California, 2020

Wildfire in California, July 27, 2020

July 27, 2020 · NWS LOX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

The Ridge Fire burned 310 acres along Highway 138 in the mountains of Los Angeles county. One home was destroyed.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS LOX wrote it up.

The Ridge Fire burned 310 acres along Highway 138 in the mountains of Los Angeles county. One home was destroyed.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Los Angeles, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 27, 12:28 PM PST, 2 hours 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 27, 12:28 PM PST, 2 hours 32 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
128 PM PDT Mon Jul 27 2020

.SYNOPSIS...27/123 PM.

Afternoon temperatures will warm gradually through the next
several days and by the end of the week many valley locations
will be pushing or into the triple digits. Overnight and morning
low clouds and fog will remain closer to the coast each day.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TDY-THU)...27/106 PM.

For the next couple days just a lot of the same weather conditions
we have seen today. Some shallowing of the marine layer depth is
expected as high pressure strengthens along the West Coast but
overall cloud coverage won't change much as it's already more or
less confined to the coastal zones. With moderate to strong
onshore flow in place the beaches will continue to struggle with
afternoon clearing with minimal changes in daytime highs.
Meanwhile, interior areas will begin a slow warm up that will
continue through the week.

By Thursday the onshore flow may weaken enough and combine with
the strong high aloft to really decrease stratus coverage even
closer to the coast, or at the very least allow for a much earlier
clearing time. Likely some patchy dense fog though, possibly
creating some flight delays and coastal airports. Highs most areas
should climb a few more degrees with warmer coastal valleys
getting close to 100 and far interior areas like the Antelope
Valley close to 105. Beaches should top out in the high 70s but
inland coastal areas like Downtown LA and inland Camarillo could
get into the mid 80s.

.LONG TERM (FRI-MON)...27/123 PM.

Looks like the peak of this heat wave will be Friday, though
possibly very similar Saturday. Pressure gradients to the north
aren't quite as strong as earlier models had predicted but enough
to generate some downslope warming across the LA/Ventura Valleys
and delay the sea breeze. Warmer valley locations like the western
SF Valley should top 100 by at least a few degrees while inland
coastal areas get close to 90. Far interior areas like the
Antelope Valley will be the hottest with highs in the 104-107
range. These fall short of records by around 5 degrees so not
expecting records with this event. However, it's likely Friday
that at least the coastal valleys and possibly the mountains will
require heat advisories and those could be issued as early as
Tuesday if confidence is still fairly high. Overnight lows will
warm up slightly but absent any subtropical moisture the air mass
will be extremely dry and help temps cool off more so than if it
were humid. So the overnight cooling will give some relief to the
heat of the day and limit the impacts.

On Saturday the ridge remains mostly in place but models showing a
slight increase in onshore flow and very slight cooling of the
lower levels. So will go with up 3 degrees of cooling, mainly
coastal areas, though it's very possible Saturday highs could be
either similar or even a touch warmer as we get closer.
Especially if the ECMWF is correct which basically shows little if
any weakening of the upper high into the middle of next week.

Any hints of monsoon flow returning to the area have long been
abandoned by the models through at least the end of next week so
our streak of convection-free days will continue into the
foreseeable future.

&&

.AVIATION...27/1753Z.

At 1619Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 1100 feet deep. The top of
the inversion was near 2600 ft with a temp of 24C.

Low to moderate confidence in coastal TAFs. The marine layer depth
of around 1000 feet along with a strong inversion will cause the
marine clouds to hang tough at many beaches through the afternoon.
Some TAF sites at the coast may not clear out more than
intermittently this afternoon. When the marine clouds reutrn to
the coastal sections early this evening, widespread IFR conditions
are expected tonight into Tuesday morning.

High confidence in the valley and desert TAFs.

KLAX...Low confidence in TAF. IFR ceilings may occasionally return
with the sea breeze this afternoon.  Good confidence that an east
wind component will be less than 5 kt.

KBUR..High confidence in TAF.

&&

.MARINE...27/104 PM.

Overall, moderate confidence in forecast. Winds and seas will
likely remain below Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level across all
the waters through Wednesday. However, there is a 20% chance of
SCA level winds from Point Conception to San Nicolas Island each
evening through Wednesday. By Thursday afternoon, good confidence
in more widespread SCA level winds across the outer waters
including along the Central Coast. Good confidence that SCA level
winds will last into the weekend. There is also a 30% chance of
SCA winds across the Santa Barbara Channel through Wednesday
during the afternoon and evening hours. By Thursday and Friday,
confidence increases to about 50%. Choppy, short-period seas will
be likely across all the waters through the week.

Patchy fog, locally dense with visibility down to one mile or
less, will likely continue through mid-week across all the waters.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...27/920 AM.

A weak upper level ridge of high pressure will gradually build
over the area later today through Tuesday, leading to continued
very warm and dry conditions across the interior. Humidities will
lower to between 8 and 20 percent across most interior areas today
and Tuesday, except locally down to 5 percent across the Antelope
Valley on Tuesday. The driest air each day will remain focused
across the Antelope Valley and Los Angeles county mountains.
Breezy but typical onshore wind gusts between 20 and 35 mph will
continue each afternoon and evening over the interior, strongest
in the Antelope Valley and adjacent foothills. In addition, there
will be local sundowner wind conditions across the western
portions of the Santa Ynez mountains and Santa Barbara south coast
each evening, with gusts in the 25 to 35 mph range, strongest
near Gaviota.

While the upper level ridge of high pressure is expected to
weaken slightly on Wednesday, it is expected to strengthen over
the region Thursday through Saturday, bringing even warmer and
drier conditions to much of Southwest California. Some weak
northerly offshore flow combined with the warming air mass will
likely result in the hottest temperatures occurring Friday through
Saturday when triple digit heat is expected to become more common
across the warmest valleys, lower mountains, and deserts.
Humidities are expected to range between 8 and 20 percent across
the interior on Thursday, falling to between 5 and 15 percent on
Friday and Saturday when some of the drier air likely becoming
more widespread across the valleys and foothills. In addition,
there is expected to be poor overnight humidity recoveries across
the mountains, deserts, and foothills. Locally breezy northwest to
north winds will be possible Thursday night and Friday night
across southern Santa Barbara county as well as the Interstate 5
corridor in the Los Angeles county mountains otherwise typical
onshore winds each afternoon.

Elevated fire weather conditions will continue across the
interior valleys, mountains, and deserts through Thursday due to
breezy with very warm and dry conditions. By Friday and Saturday,
the elevated fire weather conditions are expected to become more
widespread with the potential for brief critical fire weather
conditions each day across the valleys, foothills, mountains, and
deserts due to even hotter and drier conditions combined with
locally breezy conditions.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.

&&

.HAZARD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK (THU-MON).

There is the potential for widespread elevated fire weather
conditions across the valleys, mountains, and deserts Thursday
through Saturday due to the combination of very warm temperatures,
very low humidities, and drying fuels.

&&

PUBLIC...MW
AVIATION...Sweet/Stewart
MARINE...Sweet
FIRE...Gomberg
SYNOPSIS...MW/Kj

weather.gov/losangeles

Event by event

1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.

Wildfire, Los Angeles County Mountains Excluding the Santa Monica Range

When
July 27, 3:00 PM PST to 9:00 PM PST
Where
Los Angeles County Mountains Excluding the Santa Monica Range forecast zone
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue

The Ridge Fire scorched 310 acres in the mountains of Los Angeles county, near Highway 138. One home was destroyed by the fire.

What these are

Wildfire
A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in California in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in California, July 2020

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 914975.