Severe drought conditions showed signs of improvement around mid-February after beneficial rainfall was received.
Every event with a place to put it; 16 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
Severe drought conditions showed signs of improvement around mid-February after beneficial rainfall was received.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 31, 11:08 PM CST, 52 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1108 PM CST Fri Jan 31 2020 .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /This Weekend/ One last vigorous shortwave trough overhead will continue moving east-southeast toward the Lower Mississippi Valley and Central Gulf Coast through midday today. Clear skies and light westerly winds this morning should result in a chilly start in the 30s with typical low-lying areas such as river valleys seeing a few hours of frost to start the day. Dry northerly flow aloft and mass subsidence in behind this last mid level disturbance will bring sunny skies and warmer temperatures by this afternoon. Light westerly winds and plentiful insolation should allow for a nice warm up into the 60s, with the warmest temperatures expected well west of I-35 where a modest downslope component to the low level flow will assist afternoon temperatures warming to just below 70 degrees. Mid level flow aloft continues dampening in wake of our departing previous system with a broad shortwave ridge forming overhead. Mostly sunny and even warmer conditions are expected by Sunday afternoon. Southwest winds 5-10 mph tonight should help with a slightly warmer start to your Sunday morning with low temperatures between 35 and 45 degrees. An elongated and broad surface ridge anchored south of our area from Mexico to the Gulf of Mexico will induce south-southwest winds to between 10-15 mph under mostly sunny skies. High temperatures should easily warm into the upper 60s and 70s, despite some increasing cirrus arriving from the west in response to a shortwave lifting northward across West Texas. Normal high temperatures are usually in the upper 50s for our area for the beginning of February. Should be a nice afternoon for outdoor activities or grilling in time for the big game. 05/ && .LONG TERM... /Issued 323 PM CST Fri Jan 31 2020/ /Sunday through Thursday/ The extended forecast will be largely tranquil, with the exception of the middle of next week. After a warming trend this weekend, we'll see noteworthy changes that involve much colder conditions along with a potential for precipitation---some could be of the frozen variety across the Big Country and western North Texas. At this time, it appears that a majority of the area will just see a cold rain. Thereafter, conditions will moderate with a warming trend toward the end of next week. The second half of the weekend will feature well above normal warmth as breezy southwesterly winds envelope most of North and Central Texas. Highs will be nearly 20 degrees above normal with temperatures in the mid to upper 70s. At this time, I believe record high temperatures are safe for now, but if southwest to west winds are stronger and/or the airmass is a lot drier, then there's a chance that these highs may be approached or broken. Flow aloft will become more southwesterly and this should allow for a conveyor of mid/upper level Pacific moisture to invade from the southwest. This should limit diabatic heating on Monday and for that reason, I'll advertise high temperatures a tad lower than Sunday. If cloud cover is much thinner than currently anticipated, it's quite possible that forecast high temperatures on Monday will need to be increased. Low level moisture will be deeper across East Texas in response to strengthening 850-700mb warm air advection (WAA) and highs here are a good 10 to 15 degrees lower on Monday afternoon compared to Sunday. The WAA coupled with modest moisture return may result in some isolated showers and I'll maintain just a low potential for measurable rainfall (20 to 30 percent). The big changes---at least for parts of the area---will arrive through the day on Tuesday. Across Central Texas, a thermal ridge will establish itself and temperatures in the mid to upper 70s are forecast. Farther north toward the I-20 corridor, we'll see cooler conditions (50s and 60s) as a front barrels southward through the Southern Plains late Tuesday into the pre-dawn hours on Wednesday. Model guidance diverges some during this time and thus forecast confidence wanes. The latest GFS remains mostly in step with its previous iterations and currently is the coldest solution among the guidance spectrum. The extreme opposite---the latest ECMWF remains much slower and keeps most of North and Central Texas within the above normal temperature regime. If the airmass is indeed shallow and cold, it's probable that the GFS solution may be closer to verifying. Given that this is a reasonable solution (a shallow cold airmass), I'll keep temperatures on the cooler side of the model consensus, but not as cold as the GFS. In general, most guidance suggests that the synoptic pattern across the region will be dominated by a detaching upper level trough that will dive southward through the Four Corners region into the Big Bend of Texas. With the strengthening WAA regime, clouds and eventually showers/isolated storms should develop in the pre-frontal air. While the severe weather threat is unclear here's what is certain. 