Afternoon thunderstorms developed once again across the area. While shear remained too weak for organization, sufficient instability was in place for a few storms to pulse to strong or marginally severe.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS IWX wrote it up.
Afternoon thunderstorms developed once again across the area. While shear remained too weak for organization, sufficient instability was in place for a few storms to pulse to strong or marginally severe. The primary hazard with storms was locally heavy rain, torrential at times, and strong wind gusts. There were also isolated reports of hail.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 7, 6:57 PM EST, 1 hour 14 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 757 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 752 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 Hot and humid conditions will persist through Thursday with lows near 70 degrees and highs in the low to mid 90s. Afternoon heat indices will be in the mid to upper 90s, with some locations reaching near 100 degrees Wednesday and Thursday afternoons. There is a potential for isolated to scattered afternoon thunderstorms each day otherwise. && .UPDATE... Issued at 752 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 Plethora of residual outflow boundaries continues to be focus for isolated showers and thunderstorms early this evening. Weak, low amplitude short wave working across the Great Lakes region also appears to be aiding in weak large scale lift. Would suspect isolated showers will continue to develop through 01Z or 02Z before dissipating. If showers do linger past this 02Z period, best potential may be across the far northwest where outflow associated with southern Wisconsin/northeast Illinois convection may briefly trigger a few showers across far northwest Indiana late this evening. Otherwise, quiet conditions still look on track for remainder of the night with just a potential of some patchy shallow ground fog early Wednesday morning. && .SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Wednesday) Issued at 236 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 Afternoon thunderstorms have developed once again across the area. While shear remains too weak for organization, sufficient instability is in place for a storm to pulse to strong or marginally severe. The primary hazard with storms will be locally heavy rain, torrential at times, and strong wind gusts. Hail is also possible with the stronger cores, but should remain below 1 inch. These storms should diminish around sunset, and we should remain dry through the remainder of the overnight hours. Another round of patchy ground fog is possible around sunrise Wednesday. Another hot day expected once again on. Afternoon deep mixing continues to vex model guidance as much drier air aloft is keeping surface dewpoints lower during the heat of the day. With that being said, pockets of higher dewpoints in the afternoon could allow for spotty heat index values to rise near 100 degree mark, but higher confidence is with widespread heat index values in the mid to upper 90s. Agree with previously issued SPS and discussion focusing the highest values east of Interstate 69. Given the higher confidence with widespread mid/upper 90s will continue the SPS for heat concerns for Wednesday. && .LONG TERM...(Wednesday Night through Tuesday) Issued at 236 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 The hot weather continues on Thursday with afternoon heat index values increasing again into the mid to upper 90s with spotty locations reaching 100 degrees; especially east of Interstate 69. Outdoor activities should continue to be limited. Diurnally driven convection is expected once again. As has been the case, shear will be limited and storms will primarily be of the pulse variety. A few strong to marginally severe storms can't be ruled out. Late Thursday night through Friday will see an upper trough progress eastwards across the central Plains and into the western Great Lakes/western Ohio River Valley. This will hold our best chance in the forecast to see widespread rainfall. Models are in fair agreement with the timing of the trough passage, but there remains some differences in regards to the departure of the trough and by association POPs. Have continued the trend of leaning towards the ECMWF which lingers POPs into Friday night. The increase cloud coverage and precipitation will allow for some of the cooler weather we've seen in a week. Saturday into next week, continues to see differences in model solutions. The ECMWF remains the drier solutions with the GFS being the wetter solution. One notable difference with the 12z run of the GFS is a trend towards the ECMWF concerning a trough evolution over the weekend. Previous runs showed this trough cutting off over the eastern Ohio River Valley and remaining there well into next week. The most recent run has not cut the low off as much and shifted the track further south and west with this passage on Saturday. The new evolution allows for the western ridge to work back over the forecast area to keep us drier. Expect refinements going forward. && .AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday Evening) Issued at 742 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 Showers and isolated storms continue to develop early this evening, just west of KFWA. Continued outflow interactions could yield brief period of showers at KFWA in the 00Z-02Z timeframe this evening with convective inhibition likely strengthening after 02Z to limit additional shower chances. May need to watch for residual outflow boundary from northeast Illinois to possibly kick off a few showers across northwest Indiana late evening/early overnight, but confidence in this scenario is much too low to include with the 00Z TAFs (potential greater across extreme NW Indiana/NE Illinois). Otherwise, no change from previous TAFs with patchy shallow fog potential at KFWA early Wednesday and will maintain TEMPO MVFR vsbys. Wednesday may end up being somewhat of a repeat of today, with main difference in that upper forcing could be a bit more pronounced as upper level short wave across eastern Iowa this evening approaches western Lower Michigan/northwest Indiana for Wednesday. Expecting scattered showers and storms once again in the 16Z-00Z timeframe Wednesday. At this forecast distance will handle this with VCSH mention for this period and let later forecasts assess need for thunder mention at terminals. Winds to remain weak through the period outside of any brief stronger gusts with potential thunderstorm outflow Wednesday afternoon. && .IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IN...NONE. MI...NONE. OH...NONE. LM...NONE. && UPDATE...Marsili/Steinwedel SYNOPSIS...Marsili SHORT TERM...CM LONG TERM...CM AVIATION...Marsili Visit us at www.weather.gov/iwx Follow us on Facebook...Twitter...and YouTube at: www.facebook.com/NWSNorthernIndiana www.twitter.com/nwsiwx www.youtube.com/NWSNorthernIndiana
