Florida, 2020Damaging Winds in Florida, April 18 to 20, 2020
April 18 to 20, 2020 · NWS TAE · 10 events in 7 counties and zones
A potent upper trough moved across the southeast states with numerous severe storms, including widespread wind damage and tornadoes. The tri-state area was under an enhanced to moderate risk of severe storms from the Storm Prediction Center.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $21,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 10
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A potent upper trough moved across the southeast states with numerous severe storms, including widespread wind damage and tornadoes. The tri-state area was under an enhanced to moderate risk of severe storms from the Storm Prediction Center. Some of the tornadoes were significant and rated EF2. Unfortunately, one fatality occurred in southeast Alabama.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 18, 6:33 PM CST, 4 hours 42 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 18, 6:33 PM CST, 4 hours 42 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
833 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2020
.UPDATE...
No significant changes to the previous forecast appear necessary.
We're watching with interest how convection across southern
Louisiana will evolve overnight and into Sunday morning as the
warm front lifts northward. The warm front placement will be
crucial to how much activity the forecast area receives during the
day on Sunday before a squall line arrives Sunday night.
Currently, most models place most of the convection just a few
rows of counties north of the forecast area, but any southward
displacement would mean an increased risk of severe storms and
flooding during the day across the northern tier of counties.
There are a couple of models like the 12z NCEP ARW and 18z RGEM
that are a little farther south than the consensus. We'll be
watching for mesoscale trends through the overnight hours.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION [640 PM EDT]...
.NEAR TERM [Tonight]...
A weak front stalls in the vicinity of the I-10 corridor this
afternoon. This will be the focus for showers and thunderstorms
until around sunset. SPC maintains a marginal risk, so isolated
strong to severe thunderstorms are possible. Model soundings
indicate SB CAPE and deep layer shear up to 2.5k J/Kg and 60 kts,
respectively. While this is robust, the lack of forcing and drier
air advecting in aloft will limit coverage. The primary threats
are isolated damaging wind gusts and large hail, given DCAPE
approaching 900 J/Kg and steep mid-level lapse rates.
The main concern overnight will be the potential for patchy fog
across most of the area outside the I-75 corridor. While locally
dense fog is possible, deep layer moisture should prevent more
widespread dense fog, despite the proximity of the stalled front.
.SHORT TERM [Sunday through Monday]...
Anyone that's spent any time forecasting severe weather in the
deep south learns pretty quickly to not trust warm fronts, and a
strong warm front is exactly what we'll deal with for much of
Sunday. After 12Z the boundary that stalls near the I-10 corridor
today surges back north with a plume of very moisture rich air.
CAPE values in the vicinity of the front over SE AL and SW GA
approach 3000 J/KG by late morning so any convection near the warm
front could become surface based and quite severe very quickly
from late morning into early afternoon. The general trend from
most of our larger scale models is for the warm front to lift
north of our CWA by mid-afternoon, but a few convective-allowing
mesoscale models effectively hold it up further south due to all
the rain generated along the boundary. This evolution will have a
huge impact on how Sunday plays out. The most likely scenario is
the warm front lifts north leaving an unstable but weakly sheared
and somewhat capped airmass in it's wake for late afternoon into
early evening. Less likely but more impactful scenario is the
warm front stalls further south prolonging the severe weather
threat. Stay tuned.
The main event in terms of severe weather coverage still looks to
be Sunday night into early Monday. Deep layer shear remains high
and while the shear in the low levels is not overly impressive the
combination of high CAPE and sufficient shear maintains a
significant (10% hatched) tornado threat north of I-10. Otherwise
all modes of severe weather including destructive straight line
winds are in play. Severe storm threat will likely persist through
midday Monday over the far southeast before drier air wins out.
.LONG TERM [Monday Night Through Saturday]...
Northwest/confluent flow aloft will reinforce high pressure at the
surface through mid-week. This will help keep our weather dry
through the period and with a drier airmass in place we'll see a
pretty big diurnal swing from cooler pleasant mornings to warm
mainly sunny afternoons. Guidance temps look fine throughout.
The next system on the wave train approaches Wednesday Night and
likely crosses the area on Thursday. Better and better model
consensus that this will be another impactful system for our area.
Degree of moisture return/buoyancy coupled with elevated shear
parameters highly suggestive of more severe weather. Like the
system tomorrow the details will depend on mesoscale effects like
convective boundaries so it's far too early for details. But the
potential is there so keep your guard up.
.AVIATION...
[Through 00Z Monday]
Cigs/vsbys lower to IFR/LIFR by 08Z except ABY with MVFR. Gradual
improvement to MVFR cigs expected Sunday. Highest chance of TSRA
at ABY/DHN Sunday. Winds shift from light and variable tonight to
southerly on Sunday, AOB 10 kts.
.MARINE...
Marine conditions begin deteriorating Sun afternoon ahead of a
potent system that will be accompanied with severe weather.
Cautionary-to-advisory levels are expected through Mon with seas
reaching 6-7 ft. Conditions steadily improve thereafter, before
winds and seas ramp up again ahead of the Thurs system. Isolated
thunderstorms are possible through Sunday with a gusty line of
storms likely Sunday Night into early Monday.
.FIRE WEATHER...
Outside of high dispersions across much of the area on Sunday,
hazardous fire weather conditions are not expected.
.HYDROLOGY...