1) The best instability does appear to be confined to areas across East Texas and 2) deep layer shear may support some organized convective modes. We'll monitor the severe weather potential. As the front slides southward through the day there should be a gradual transition from convective to more stratiform precipitation. Colder air will quickly dive southward, initially across western North Texas and into the Big Country. Low level thermal profiles suggest that there may be some lingering WAA atop the colder air surface and this could result in winter precipitation across the aformentioned geographic region before dry air shuts of precipitation. I'll maintain a mention of winter precipitation (Snow/Sleet/Rain) in the grids, but this risk will be confined to areas near and northwest of an Eastland to Bowie line. Areas southwest of this line should see a predominantly cold rain. At this time, substantial impacts are not expected, though there are some caveats that are discussed below. Regardless, Wednesday will be much colder with highs in the 40s and 50s. Breezy north winds of 10 to 20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH appear probable as well. It should be noted the above scenario loosely fits some of our winter weather patterns across North and Central Texas. Outside of the progression of colder air southward, we'll be watching the evolution of the upper trough. On one hand, if the upper trough quickly scoots eastward, it's likely that we'll see an end to precip before the colder air invades. If this upper level trough detaches and completely closes off, there could be additional lift which would generate additional precipitation as colder air filters southward. In addition, there would be an added dynamic cooling component to the equation which would support more winter precipitation over a larger area of North and Central Texas. At this time, no need to panic or alter plans next week...just monitor. Bain && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /06z TAFs/ Concerns and Challenges: None. VFR with periodic FEW-SCT250 late in the period. Dry NNW flow aloft and broad surface ridging extending northeast from a 1032mb high over NE Mexico will result in a dry forecast with VFR conditions and some periodic cirrus streaming overhead late today into tonight. With the surface high center well to the SSW, all D10 terminals will see W/WNW winds 5 knots or less through 00z Sunday. Flow aloft transitions to shortwave ridging late tonight into Sunday. Broad surface ridging from Deep S TX into the Gulf of Mexico will cause winds to back SSW less than 10 knots tonight, increasing to 10-15 knots Sunday. 05/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 36 63 44 75 52 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 36 66 38 77 51 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 35 60 40 72 49 / 0 0 0 0 0 Denton 33 63 38 75 52 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 34 61 40 74 51 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 37 63 46 76 52 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 36 62 39 74 50 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 37 64 42 75 52 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 36 67 39 75 51 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 33 65 39 79 50 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && 05/8
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1109 PM CST Fri Jan 31 2020 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-011215- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 1109 PM CST Fri Jan 31 2020 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Early This Morning Through Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Storm chances increase east of I-35 Tuesday afternoon into early Wednesday morning. Widespread severe weather is not expected at this time. Wintry precipitation will be possible Tuesday night through Wednesday across the Big Country and western North Texas. It is too early for specific details on precipitation type and impacts, but interests should remain weather aware and monitor future forecasts. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
16 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe drought affected most of the county, but showed signs of improvement by mid-February.
Severe drought conditions affected parts of the county, but showed signs of improvement by mid-February.
Severe drought conditions affected part of the county, but showed signs of improvement by mid-February.
Severe drought conditions affected part of the county, but showed signs of improvement by mid-February.
Severe drought conditions affected most of the county, but showed signs of improvement by mid-February.
Severe drought affected the county, but showed signs of improvement by mid-February.
Severe drought affected the county, but showed signs of improvement by mid-February.
Severe drought affected part of the county, but showed signs of improvement by mid-February.
Severe drought conditions affected most of the county, but showed signs of improvement by mid-February.
Severe drought conditions affected part of the county, but showed signs of improvement by mid-February.
Severe drought affected part of the county, but showed signs of improvement by mid-February.
Severe drought conditions affected part of the county, but showed signs of improvement by mid-February.
Severe drought conditions affected part of the county, but showed signs of improvement by mid-February.
Severe drought conditions affected most of the county, but showed signs of improvement by mid-February.
Severe drought conditions affected part of the county, but showed signs of improvement by mid-February.
Severe drought conditions affected part of the county, but showed signs of improvement by mid-February.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, February 2020
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 876931, 876941, 876946, 876958, 876960, 876968, 876969, 876971, 876972, 876973, 876975, 876976, 876977, 876978, 876979, 876980.