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Northern Indiana 350 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005- 015-016-024-025-082000- La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke- Pulaski-Marshall-Fulton IN-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN- Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Berrien- Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-Branch-Hillsdale-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance- Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH- 350 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 /250 PM CDT Tue Jul 7 2020/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana, southwest Michigan and northwest Ohio. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Heat index values have climbed into the mid to upper 90s across the forecast area this afternoon. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected through the early evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Maximum afternoon heat index values will reach into the mid to upper 90s Wednesday and Thursday, with some spotty locations possibly reaching 100 degrees. On Friday, heat indices along and south of US 24 will remain in the mid-90s, while the remainder of the area will only reach into the low 90s. Each afternoon will hold a chance for showers and thunderstorms Wednesday and Thursday. Better chances for widespread thunderstorms are possible late Thursday night through Friday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. LMZ043-046-082000- New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI- 350 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters of southeastern Lake Michigan. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. There are low chances for showers and thunderstorms Thursday into Friday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Northern Indiana 450 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 OHZ015-016-024-025-072145- Allen-Putnam-Van Wert-Paulding- 450 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 ...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WESTERN PUTNAM... SOUTHEASTERN PAULDING...NORTHEASTERN VAN WERT AND WEST CENTRAL ALLEN COUNTIES... At 450 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Continental to near Ohio City. Movement was east at 15 mph. Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with these storms. Locations impacted include... Van Wert, Delphos, Kalida, Continental, Ottoville, Ohio City, Oakwood, Middle Point, Fort Jennings, Grover Hill, Dupont, Melrose, Cloverdale, Miller City, Venedocia, Rushmore, Jonestown, Rimer, Wisterman and Wetzel. Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. Seek shelter until these storms pass. && LAT...LON 4116 8402 4076 8426 4077 8464 4114 8441 TIME...MOT...LOC 2050Z 269DEG 13KT 4116 8432 4080 8454 HAIL...0.25IN WIND...40MPH MARSILI
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
453 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020
INZ004-005-072130-
St. Joseph-Elkhart-
453 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN ELKHART AND
NORTHEASTERN ST. JOSEPH COUNTIES...
At 453 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Mishawaka. The
storm is nearly stationary.
Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.
Locations impacted include...
South Bend, Elkhart, Mishawaka, Georgetown, Granger, Simonton Lake,
Osceola, Roseland, Indian Village and Jimtown.
This includes Interstate 80 in Indiana between mile markers 77 and
91.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Seek shelter until this storm passes.
&&
LAT...LON 4158 8595 4160 8623 4173 8625 4176 8604
4176 8598
TIME...MOT...LOC 2053Z 245DEG 4KT 4166 8615
HAIL...0.50IN
WIND...40MPH
MARSILIPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
524 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2020
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0520 PM HAIL DELPHOS 40.84N 84.34W
07/07/2020 E0.75 INCH VAN WERT OH EMERGENCY MNGR
PENNY SIZED HAIL AND 40 MPH WINDS.
&&
BROWNSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
533 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020
INZ033-034-072200-
Jay-Blackford-
533 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN BLACKFORD AND
NORTHWESTERN JAY COUNTIES...
At 532 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Hartford City,
moving east at 10 mph.
Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.
Locations impacted include...
Hartford City, Pennville, Center, Blaine, Fiat, Balbec, Trenton and
Mill Grove.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Seek shelter until these storms pass.
&&
LAT...LON 4049 8537 4057 8515 4040 8501 4038 8526
4038 8533
TIME...MOT...LOC 2132Z 248DEG 7KT 4045 8526
HAIL...0.50IN
WIND...40MPH
MARSILIPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
543 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2020
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0502 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NW MIDDLE POINT 40.88N 84.49W
07/07/2020 VAN WERT OH TRAINED SPOTTER
TREE DOWN. TREE HAS SOME ROT. TIN ROOF FROM
A BARN BLOWN OFF.
&&
BROWNPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
546 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2020
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0516 PM HAIL 1 NW DELPHOS 40.85N 84.35W
07/07/2020 E1.00 INCH VAN WERT OH TRAINED SPOTTER
1 IN HAIL AND MEASURED 51 MPH WIND.
&&
BROWNThe Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 74 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 01:11 UTC.
2 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
EM reported semi truck and exit sign blown over. Time estimated from radar.
EM reported trees down on power lines. Time estimated from radar.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Indiana in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in Indiana, July 2020
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 908502, 908503.