Puerto Rico, 2020

Flash Flooding and Debris Flow in Puerto Rico, March 9 to 11, 2020

March 9 to 11, 2020 · NWS SJU · 5 events in 3 counties and zones

A cold front moved over the area. This cold front along with abundant low to mid-level moisture and a trough aloft resulted areas of heavy rainfall activity across the north-central and northeastern portions of Puerto Rico during this period.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
5

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SJU wrote it up.

A cold front moved over the area. This cold front along with abundant low to mid-level moisture and a trough aloft resulted areas of heavy rainfall activity across the north-central and northeastern portions of Puerto Rico during this period.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 9, 4:41 PM AST, 2 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 9, 4:41 PM AST, 2 hours 9 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Juan PR
441 PM AST Mon Mar 9 2020

.SYNOPSIS...A frontal boundary and associated plume of moisture
will enhance shower activity through Tuesday morning. Thereafter,
the chance for widespread showers will diminish, but patches of
low- level moisture and favorable conditions aloft due to an
approaching mid- to- upper level trough will support afternoon
deep convection through most of the workweek. Hazardous marine and
coastal conditions will continue during the next several days.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Wednesday...

A wet weather pattern is expected to hold through at least Tuesday
morning. This is the result of a frontal boundary, that although
it is expected to remain over and to the north of the islands, the
associated plume of moisture will enhance cloudiness and shower
activity. As the boundary meanders away and weakens, the chance
for widespread shower activity is expected to decrease by
Tuesday. However, patches of low-level moisture, some remnants of
the frontal boundary and some the result of easterly disturbances
in the trade winds, will bring overnight and early morning shower
activity across the waters into portions of eastern Puerto Rico
and the US Virgin Islands. Nevertheless, lingering moisture
combined with local effects, diurnal heating, and favorable
conditions aloft due to an approaching mid to upper level trough,
will support the development of afternoon deep convection along
the interior and western sectors of Puerto Rico. Deep convection
can also be expected downwind from El Yunque into the Great San
Juan Metropolitan area, and downwind from the local islands into
portions of eastern Puerto Rico. There is a slight chance for
isolated thunderstorms, and a potential for urban and small stream
flooding with this activity.

A fresh to strong east to northeast flow will continue through
tonight. By Tuesday and Wednesday, winds are expected to slightly
diminish and favor a more east-southeast direction as a strong
surface high pressure continues to move eastward and away across
the central north Atlantic. Warmer temperatures should return to
northern Puerto Rico Tuesday and Wednesday under this flow.

.LONG TERM...Thursday through Tuesday...

.FROM PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 508 AM AST Mon Mar 9 2020/

The remnants of the cold front will continue to bring patches of
clouds and showers on Thursday and Friday. As the surface high
pressure system moves to the east, across the eastern Atlantic,
winds are expected to shift from the east to east-southeast.
Therefore, areas of eastern and southeastern Puerto Rico, as well as
the U.S. Virgin Islands should receive showers, especially during
the nighttime and in the early morning hours. In the afternoon, as
is usual with this weather pattern, showers should develop across
the northwestern quadrant of Puerto Rico due to a combination of the
available moisture and local effects. In addition, a trough in the
mid to upper levels will provide some instability across the region,
which could favor isolated thunderstorms with the strongest
activity on Thursday.

For Saturday, the latest guidance suggest drier air filtering in at
the mid-levels as the winds shift more from the northeast. However,
at the surface, enough moisture at the lower levels should, once
again, bring fragmented groups of clouds across the area. By Sunday
and into the beginning of the workweek, a ridge in the mid and upper
levels will build over the region with a drier air mass also
taking place over the area, limiting shower activity across the
islands.

&&

.AVIATION...TEMPO MVFR cigs expected across all the PR terminals
through the late evening hours due to SHRA associated to a frontal
boundary. Northeast winds 15-25 kt with possible gusts up to 35 kt
will continue through at least 23z. Conditions will gradually
improve overnight into Tuesday morning and winds are forecast to
decrease between 10-15 knots and more from the east late tonight.
Mainly VFR conditions expected across the USVI/Leeward terminals.
However, SHRA will move at times across TIST during the next 6-12
hours and this may cause tempo MVFR cigs.

