Georgia, 2020

Heavy Rain in Georgia, September 10, 2020

September 10, 2020 · NWS JAX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

High moisture content and stronger onshore easterly flow focused the afternoon sea breeze mergers toward the I-75 corridor in the afternoon and evening, which locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds occurred in storms.

Where it happened

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  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.

High moisture content and stronger onshore easterly flow focused the afternoon sea breeze mergers toward the I-75 corridor in the afternoon and evening, which locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds occurred in storms.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 10, 12:28 PM EST, 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 10, 12:28 PM EST, 42 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
128 PM EDT Thu Sep 10 2020

.AVIATION...
[Through 18Z Friday]

Line of showers/isolated storms along the East Coast/Atlc sea
breeze front has already pushed west of most of the TAF sites
except for a brief TEMPO for a storm possible until 19z at VQQ
and until 20Z at GNV, then warm and humid atmosphere will support
some VCSH at all TAF sites through 00-01z time frame. Some brief
MVFR CIGS will be most common at SGJ, but will be possible at any
TAF sites this afternoon until sunset. Mainly VFR with light winds
at most TAF sites with onshore flow weakening enough to leave out
VCSH for most of the night, some patchy MVFR VSBYS will be
possible at GNV/VQQ in the 08-12z time frame, along with possible
IFR CIGS but have kept out the low CIGS for now due to uncertainty
since last nights low clouds/fog at GNV were due to heavy rainfall
at the airport location. On Friday from 12Z-14Z showers will
develop once again along the coast and push inland with the east
flow pattern and have included VCSH at all TAF sites for now.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [958 AM EDT]...

.NEAR TERM [Through Friday]...

Low stratus ceilings and patches of locally dense fog will be
possible through the early morning hours over the Suwannee Valley
and much of inland southeast GA. Otherwise, convergent
southeasterly flow to the east of the inverted trough axis will
continue to generate scattered convection along the I-95 corridor
and the coastal waters this morning, with activity then blossoming
along the inverted trough this afternoon at inland locations.
Subsidence is expected to strengthen this afternoon at coastal
locations as the trough moves west of I-75 and the upstream trough
moves across the central Bahamas, which should result in
decreasing rain chances by late afternoon along the I-95 corridor.
Convection this afternoon along and west of the U.S. Highway 301
corridor will again be capable of producing very heavy downpours
as deep tropical moisture prevails across our region, with an
isolated stronger storm or two along the I-75 and U.S. Highway 84
corridors possible, with wet microburst potential and frequent
lightning strikes. Activity should exit our region by sunset as
the inverted trough moves westward through the FL Big Bend and
stretches southward into the far eastern Gulf of Mexico. Localized
flooding will be possible this afternoon, mainly for urban areas
and saturated locations such as Alachua and Columbia Counties.
Highs will generally reach the mid to upper 80s today as plenty of
cloud cover prevails and convection initiates towards noon at
inland locations. Dewpoints in the mid to upper 70s will create
heat index values around 100 before convection becomes widespread
this afternoon.

We expect a lull in convective activity throughout our region this
evening in between the departing trough and the upstream trough
that will be moving through the Bahamas. Low level flow will back
to east-northeasterly after midnight, with strengthening
convergence combining with increasing PWAT values along the I-95
corridor that should develop scattered showers and a few
thunderstorms over the Atlantic coastal waters after midnight that
will likely move onshore towards sunrise. Lows tonight will only
fall to the mid 70s inland and the upper 70s at coastal locations.

The upstream inverted trough will progress westward across the
northwestern Bahamas on Friday and will approach our coastal
waters by Friday evening. This feature will likely produce waves
of showers and thunderstorms that will progress across our region,
with widespread activity expected during the afternoon hours at
most inland locations. Deep tropical moisture will remain in place
across our area, with repetitive downpours again creating the
potential for localized flooding, particularly at urban and inland
locations during the afternoon hours. A slightly later start to
convection may allow highs to reach 90 at inland locations, with
onshore winds keeping coastal highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Dewpoints in the mid to upper 70s will likely result in heat index
values of 100-105 by early afternoon before convection becomes
widespread during the afternoon hours.

.SHORT TERM [Friday Night Through Sunday Night]...

Low and mid level flow will shift to easterly on Friday evening as
the inverted trough axis crosses our area and then southeasterly
for the weekend as the trough moves slowly westward into the
eastern Gulf of Mexico and the FL panhandle. This trough may
continue to generate scattered convection across much of our area
on Friday evening, with activity then shifting to coastal
locations overnight and Saturday morning. Drier air in the wake of
the trough axis may then advect over coastal locations on Saturday
afternoon and evening, with deeper moisture prevailing along the
I-75 corridor, where another round of convection and heavy
downpours are expected during the afternoon hours. Meanwhile,
stronger high pressure will briefly build over New England,
driving a cold front into the southeastern states towards the end
of the weekend. Deepening and convergent southeasterly flow will
continue to generate scattered convection at coastal locations
Saturday night and Sunday morning, with another round of
widespread convection expected inland on Sunday afternoon. Highs
will generally reach the mid to upper 80s at coastal locations and
around 90 inland each afternoon, with lows in the 70s.

.LONG TERM [Monday Through Wednesday]...

Deep-layered ridging will sink southward and will be positioned
over our region on Monday as a progressive trough digs east-
southeastward across New England and the Mid-Atlantic states. This
trough will drive a backdoor cold front into southeast GA by late
Monday. with this boundary then stalling over northeast FL on
Tuesday as a strong surface ridge builds over New England and
begins to wedge down the southeastern seaboard. Low level flow
will back to easterly on Monday and then northeasterly by Tuesday
and Wednesday, with increasing speeds possible by midweek as the
surface ridge continues to wedge down the southeastern seaboard.
This weather pattern will likely produce scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms each day as the frontal boundary adds
extra lift to the tropically moist air mass that will remain
entrenched across our area. Highs around 90 on Monday will then
fall back to the mid 80s towards midweek as northeasterly flow
strengthens. Lows will remain in the 70s.

.MARINE...

ESE Winds near 10 kts with combined seas generally 3 ft or less
today with showers and isolated tstorms, decreasing in coverage
near the Atlantic coast in the evening.

Rip Currents: Moderate risk today for all local beaches. High risk
likely by Sun & into Mon due to long period easterly swells.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

AMG  73  89  74  89  73 /  30  80  30  70  20
SSI  77  86  78  87  77 /  50  70  50  70  40
JAX  75  89  75  89  75 /  30  70  40  60  40
SGJ  77  87  77  88  77 /  30  60  40  60  40
GNV  74  90  74  90  74 /  20  80  30  60  20
OCF  74  91  74  90  74 /  40  80  40  70  20

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.

Heavy Rain, Brantley

When
September 10, 1:10 PM EST to 2:00 PM EST
Where
Brantley County, 3.62 mi E of Shea
Reported by
CoCoRaHS
Coordinates
31.130, -81.940

An observer measured 3.03 inches of rain in less than one hour. Low water crossings in the area were flooded.

What these are

Heavy Rain
Rainfall totals unusual for the place and season that did not produce a flood.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Georgia in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in Georgia, September 2020

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 921549.