Model and WPC forecasts keep the heaviest QPF north of the area
with this next system but we could still see an isolated flash
flood threat where storms persist. It will likely take around
three inches of rain or more in three hours to cause flash
flooding. Area rivers, especially the Flint and it's tributaries
along with the Withlacoochee River, are running higher than
normal and heavy rain upstream will cause further rises. Some
minor flooding is possible by mid- week depending on exactly where
the heaviest rain falls.
The next big rain maker swings through the deep south Wednesday
Night into Thursday. Additional heavy rainfall is likely with this
system, especially across AL/GA so more rises are likely on the
rivers. Folks with interests along our rivers are urged to monitor
forecasts through the week into the weekend.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by
calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee 65 84 67 85 58 / 20 50 90 40 0
Panama City 68 80 69 81 62 / 20 50 90 20 0
Dothan 63 81 65 81 55 / 20 70 90 10 0
Albany 62 81 66 81 55 / 20 70 100 20 0
Valdosta 64 82 68 82 58 / 10 50 90 40 0
Cross City 66 84 68 82 61 / 20 20 70 70 10
Apalachicola 68 79 69 79 62 / 20 30 90 30 0
&&
.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&
UPDATE...DVD
NEAR TERM...LF
SHORT TERM...Johnstone
LONG TERM...Johnstone
AVIATION...LF
MARINE...Johnstone
FIRE WEATHER...LF
HYDROLOGY...Johnstone
Thunderstorm Wind, Holmes
- When
- April 18, 11:15 PM CST
- Where
- Holmes County, 2.07 mi N of Ards Crossroads
- Measured
- 70 kt (81 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $10,000
- Reported by
- NWS Storm Survey
- Coordinates
- 30.980, -85.690
A tree fell onto a home and some shingles were removed from the roof. Additional trees were blown down in the yard. Winds were estimated at 80 mph.
Thunderstorm Wind, Jackson
- When
- April 19, 11:00 PM CST
- Where
- Jackson County, 0.91 mi NW of Graceville
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $10,000
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 30.960, -85.520
Trees were blown down with minor roof damage in Graceville.
Thunderstorm Wind, Jackson
- When
- April 19, 11:07 PM CST
- Where
- Jackson County, 2.16 mi SSE of Browntown
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- 911 Call Center
- Coordinates
- 30.950, -85.450
Trees were blown down in the Campbellton area.
Thunderstorm Wind, Gulf
- When
- April 20, 2:45 AM CST
- Where
- Gulf County, 0.69 mi N of Oak Grove
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Reported by
- 911 Call Center
- Coordinates
- 29.800, -85.300
A tree was blown down onto a power line near 13th and Monument Ave.
Thunderstorm Wind, Leon
- When
- April 20, 3:50 AM EST
- Where
- Leon County, 0.91 mi NE of Bloxham
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 30.390, -84.610
A tree was down across Bloxham Cutoff Road near Ben Stoutamire Road.
Thunderstorm Wind, Leon
- When
- April 20, 4:10 AM EST
- Where
- Leon County, 1.38 mi N of Tallahassee Community College
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 30.460, -84.340
A tree was down blocking half of the road at West Tennessee Street and Blountstown Street.
Thunderstorm Wind, Wakulla
- When
- April 20, 4:10 AM EST
- Where
- Wakulla County, 1.83 mi SE of Wakulla Springs
- Measured
- 55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- 911 Call Center
- Coordinates
- 30.210, -84.280
Numerous trees were blown down.
Thunderstorm Wind, Lafayette
- When
- April 20, 5:30 AM EST
- Where
- Lafayette County, 1.38 mi S of Day
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- 911 Call Center
- Coordinates
- 30.170, -83.290
A tree was blown down near N County Road 53 and NW County Road 348.
Thunderstorm Wind, Dixie
- When
- April 20, 5:55 AM EST
- Where
- Dixie County, 1.39 mi WNW of Jena
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- 911 Call Center
- Coordinates
- 29.670, -83.390
A tree was blown down onto Highway 51.
Thunderstorm Wind, Dixie
- When
- April 20, 6:00 AM EST
- Where
- Dixie County, 0.92 mi SE of Eugene
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- 911 Call Center
- Coordinates
- 29.600, -83.070
A tree was blown down on SW Highway 55A near 490th Street.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Tornadoes and Flash Flooding in Mississippi, April 18 to 19, 20201 death · 1 injured · $1.0 million · EF4 · 44 events
- Tornadoes and Hail in Louisiana, April 18 to 23, 20201 death · $3.0 million · EF2 · 20 events
- Tornadoes and Hail in Texas, April 18 to 22, 2020$375,000 · EF2 · 7 events
- Hail in Texas, April 18, 2020$80,000 · 3.5 in hail · 20 events
- Heavy Snow and Winter Weather in Massachusetts, April 18, 2020$13,000 · 5 events
- High Surf in Hawaii, April 18 to 20, 202011 events
- Damaging Winds in North Carolina, April 18, 2020$14,000 · 50 kt wind · 3 events
- Damaging Winds in North Carolina, April 18, 202055 kt wind · 8 events
- Frost and Freeze in Virginia, April 18 to 19, 20208 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in Gulf of Mexico, April 18, 20206 events
- Hail in Louisiana, April 18, 20201.75 in hail · 5 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in South Atlantic Coastal Waters, April 18, 20204 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 889423, 889424, 889425, 889426, 889427, 889428, 889429, 889430, 889431, 889432.