The Green River rose back above flood stage as more rounds of heavy rain fell during the month. The flooding was minor to moderate, and it continued into April on parts of the river.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
The Green River rose back above flood stage as more rounds of heavy rain fell during the month. The flooding was minor to moderate, and it continued into April on parts of the river.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 15, 2:15 AM CST, 2 hours 45 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 315 AM CDT Sun Mar 15 2020 .SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday night) Issued at 315 AM CDT Sun Mar 15 2020 Today will be a chilly, gray day as a large blanket of low stratus clouds hangs tough. Areas of light drizzle have been observed overnight, which will likely dissipate later this morning. The low stratus deck will lift and thin out this afternoon. A few breaks of sun cannot be ruled out, but model soundings keep the low levels moist. The prevailing clouds and brisk northeast winds will keep temps from getting out of the 40s, barring any surprise clearing. Mostly cloudy skies will continue tonight, with lows in the 30s. On Monday afternoon, a weak upper level impulse will move eastward from the central Plains. This impulse will pass across the lower Ohio Valley on Monday night. In response, a light southerly surface wind will develop Monday into Monday evening. There will be just enough forcing and moisture for some areas of rain. The blended model qpf from wpc will be used for this forecast. Generally one tenth to one third inch is expected Monday through Monday night, with the highest amounts in the Ozark foothills of se Missouri. Highs will struggle to reach 50 Monday due to clouds and some rain. Expect lows in the 40s on Monday night. A mainly dry period is expected from midday Tuesday through early Tuesday night as weak high pressure passes overhead. A drier westerly flow at 850 mb, along with 850 mb temps near plus 8, should allow highs to reach about 60. Rain chances will move back in from the west late Tuesday night as the 850 mb flow turns southwesterly atop the cool northeast surface flow. .LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Saturday) Issued at 315 AM CDT Sun Mar 15 2020 The 00Z guidance continues to indicate an active pattern from Wednesday through Friday, followed by a cool and dry weekend. The Quad State region will be impacted by impulses in the persistent west southwest flow aloft, and then the main upper low lifting northeast through the region Thursday night into Friday. The low will be opening up and dampening to some extent, as it lifts by our region ahead of a larger northern stream trough. The models differ in the intensity of the northern stream trough and that will have an impact on the path and intensity of the southern stream system through our region. At the surface a warm front is expected to be established north of our area by Wednesday night and we will be warm sectored on Thursday, until a pre-frontal trough or dry line moves through Thursday night into Friday. The dry line will be the active boundary as far as convection is concerned. The trailing Arctic cold front will move through the area later Friday or Friday night, effectively drying us out for the weekend. With the guidance trend in lifting the warm front north of the area as the initial disturbance moves through Wednesday into Wednesday night, and the prospects of being warm-sectored sooner and longer than expected yesterday, the QPF for the 2-3 day event has dropped by around an inch and the focus for the heaviest rainfall has shifted northward, and may end up completely north of our area. There could be some nuisance flooding and some isolated more significant problems where any training develops, but there is not enough concern to issue a Hydrologic Outlook at this time. Cannot rule out some rumbles of thunder with the initial impulse Wednesday into Wednesday night, but the impacts should be minimal. The thunder chances will increase Thursday through Thursday night in the warm sector and near the dry line. With dewpoints expected to climb above 60F, some strong to severe storms will be possible along and ahead of the dry line. Would be most concerned for large hail with individual cells and then damaging winds with any linear development on the dry line. A few showers may linger over west Kentucky Friday morning, then we should be dry through Sunday. Unfortunately, initially very mild temperatures Wednesday through Friday will tumble to well below normal levels Saturday and Sunday. Saturday could be quite blustery across the region, with gusty northwest winds, quite a bit of cloud cover, and temperatures not expected to reach 50. && .AVIATION... Issued at 315 AM CDT Sun Mar 15 2020 Widespread cigs around 1k feet will linger through mid morning, along with patchy drizzle. The cigs will lift through the mvfr range this afternoon, then vfr is expected by late this evening. Northeast winds around 10 kt today will become lighter tonight. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && SHORT TERM...MY LONG TERM...DRS AVIATION...MY
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Paducah KY 333 AM CDT Sun Mar 15 2020 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-160845- Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves- Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell- Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean- Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- 333 AM CDT Sun Mar 15 2020 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday A chance of thunderstorms is forecast for part or all of the region Wednesday through early Friday. Locally heavy rainfall will be the primary hazard during this time period, but a few storms could approach severe limits with damaging wind and hail late Thursday and Thursday night. The heavy rainfall potential from Wednesday through Friday will likely result in more locations along the Ohio and Mississippi Rivers, and some of their tributaries, reaching flood stage. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time. MY/DRS
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Moderate flooding occurred on the Green River. At the Paradise river gage, the river crested at 386.38 feet on the 23rd. Flood stage is 380 feet. The flooding consisted of mainly flooded fields and woodlands. However, some roads were flooded.
Minor flooding occurred on the Green River. The impact was mostly on low-lying fields and woods near the river.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, March 2020
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 876675, 876676.