Arizona, 2021Flash Flooding and Lightning Strike in Arizona, July 20, 2021
July 20, 2021 · NWS FGZ · 4 events in 3 counties and zones
Thunderstorms with heavy rain produced flash flooding across portions of northern Arizona.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 4
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 4
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Thunderstorms with heavy rain produced flash flooding across portions of northern Arizona.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 20, 9:54 AM MST, 2 hours 36 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 20, 9:54 AM MST, 2 hours 36 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
954 AM MST Tue Jul 20 2021
.SYNOPSIS...Scattered showers and thunderstorms are forecast to
develop each afternoon this week. Localized flash flooding will be
possible with the stronger storms. Temperatures are expected to
remain around normal to slightly below normal.
&&
.UPDATE...Currently quiet conditions across the region with only a
few weak showers in southwestern Yavapai County and over the
Kaibab Plateau. Mostly clear skies across the region will allow
for strong heating this morning. Expect convective buildup to
initiate in the next hour with showers and thunderstorms starting
before noon moving to the north-northwest. Look for another
active day with scattered to numerous thunderstorms. Not to
minimize the threat of severe thunderstorms with large hail and
strong winds, our biggest concern for today and through the rest
of the week is the threat for flash flooding in northern Arizona.
Stay alert to changing weather conditions remember that flash
flooding can occur miles away from the thunderstorm. Don't enter a
flooded areas. Turn around, don't drown!
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION /321 AM MST/...High pressure will remain over the
Four Corners region through Thursday, maintaining monsoonal flow
over Arizona. Typical scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms are forecast to develop each afternoon, with
isolated flash flooding and isolated large hail being the primary
hazards.
The medium range models prog a retrograding upper level low moving
into New Mexico by Friday, then into Arizona Saturday and Sunday.
This feature will likely create an uptick in monsoonal
thunderstorm activity this weekend.
The aforementioned low should then weaken and lift north of the
region by Monday. However, diurnal thunderstorm activity is still
expected.
&&
.AVIATION...For the 18Z package...Expect mainly VFR conditions
for the 24 hour TAF forecast period. SCT-NUMRS SHRA/TSRA and ISOLD
+TSRA through 03Z. MVFR conditions possible in stronger storms.
Sfc winds outside of storms generally light. Aviation discussion
not updated for TAF amendments.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...Scattered to numerous afternoon and evening showers
and thunderstorms are expected Tuesday and Wednesday. Some storms
may produce locally heavy rainfall amounts. Expect light winds and
near normal high temperatures outside of any storms.
Thursday through Saturday...Expect an even higher chance of showers
and thunderstorms during this period as an easterly wave moves over
central Arizona. Widespread wetting rains and locally heavy rainfall
are probable, with activity persisting in the overnight periods.
&&
.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&
PUBLIC...DB/TM
AVIATION...DB
FIRE WEATHER...Peterson
For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff
Event by event
2 flash flood, 1 lightning, 1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
Flash Flood, Yavapai
- When
- July 20, 12:30 PM MST to 2:00 PM MST
- Where
- Yavapai County, 1.54 mi N of Groom Creek to 0.95 mi NNW of Groom Creek
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 34.492, -112.425
An estimated two feet of water flowing through Banning Creek over the low water crossing on East School House Gulch Road in the community of Groom Creek.
Lightning, Coconino
- When
- July 20, 3:00 PM MST
- Where
- Coconino County, 3.06 mi SSW of Phantom Ranch
- Injuries
- 0 direct, 4 indirect
- Reported by
- Newspaper
- Coordinates
- 36.057, -112.144
Lightning stuck near the Bright Angel Trailhead. Four people were injured and two of them were hospitalized.
Heavy Rain, Navajo
- When
- July 20, 8:30 PM MST to 9:36 PM MST
- Where
- Navajo County, 0.9 mi NE of Snowflake
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 34.510, -110.070
A rain gauge in the town of Snowflake measured 1.97 inches of rain within an hour.
Flash Flood, Navajo
- When
- July 20, 9:30 PM MST to 10:30 PM MST
- Where
- Navajo County, 1.41 mi NNE of Snowflake to 1.51 mi ENE of Snowflake
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 34.520, -110.073
The Snowflake-Taylor Police Department reported flash flooding in Snowflake with 6 inches of water over the roadways and houses threatened in the West 1st Street area.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
- Lightning
- A lightning strike that killed, injured or caused damage.
- Heavy Rain
- Rainfall totals unusual for the place and season that did not produce a flood.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flood in Colorado, July 20, 20214 deaths · $500,000 · 1 event
- Flash Flooding and Hail in New Mexico, July 20, 20213 deaths · $10,000 · 0.88 in hail · 4 events
- Flash Flooding and Flood in New York, July 20 to 21, 2021$301,000 · 2.5 in hail · 51 events
- Debris Flows in Colorado, July 20, 2021$800,000 · 5 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in New York, July 20, 2021$297,000 · 1.25 in hail · 21 events
- Flash Flood and Damaging Winds in Vermont, July 20, 2021$197,000 · 60 kt wind · 15 events
- Flash Flooding in Louisiana, July 20, 2021$170,000 · 11 events
- Damaging Winds in Arizona, July 20, 2021$175,000 · 56 kt wind · 2 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in New York, July 20, 2021$53,000 · 1 in hail · 22 events
- Flood and Hail in New York, July 20, 2021$24,000 · 1.25 in hail · 34 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Pennsylvania, July 20, 2021$71,000 · 50 kt wind · 7 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in New Hampshire, July 20, 20211.5 in hail · 22 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 978721, 979013, 978722, 978740.