flow. Satellite imagery shows a very active baroclinic zone
stretching to the southwest out several hundred miles and water
vapor imagery shows the southern branch of the jet stream
enhancing the clouds.

High resolution rapid refresh modeling targets areas generally
south of Yosemite through the evening hours with the most
concentrated precipitation and then in the early morning hours
brings another band of moderate to heavy precipitation into
northern parts of the area. So...between the two disturbances,
everyone will get at least some precipitation. Snow levels will
start out rather high with the first impulse due to the lower
latitude origin of the airmass associated with the front. Area
snow level radar data suggests the snow level starting out around
9000 feet this afternoon and model data suggests that the snow
levels will stay in the 8000-9000 foot range through the next 24
hours or so as the warm, subtropical atmospheric river targets the
forecast area. Models then keep the atmospheric river targeting
the Central California Interior into Friday before it shifts to
the southeast and the precipitation takes a Christmas Eve break.

Total snowfall amounts in the Sierra above 7500 feet could reach
to as much as 120+ inches over the higher terrain as the
topography lines up perpendicular to the moist atmospheric river
flow. Meanwhile, below the snow line precipitation amounts in the
Sierra and foothills will likely range in the 3-6 inch range
through early Saturday. Lower elevations such as the San Joaquin
Valley will most likely receive 1-2 inches of rain, especially on
the east side of the valley where the orographic lift of the
Sierra just to the east will begin to play a role in enhancing the
rainfall.

Over the Kern County Desert areas, enough moisture be available in
the southwest flow to give generally 0.35 to 0.75 inches of rain
through Friday night.

Latest deterministic models give the area about a 24 hour break
from rain and snow for much of Christmas Day, however the next
impulse drops in from the northwest by Saturday evening. This
feature will have colder air and snow levels will begin to drop to
as low as 2500-3500 feet on Sunday. This will bring the potential
for serious travel problems on one of the most busy travel days of
the year.

Another rather cold weather disturbance follows behind the Sunday
feature on Monday with yet more rain and lower elevation snow.
Forecast models then diverge on how the pattern will evolve into
the middle of next week with the ECMWF model driving a very cold
trough of low pressure into California on Wednesday while the
latest deterministic run of the GFS forms an offshore cold, closed
low. Ensemble National Blend of Model probability of precipitation
exceeding 0.01 inches shows a 62 percent chance at Merced and 30
percent chance in the Edwards AFB region. So...all in all a very
active weather pattern with abundant rain and snow, the potential
for travel problems and even some very low elevation snow next
week.

Winter storm warning will remain in effect for the Sierra for
higher elevation very heavy snow through Friday. Will need to also
watch burn scars for lower elevation heavy rains that may cause
debris flows, especially if the rainfall rates become excessive.

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR conditions are likely in and near showers over
the next 24 hours. Local IFR conditions are expected in the Sierra
Nevada through at least the next 24 hours.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...On Thursday December 23 2021...
Fireplace/Wood Stove Burning Status is: No Burning Unless
Registered in Fresno... Kern... Kern (Greater Frazier Park Area)
and Madera Counties. Further information is available at
Valleyair.org

&&

.CERTAINTY...

The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.

Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit
www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information
an/or to provide feedback.

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Storm Warning until 4 PM PST Sunday for CAZ323-326>331.

&&

public...Dudley
aviation....Dudley

weather.gov/hanford

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

4 flood, 3 heavy snow, 1 debris flow. Local standard time, as filed.

Heavy Snow, Yosemite Np Outside of the Valley

When
December 23, 4:00 AM PST to December 24, 4:00 AM PST
Where
Yosemite Np Outside of the Valley forecast zone
Reported by
SNOTEL
Coordinates
37.609, -119.874 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Tuolumne Meadows SNOTEL (8600 ft) picked up an estimated 18 inches of new snowfall.

Heavy Snow, Sequoia Np

When
December 23, 4:00 AM PST to December 24, 4:00 AM PST
Where
Sequoia Np forecast zone
Reported by
SNOTEL
Coordinates
36.220, -118.800 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Upper Tyndall Creek SNOTEL (11443 ft) picked up an estimated 22 inches of new snowfall.

Heavy Snow, Kings Canyon Np

When
December 23, 4:00 AM PST to December 24, 4:00 AM PST
Where
Kings Canyon Np forecast zone
Reported by
SNOTEL
Coordinates
36.489, -119.224 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Bishop Pass SNOTEL (11972 ft) picked up an estimated 23 inches of new snowfall.

Flood, Fresno

When
December 23, 3:12 PM PST to 4:12 PM PST
Where
Fresno County, 4.15 mi NW of Glorietta to 4.08 mi NW of Glorietta
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
36.897, -119.717

California Highway Patrol reported roadway flooding at the intersection of E. Copper Ave. and Auberry Rd.

Flood, Fresno

When
December 23, 3:48 PM PST to 4:48 PM PST
Where
Fresno County, 2.27 mi WNW of Biola to 2.24 mi WNW of Biola
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
36.808, -120.060

California Highway Patrol reported roadway flooding at the itnersection of N. Madera Ave. and W. Shaw Ave.

Flood, Fresno

When
December 23, 4:17 PM PST to 6:17 PM PST
Where
Fresno County, 0.3 mi N of Shaver Lake Hgts to 0.33 mi N of Shaver Lake Hgts
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
37.104, -119.320

California Highway Patrol reported roadway flooding at the intersection of SR 168 and Sparrow Rd.

Flood, Tulare

When
December 23, 4:35 PM PST to 5:35 PM PST
Where
Tulare County, 1.74 mi WSW of Strathmore Airport to 1.89 mi WSW of Strathmore Airport
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
36.163, -119.080

California Highway Patrol reported roadway flooding at the intersection of SR 65 and Harvard Ave.

Debris Flow, Tulare

When
December 23, 4:45 PM PST to 6:45 PM PST
Where
Tulare County, 3.62 mi E of Kaweah to 3.65 mi E of Kaweah
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
36.470, -118.855

California Highway Patrol reported a large boulder on the road at the intersection of Crest Ln. and Sierra King Dr.

What these are

Heavy Snow
Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.
Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
Debris Flow
A fast-moving slurry of mud, rock and debris, usually on a slope soaked by heavy rain or stripped by a fire.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in California in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in California, December 2021

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 990431, 990432, 990433, 990426, 990427, 990428, 990429, 990430.