Florida, 2020

Damaging Winds in Florida, April 18 to 20, 2020

April 18 to 20, 2020 · NWS TAE · 10 events in 7 counties and zones

A potent upper trough moved across the southeast states with numerous severe storms, including widespread wind damage and tornadoes. The tri-state area was under an enhanced to moderate risk of severe storms from the Storm Prediction Center.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$21,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
10

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TAE wrote it up.

A potent upper trough moved across the southeast states with numerous severe storms, including widespread wind damage and tornadoes. The tri-state area was under an enhanced to moderate risk of severe storms from the Storm Prediction Center. Some of the tornadoes were significant and rated EF2. Unfortunately, one fatality occurred in southeast Alabama.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 18, 6:33 PM CST, 4 hours 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 18, 6:33 PM CST, 4 hours 42 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
833 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2020

.UPDATE...

No significant changes to the previous forecast appear necessary.
We're watching with interest how convection across southern
Louisiana will evolve overnight and into Sunday morning as the
warm front lifts northward. The warm front placement will be
crucial to how much activity the forecast area receives during the
day on Sunday before a squall line arrives Sunday night.
Currently, most models place most of the convection just a few
rows of counties north of the forecast area, but any southward
displacement would mean an increased risk of severe storms and
flooding during the day across the northern tier of counties.
There are a couple of models like the 12z NCEP ARW and 18z RGEM
that are a little farther south than the consensus. We'll be
watching for mesoscale trends through the overnight hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [640 PM EDT]...

.NEAR TERM [Tonight]...

A weak front stalls in the vicinity of the I-10 corridor this
afternoon. This will be the focus for showers and thunderstorms
until around sunset. SPC maintains a marginal risk, so isolated
strong to severe thunderstorms are possible. Model soundings
indicate SB CAPE and deep layer shear up to 2.5k J/Kg and 60 kts,
respectively. While this is robust, the lack of forcing and drier
air advecting in aloft will limit coverage. The primary threats
are isolated damaging wind gusts and large hail, given DCAPE
approaching 900 J/Kg and steep mid-level lapse rates.

The main concern overnight will be the potential for patchy fog
across most of the area outside the I-75 corridor. While locally
dense fog is possible, deep layer moisture should prevent more
widespread dense fog, despite the proximity of the stalled front.

.SHORT TERM [Sunday through Monday]...

Anyone that's spent any time forecasting severe weather in the
deep south learns pretty quickly to not trust warm fronts, and a
strong warm front is exactly what we'll deal with for much of
Sunday. After 12Z the boundary that stalls near the I-10 corridor
today surges back north with a plume of very moisture rich air.
CAPE values in the vicinity of the front over SE AL and SW GA
approach 3000 J/KG by late morning so any convection near the warm
front could become surface based and quite severe very quickly
from late morning into early afternoon. The general trend from
most of our larger scale models is for the warm front to lift
north of our CWA by mid-afternoon, but a few convective-allowing
mesoscale models effectively hold it up further south due to all
the rain generated along the boundary. This evolution will have a
huge impact on how Sunday plays out. The most likely scenario is
the warm front lifts north leaving an unstable but weakly sheared
and somewhat capped airmass in it's wake for late afternoon into
early evening. Less likely but more impactful scenario is the
warm front stalls further south prolonging the severe weather
threat. Stay tuned.

The main event in terms of severe weather coverage still looks to
be Sunday night into early Monday. Deep layer shear remains high
and while the shear in the low levels is not overly impressive the
combination of high CAPE and sufficient shear maintains a
significant (10% hatched) tornado threat north of I-10. Otherwise
all modes of severe weather including destructive straight line
winds are in play. Severe storm threat will likely persist through
midday Monday over the far southeast before drier air wins out.

.LONG TERM [Monday Night Through Saturday]...

Northwest/confluent flow aloft will reinforce high pressure at the
surface through mid-week. This will help keep our weather dry
through the period and with a drier airmass in place we'll see a
pretty big diurnal swing from cooler pleasant mornings to warm
mainly sunny afternoons. Guidance temps look fine throughout.

The next system on the wave train approaches Wednesday Night and
likely crosses the area on Thursday. Better and better model
consensus that this will be another impactful system for our area.
Degree of moisture return/buoyancy coupled with elevated shear
parameters highly suggestive of more severe weather. Like the
system tomorrow the details will depend on mesoscale effects like
convective boundaries so it's far too early for details. But the
potential is there so keep your guard up.

.AVIATION...
[Through 00Z Monday]

Cigs/vsbys lower to IFR/LIFR by 08Z except ABY with MVFR. Gradual
improvement to MVFR cigs expected Sunday. Highest chance of TSRA
at ABY/DHN Sunday. Winds shift from light and variable tonight to
southerly on Sunday, AOB 10 kts.

