A potent upper level trough and associated cold front moved into the region during the daylight hours of June 13th. Instability aided by low heights aloft and warm surface temperatures combined with strong wind shear set the stage for scattered strong to locally severe thunderstorms across the region during the afternoon and evening hours.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LWX wrote it up.
A potent upper level trough and associated cold front moved into the region during the daylight hours of June 13th. Instability aided by low heights aloft and warm surface temperatures combined with strong wind shear set the stage for scattered strong to locally severe thunderstorms across the region during the afternoon and evening hours.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 13, 2:12 PM EST, 56 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
312 PM EDT Thu Jun 13 2019
.SYNOPSIS...
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL TONIGHT/...
Surface low pressure system is located over/near Ohio as mid to
upper level troughing continues to push east over our area,
with plenty of energy aloft. This surface low will continue to
move NE as the surface front moves across our area with
southerly flow ahead of it.
A break in the clouds has allowed for showers and thunderstorms
to develop over our CWA. At this moment they are located west
of the Blue Ridge with CAPE below 1000 J/kg and sfc to 3km shear
about 30 knots. CAMs bring these showers and thunderstorms east
of the Blue Ridge through the rest of this afternoon and
towards the east of our CWA by this evening as surface front
moves across.
Tonight, cold front moves east of our CWA and high pressure
starts building into our area from the SW. Temperatures will be
below average, with lows in the 50s and 40s in the ridges.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
High pressure will be building in from our SW on Friday and
will move offshore Friday night. Dry conditions and gusty
northwesterly winds are expected on Friday, as well as below
average temperatures for this time of the year. Winds will be on
the decrease late on Friday as the high pressure sets up camp
just offshore the NC coast. Southerly flow on Saturday will
allow for warmer temperatures. A cold front will be settled over
the Great Lakes Saturday into Saturday night, but how much
further south it moves from there, and how much it will affect
our CWA with some or any precip is still questionable.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
High pressure will setup off the east coast for much of the long-
term periods, bringing very warm and moist air into the region each
day. High temperatures Sunday through Tuesday could be in the upper
80s to near 90, with dew points well into the upper 60s to near 70.
This will not come without a chance for showers and thunderstorms
each day though, as a stationary front will be stalled out, likely
to our north, throughout much of the period, at least through
Monday. This, paired with multiple impulses of upper-level energy
interacting with the boundary, will lead to daily chances for
showers and storms. Any of these storms would be able to produce
very heavy rainfall rates with PWATs in the 2" range.
There is a great deal of uncertainty regarding when/if the front
will dip south into our region, but if it did so on Monday or
Tuesday, thunderstorm chances would increase greatly. Not monitoring
any particular areas for a flood threat at this time, but given this
setup, would not be surprised if someone ends up seeing some
flooding early next week. So, just something to keep an eye on over
the next several days.
More rain possible on Wednesday, as the cold front should sag to our
south by this point, which will then interact with yet another piece
of upper-level energy. Not much detail to give here until we see
where the front lines up. Temperatures should be a bit cooler as a
result, with highs only in the low to mid 80s.
&&
.AVIATION /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MVFR to VFR conditions are observed over the terminals this
afternoon. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will move near
the terminals this afternoon and evening as a front moves
through. Behind the front, high pressure builds on and VFR
conditions are expected tonight and Friday. Gusty NW winds are
expected on Friday, with gusts up to 20 knots. VFR conditions
continue Friday night and into Saturday before a front
approaches from the NW on Saturday night.
A boundary remains to our north. Warm and humid conditions could
bring showers and thunderstorms during this time allowing for
periods of sub-VFR conditions.
&&
.MARINE...
Winds have remained below SCA criteria this afternoon but are
expected to increase later this evening with a brief increase in
the gradient. Behind the front gusty winds are expected over the
waters and a SCA is in effect through Friday.
A boundary remains to our north. Warm and humid conditions could
bring showers and thunderstorms during this time allowing for
periods of sub-SCA conditions.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect for the DC shoreline for
the high tide this afternoon. Anomalies are generally steady or
increasing so may need additional advisories for DC for the
high tide tonight.
&&
.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for DCZ001.
MD...None.
VA...None.
WV...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Friday for ANZ530>533-535-
538>541.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Friday for ANZ534-536-537-
542-543.
&&
SYNOPSIS...IMR
NEAR TERM...IMR
SHORT TERM...IMR
LONG TERM...CJL
AVIATION...IMR/CJL
MARINE...IMR/CJL
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...IMRHazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 519 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2019 ANZ530>543-DCZ001-MDZ011-013-014-016>018-508-VAZ052>057-141000- Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island MD- Chesapeake Bay from Pooles Island to Sandy Point MD- Chesapeake Bay from Sandy Point to North Beach MD- Chesapeake Bay from North Beach to Drum Point MD- Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point MD to Smith Point VA- Tidal Potomac from Key Bridge to Indian Head MD- Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island MD- Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island MD to Smith Point VA- Patapsco River including Baltimore Harbor- Chester River to Queenstown MD-Eastern Bay- Choptank River to Cambridge MD and the Little Choptank River- Patuxent River to Broomes Island MD- Tangier Sound and the inland waters surrounding Bloodsworth Island-District of Columbia-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges- Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Southeast Harford- Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania- King George- 519 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Maryland portion of the Chesapeake Bay, Tidal Potomac River, and adjacent counties in central Maryland and northern Virginia as well as the District of Columbia. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight A severe thunderstorm with damaging wind gusts and large hail is possible this afternoon into early evening mainly between 1 PM and 7 PM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. MDZ003>006-501>507-VAZ025>031-036>040-050-051-501>508-WVZ050>053- 055-501>506-141000- Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore- Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany- Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford- Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke- Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper- Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Highland- Eastern Highland-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun- Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge- Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy-Western Grant- Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral-Western Pendleton- Eastern Pendleton- 519 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern West Virginia, northern and central Virginia, and central and western Maryland with the exception of Garrett County. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight A severe thunderstorm with damaging wind gusts and large hail is possible this afternoon into early evening mainly between 1 PM and 7 PM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The Sterling radar (KLWX), 68 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:06 UTC.
15 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A tree was blown down near the intersection of Drogheda Mountain Road and Eggbornsville Road. A tree was also blown down in the 8600 block of Rixeyville Road.
A tree was blown down on Kennedy Road. Another tree was also blown down on Greenwich Road.
A tree was blown down near the intersection of Vint Hill Road and Greenwich Road.
A tree was blown down onto Bollington Road near Berlin Turnpike.
A tree was blown down on Lovettsville Road at Taylors Town Road.
A tree was blown down on Prescott Avenue near Center Street.
Scattered trees were blown down blocking roads around the FBI Academy and adjacent portions of northern Stafford County.
A tree was blown down on Catharpin Road. A tree was also blown down in the 9200 block of Plank Road.
Trees were blown down in the 200 block of Sanford Drive.
A tree was blown down in the 17000 block of Joplin Road. A tree was also blown down at the intersection of Greenmount and Cardinal Drives.
A tree was blown down at the intersection of Spriggs Road and Gwendolyn Drive.
A tree was blown down in the 400 block of Eskimo Hill Road.
A tree was blown down on Beaver Pond Road near Misty Lane.
A tree was blown down on Jason Lane near Greenridge Drive.
A tree was blown down on Mills Drive near Massaponax Drive.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Virginia in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, June 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 834206, 834207, 834208, 834209, 834210, 834212, 834220, 834211, 834214, 834213, 834215, 834217, 834216, 834218, 834219.