Arizona, 2021

Excessive Heat in Arizona, August 3 to 5, 2021

August 3 to 5, 2021 · NWS VEF · 3 events in 3 counties and zones

High pressure building overhead brought three days of excessive heat to portions of the Mojave Desert.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS VEF wrote it up.

High pressure building overhead brought three days of excessive heat to portions of the Mojave Desert.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Las Vegas, NV wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 3, 10:32 AM MST, 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 3, 10:32 AM MST, 28 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
1032 AM PDT Tue Aug 3 2021

.SYNOPSIS...High pressure will build over the Mojave Desert
through the middle of the week with temperatures trending upward
through Thursday. An Excessive Heat Warning is in effect for
portions of the area on Tuesday and expanding in coverage on
Wednesday and Thursday. Temperatures will moderate back to around
their seasonal normals over the weekend.
&&

.UPDATE...This morning's sounding says it all...dry and hot. Other
than a shallow layer of mid level moisture around 600 mb, the
atmosphere is bone dry. Visible satellite imagery verifies this
shallow layer with high based cumulus developing over the mountains.
Temperatures yesterday overachieved with respect to the high
temperature which came in roughly 2-3 degrees warmer than the NBM
mean. In retrospect, using a blend of the NBM and the NBM 75th
percentile would probably have given a better forecast in general
areawide. Back to the morning sounding, 850mb and 700mb temps are up
5 and 3 degrees Fahrenheit, respectfully. Using the above blend
bumped our forecast high in Las Vegas up to 109 for this afternoon
which also lined up nicely with a local method of using temps aloft
to calculate the high temperature. Other than that, expect mostly
light winds today with some locally breezy winds in the Owens
Valley. The forecast update for today will be out shortly.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...152 AM PDT...

.DISCUSSION...through Monday.

The main weather issue over the next few days will be the heat. The
forecast trends of the past couple of model runs continued in terms
of the heat lingering into Thursday. So I have extended the
excessive heat warning through 8 pm Thursday evening and I expanded
the warning to now include northeast Clark County on Wednesday and
Thursday. The 596 dm ridge of high pressure sets up over southern
Nevada today and remains nearly stationary through Wednesday. By
Thursday afternoon, the ridge gets nudged into central Arizona by a
shortwave trough that moves onshore in northern California.
Temperatures on Thursday will be quite similar in most locations to
those levels on Wednesday. The gradient between the ridge and trough
will enhance southwest winds and mixing on Thursday. At this point
the strongest winds are expected from the Death Valley National Park
and into central and southern Nye County as well as across the
western portions of Lincoln County. At this point, winds should
remain below critical fire weather thresholds but we will need to
monitor over the next day or so to see if winds trend any higher. A
small number of ensemble members and WPC cluster solutions do
indicate the potential for slightly stronger wind gusts in those
locations, in the 35 to 40 mph range.

The eastern Pacific is fairly active with tropical systems,
currently Hurricane Hilda and Tropical Storm Ignacio are located
well southwest of the southern tip of the Baja of California. These
systems will likely have no impact on our weather, but additional
tropical development is possible over the next week and may be close
enough to influence moisture up the Gulf of California and into the
Desert Southwest.

Otherwise, the ridge continues to flatten out and diminish to our
south on Friday and transition into a more zonal flow by Saturday.
With this pattern, the ensembles have backed off on any substantial
increase in moisture over the weekend. Enough moisture may make it
back in to provide an isolated thunderstorm over eastern Mohave
County on Saturday afternoon. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms
are possible across the eastern half of Mohave County each on Monday
and Tuesday afternoon/evening.
&&

.AVIATION...For McCarran...Light winds favoring typical diurnal
patterns are expected today with just a few clouds in the afternoon
around 10kft AGL.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...Conditions today will be similar to Monday, with
southeasterly breezes at KBIH in the afternoon, as well as the
typical breezy evening westerly winds at KDAG. But otherwise, light
winds are expected across the region with dry conditions.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

UPDATE...Salmen

DISCUSSION...Czyzyk
AVIATION...Outler

For more forecast information...see us on our webpage:
https://weather.gov/lasvegas or follow us on Facebook and Twitter

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 excessive heat. Local standard time, as filed.

Excessive Heat, Lake Havasu and Fort Mohave

When
August 3, 11:00 AM MST to August 5, 8:00 PM MST
Where
Lake Havasu and Fort Mohave forecast zone
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
35.704, -113.758 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Excessive Heat Warning criteria were reached three days in a row.

Excessive Heat, Northwest Deserts

When
August 3, 11:00 AM MST to August 5, 8:00 PM MST
Where
Northwest Deserts forecast zone
Reported by
Official NWS Observations

Excessive Heat Warning criteria were reached three days in a row.

Excessive Heat, Lake Mead National Recreation Area

When
August 3, 11:00 AM MST to August 5, 8:00 PM MST
Where
Lake Mead National Recreation Area forecast zone
Reported by
Official NWS Observations

Excessive Heat Warning criteria were reached three days in a row.

What these are

Excessive Heat
Heat at or above the local excessive heat warning criteria, or heat that caused deaths.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, August 2021

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 981071, 981072, 981073.