Alaska, 2020Avalanche in Alaska, February 25, 2020
February 25, 2020 · NWS AFC · 1 event in 1 county or zone
needs editing before certification.
- Deaths
- 1
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Placeholder...needs editing before certification.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 25, 5:08 PM AKST, 22 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 25, 5:08 PM AKST, 22 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
508 PM AKST Tue Feb 25 2020
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
There is a closed upper level ridge over the northern Bering Sea
that nudges into southwest Alaska. There is a strong vertically
stacked low over the southwest Gulf, moving northeastward.
There is a large vertically stacked low south of the western
Aleutians and slowly moving east. A frontal boundary stretches
west to east across the southern Bering, then across the eastern
Aleutians and western Alaska Peninsula into the southwestern Gulf.
A warm/occluded front associated with the Gulf low extends from
Kodiak northeast through the Valdez area into the Copper River
Basin, bringing snow to much of the Gulf coastal areas and Prince
William Sound. With surface high pressure to the north and low
pressure to the south, winds generally remain northerly over the
southern mainland and east-northeasterly over the Bering and
Aleutians.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The numerical models are in good agreement through Thursday
afternoon. There are still some differences in the location of
the low in the Gulf. Models have continued to trend significantly
further east with this system. Thus, we now expect precipitation
to end much sooner in the week for the Prince William Sound area.
Forecast confidence is a little above normal today.
&&
.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light north winds will persist.
Occasional gusty winds and/or a snow flurry are possible this
evening.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2...Wed and
Thu)...
Snow will continue to develop over the Gulf and coastal locations
through Wednesday as a storm centered over the southern Gulf
slowly moves north and weakens. Gusty winds are expected to
continue through late tonight and then taper down early Wednesday.
Gusty winds may ease through channeled terrain, however they
will continue through the end of the work week as a cold pool
remains over the Copper River Basin while the Gulf low tracks
toward the Northeastern Gulf. Inland locations will see scattered
showers this evening as the storm system sends upper level waves
across Southcentral.
The storm system weakens significantly late Wednesday into
Thursday as the low fills on an eastward track. A trough pattern
lingers over the northern Gulf on Thursday and Friday with a ridge
over the interior. The pattern will mainly be dry during this
period; however, a few showers are possible across eastern Copper
River Valley on Friday on as a weak boundary extends north from
the Gulf low.
&&
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 2...Wed and
Thu)...
As the low south of Kodiak continues to move to the northwest and
the high remains over the northern Bering: winds will relax over
the southwest tonight. Areas of blowing snow across Bethel and
surrounding areas will continue to weaken before ending Wednesday
morning. Drier conditions should prevail with temperatures
beginning to cool tomorrow as northwesterly flow brings in colder,
Arctic air.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 2...Wed
and Thu)...
As an area of low pressure continues to move east across the
Aleutian Chain, it will interact with an area of high pressure in
the northern Bering. This interaction will slow the progression
of the front, as the low weakens through Thursday afternoon. This
will propagate a showery pattern across the Aleutians and the
Bering. There is model inconsistency as to whether precipitation
makes it's way as far north as Saint Paul with this front.
&&
.MARINE (Days 3 through 5 Fri through Sun)...
On Friday a strong system will move into the Aleutians, and into
the Bering Sea Friday night and Saturday. This system will bring
widespread gales across the Aleutians, spreading northward across
the Bering through Sunday. Storm force winds are also expected
Friday night and Saturday across the central and western Aleutians
and the Bering Sea west of the Pribilofs. On Friday night into
Saturday there is also a chance of some westerly gales through
the Barren Islands area.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7 Sat through Tue)...
On Saturday morning a strong low pressure system will be centered
over the western Aleutians, with a ridge over the southern Alaskan
mainland. This low will move north into the central Bering by
Sunday morning, and the ridge will move east into Canada. This
will open up moist southwesterly flow aloft over the southern
mainland, producing active weather Sunday and Monday. By Tuesday
things become considerably more uncertain. The current forecast is
for the upper low to open up into a trough and slide eastward
across the mainland. However, there is a large spread in the
possible solutions and forecast confidence by Tuesday is low.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Blizzard Warning 131 (Thompson Pass).
Winter Weather Advisory 171.
MARINE...Heavy Freezing Spray Warning 179 414 185.
Gale Warning 185 411 412 119 120 127 128 130
131 132 138 139 352.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...KH
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CK
MARINE/LONG TERM...BL
In the hours before
Local storm report, Feb 25, 11:36 AM AKST, 5 hours 54 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1136 AM AKST TUE FEB 25 2020
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1130 AM SNOW 1 ESE KODIAK 57.79N 152.39W
02/25/2020 E5.0 INCH KODIAK ISLAND AK OTHER FEDERAL
SPOTTER REPORTED 4-6 INCHES OF SNOW AS WELL
AS SNOW BLOWING AND DRIFTING.
&&
MVLocal storm report, Feb 25, 11:37 AM AKST, 5 hours 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1137 AM AKST TUE FEB 25 2020
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1130 AM SNOW 2 SE KODIAK STATION 57.74N 152.50W
02/25/2020 E3.5 INCH KODIAK ISLAND AK OTHER FEDERAL
SPOTTER REPORTED 3-4 INCHES OF SNOW ALONG
WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.
&&
MVAvalanche, Eastern Aleutians
- When
- February 25, 5:30 PM AKST to 7:00 PM AKST
- Where
- Eastern Aleutians forecast zone
- Deaths
- 1 direct, 0 indirect
- Reported by
- Newspaper
Anchorage Daily News reported the avalanche death of a snowmobiler on Unalaska Island. The avalanche was noticed around 5:30 p.m. and Search and Rescue was called since the victim was known to be in the area.
- Avalanche
- A mass of snow sliding down a mountainside that caused a death, an injury or damage.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
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- Heavy Snow in Kansas, February 25, 20201 death · 2 injured · 5 events
- High Wind in New Mexico, February 25, 2020$75,000 · 63 kt wind · 2 events
- High Wind in Texas, February 25, 202054 kt wind · 26 events
- Winter Weather in Indiana, February 25 to 27, 202024 events
- High Wind and Strong Wind in California, February 25 to 26, 2020$15,000 · 92 kt wind · 5 events
- High Surf in Hawaii, February 25 to 26, 202011 events
- Winter Weather in Ohio, February 25 to 27, 20208 events
- Winter Weather in Michigan, February 25 to 27, 20205 events
- High Wind in Oklahoma, February 25, 202050 kt wind · 4 events
- High Wind in Texas, February 25, 202053 kt wind · 4 events
- Winter Weather in Colorado, February 25, 20203 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 871644.