&&

.MARINE...Hazardous marine conditions will continue across the
local waters due to increasing winds, a northerly swell and an
approaching frontal boundary. Seas up to 14 feet with occasional
seas up to 18 feet are expected across the Atlantic waters and
local passages, while lower seas up to 12 feet are expected
elsewhere. Therefore, Small Craft Advisories continue in effect.

Across coastal areas, there is a High Surf Advisory for beaches
along the north coast of Puerto Rico, Culebra and the northern US
Virgin Islands. In addition, there is a High Risk of Rip Currents
for most of the local beaches, except for beaches along the south
to southeast coast of Puerto Rico.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  73  85  72  84 /  90  40  60  60
STT  73  84  74  84 /  80  20  20  60

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday afternoon for Culebra-
     Mayaguez and Vicinity-North Central-Northeast-Northwest-San
     Juan and Vicinity-Southwest.

     High Surf Advisory until 6 AM AST Wednesday for Mayaguez and
     Vicinity-North Central-Northeast-Northwest-San Juan and
     Vicinity-Southeast.

     High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday afternoon for Southeast-
     Vieques.

     High Surf Advisory until 6 AM AST Wednesday for Culebra.

VI...High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday afternoon for
     St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands.

     High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday afternoon for St Croix.

     High Surf Advisory until 6 AM AST Wednesday for St.Thomas...St.
     John...and Adjacent Islands.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM AST Wednesday for Coastal Waters
     OF Southwestern Puerto Rico out 10 NM-Coastal Waters of
     Southern Puerto Rico out 10 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM AST Thursday for Caribbean
     Waters of Puerto Rico from 10 NM to 17N-Coastal Waters of
     Northern USVI and Culebra out 10 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM AST Thursday for Anegada Passage
     Southward to 17N-Atlantic Waters of Puerto Rico and USVI
     from 10 NM to 19.5N-Coastal Waters of Northern Puerto Rico
     out 10 NM-Mona Passage Southward to 17N.

     Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM AST Thursday for Coastal Waters
     OF Northwestern Puerto Rico out 10 NM-Coastal Waters of
     Southern USVI Vieques and Eastern Puerto Rico out 10 NM.

&&

SHORT TERM...JA
LONG TERM....ICP
PUBLIC DESK...GL
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 9, 5:53 AM AST, 12 hours 57 minutes before
Perspectivas sobre Condiciones Peligrosas del Tiempo
Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
518 AM AST lunes 9 de marzo de 2020

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-100930-
San Juan y Vecindad-Noreste-Sureste-
Este Interior-Norte Central-Interior Central-Ponce y Vecindad-
Noroeste-Oeste Interior-Mayaguez y Vecindad-Suroeste-Culebra-Vieques-
Aguas cercanas y mar afuera del Atlantico y Caribe-
518 AM AST lunes 9 de marzo de 2020

Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es para
Puerto Rico y las aguas costeras del Atlantico.

.Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche

.Tronadas...Existe riesgo leve de tronadas con lluvia fuerte y
vientos en rafaga breves esta tarde a traves de Puerto Rico,
mayormente en el oeste e interior.

.Inundaciones...Lluvias persistentes de moderadas a fuertes pudieran
resultar en inundaciones urbanas y de riachuelos en areas, menos en
el sur y sureste de Puerto Rico.

.Vientos...Se esperan vientos sostenidos cerca de 20 mph (17 nudos)
a traves de la mayoria del norte de Puerto Rico con rafagas de hasta
40 mph (35 nudos) probables a lo largo de la costa norte y las aguas
del Atlantico.

.Oleaje...Se espera oleaje peligroso de hasta 14 pies a traves de
las aguas del Atlantico y sectores del norte de los pasajes del
Caribe. Advertencias de resacas fuertes estan en efecto para la
mayoria de la costa norte.

.Corrientes marinas...Existe riesgo alto de corrientes marinas para
las playas de Culebra y el norte de Puerto Rico y para Vieques. Se
espera riesgo moderado en el resto del area.