.MARINE...

Marine conditions begin deteriorating Sun afternoon ahead of a
potent system that will be accompanied with severe weather.
Cautionary-to-advisory levels are expected through Mon with seas
reaching 6-7 ft. Conditions steadily improve thereafter, before
winds and seas ramp up again ahead of the Thurs system. Isolated
thunderstorms are possible through Sunday with a gusty line of
storms likely Sunday Night into early Monday.

.FIRE WEATHER...

Outside of high dispersions across much of the area on Sunday,
hazardous fire weather conditions are not expected.

.HYDROLOGY...

Model and WPC forecasts keep the heaviest QPF north of the area
with this next system but we could still see an isolated flash
flood threat where storms persist. It will likely take around
three inches of rain or more in three hours to cause flash
flooding. Area rivers, especially the Flint and it's tributaries
along with the Withlacoochee River, are running higher than
normal and heavy rain upstream will cause further rises. Some
minor flooding is possible by mid- week depending on exactly where
the heaviest rain falls.

The next big rain maker swings through the deep south Wednesday
Night into Thursday. Additional heavy rainfall is likely with this
system, especially across AL/GA so more rises are likely on the
rivers. Folks with interests along our rivers are urged to monitor
forecasts through the week into the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by
calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   65  84  67  85  58 /  20  50  90  40   0
Panama City   68  80  69  81  62 /  20  50  90  20   0
Dothan        63  81  65  81  55 /  20  70  90  10   0
Albany        62  81  66  81  55 /  20  70 100  20   0
Valdosta      64  82  68  82  58 /  10  50  90  40   0
Cross City    66  84  68  82  61 /  20  20  70  70  10
Apalachicola  68  79  69  79  62 /  20  30  90  30   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

UPDATE...DVD
NEAR TERM...LF
SHORT TERM...Johnstone
LONG TERM...Johnstone
AVIATION...LF
MARINE...Johnstone
FIRE WEATHER...LF
HYDROLOGY...Johnstone

The radar

The Eglin Afb radar (KEVX), 51 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 05:15 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

10 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Holmes

When
April 18, 11:15 PM CST
Where
Holmes County, 2.07 mi N of Ards Crossroads
Measured
70 kt (81 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
30.980, -85.690

A tree fell onto a home and some shingles were removed from the roof. Additional trees were blown down in the yard. Winds were estimated at 80 mph.

Thunderstorm Wind, Jackson

When
April 19, 11:00 PM CST
Where
Jackson County, 0.91 mi NW of Graceville
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
30.960, -85.520

Trees were blown down with minor roof damage in Graceville.

Thunderstorm Wind, Jackson

When
April 19, 11:07 PM CST
Where
Jackson County, 2.16 mi SSE of Browntown
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
30.950, -85.450

Trees were blown down in the Campbellton area.

Thunderstorm Wind, Gulf

When
April 20, 2:45 AM CST
Where
Gulf County, 0.69 mi N of Oak Grove
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
29.800, -85.300

A tree was blown down onto a power line near 13th and Monument Ave.

Thunderstorm Wind, Leon

When
April 20, 3:50 AM EST
Where
Leon County, 0.91 mi NE of Bloxham
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
30.390, -84.610

A tree was down across Bloxham Cutoff Road near Ben Stoutamire Road.

Thunderstorm Wind, Leon

When
April 20, 4:10 AM EST
Where
Leon County, 1.38 mi N of Tallahassee Community College
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
30.460, -84.340

A tree was down blocking half of the road at West Tennessee Street and Blountstown Street.

Thunderstorm Wind, Wakulla

When
April 20, 4:10 AM EST
Where
Wakulla County, 1.83 mi SE of Wakulla Springs
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
30.210, -84.280

Numerous trees were blown down.

Thunderstorm Wind, Lafayette

When
April 20, 5:30 AM EST
Where
Lafayette County, 1.38 mi S of Day
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
30.170, -83.290

A tree was blown down near N County Road 53 and NW County Road 348.

Thunderstorm Wind, Dixie

When
April 20, 5:55 AM EST
Where
Dixie County, 1.39 mi WNW of Jena
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
29.670, -83.390

A tree was blown down onto Highway 51.

Thunderstorm Wind, Dixie

When
April 20, 6:00 AM EST
Where
Dixie County, 0.92 mi SE of Eugene
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
29.600, -83.070

A tree was blown down on SW Highway 55A near 490th Street.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, April 2020

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 889423, 889424, 889425, 889426, 889427, 889428, 889429, 889430, 889431, 889432.