.Dias dos hasta el siete...martes a domingo

El viento disminuira el miercoles seguido de oleaje peligroso y
corrientes marinas.

.Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores...

No se anticipa activacion amplia de observadores. Sin embargo, se
les exhorta a los observadores individuales a reportar inundaciones
y corrientes marinas al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San
Juan.

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-100930-
San Tomas, San John y Islas Adyacentes-
Santa Cruz-Aguas cercanas del Atlantico y aguas costeras adyacentes
del Caribe-
518 AM AST lunes 9 de marzo de 2020

Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es para
Islas Virgenes Estadounidenses y las aguas costeras adyacentes.

.Dia uno...Hoy y esta noche

.Tronadas...Existe riesgo leve de tronadas con lluvia fuerte y
vientos en rafaga breves para esta tarde en San Thomas y San John.

.Inundaciones...Lluvia localmente fuerte pudiera resultard en
acumulacion de agua en carreteras con pobre drenaje.

.Vientos...Se esperan vientos sostenidos cerca de 20 mph (17 nudos)
a traves de la mayoria del norte de San Thomas y San John y las
aguas cercanas del Atlantico y el Caribe. Rafagas de hasta 30 mph
(26 nudos) son posibles.

.Oleaje...Se espera oleaje peligroso de hasta 14 pies a traves de
las aguas del Atlantico y sectores del norte de los pasajes del
Caribe. Advertencias de resacas fuertes estan en efecto para la
mayoria de la costa norte de San Thomas para esta noche.

.Corrientes marinas...Existe un riesgo alto de corrientes marinas
para las playas de San Thomas y las playas del norte de San John
para hoy.

.Dias dos hasta el siete...martes a domingo

El viento disminuira el miercoles seguido de oleaje peligroso y
corrientes marinas.

.Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores...

No se anticipa activacion amplia de observadores. Sin embargo, se
les exhorta a los observadores individuales a reportar inundaciones
y corrientes marinas al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San
Juan.

The radar

The San Juan radar (TJUA), 43 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:50 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 flash flood, 1 heavy rain, 1 debris flow. Local standard time, as filed.

Heavy Rain, Vega Baja

When
March 9, 6:50 PM AST to March 10, 3:30 AM AST
Where
Vega Baja County, 6.09 mi S of Vega Baja to 6.18 mi S of Vega Baja
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
18.362, -66.389

Seven people were trapped in Rio Charco Azul due to a water surge.

Debris Flow, Rio Grande

When
March 10, 6:15 PM AST to 8:30 PM AST
Where
Rio Grande County, 3.05 mi W of Rio Grande to 2.98 mi W of Rio Grande
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.342, -65.846

Mudslide reported along Road PR-956 KM 6.1.

Flash Flood, Canovanas

When
March 10, 7:05 PM AST to March 11, 12:30 AM AST
Where
Canovanas County, 2.31 mi NNW of Canovanas to 2.18 mi N of Canovanas
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.363, -65.888

Road PR-962 between KM 0.6 and KM 0.8 was flooded with 8 feet of water.

Flash Flood, Canovanas

When
March 10, 7:05 PM AST to March 11, 12:30 AM AST
Where
Canovanas County, 3.59 mi NNW of Canovanas to 3.25 mi NNW of Canovanas
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.377, -65.903

The intersection of Road PR-3 and Road PR-185 was flooded.

Flash Flood, Canovanas

When
March 10, 7:05 PM AST to March 11, 12:30 AM AST
Where
Canovanas County, 2.9 mi NNW of Canovanas to 2.46 mi NNW of Canovanas
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.367, -65.901

Several streets in the Urbanization of Ciudad Jardin were flooded with 2 feet of water.

What these are

Heavy Rain
Rainfall totals unusual for the place and season that did not produce a flood.
Debris Flow
A fast-moving slurry of mud, rock and debris, usually on a slope soaked by heavy rain or stripped by a fire.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Puerto Rico in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in Puerto Rico, March 2020

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 877668, 877669, 877670, 877671, 877672.