Texas, 2019

Drought in Texas, September 10 to 30, 2019

September 10 to 30, 2019 · NWS BRO · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Severe (D2) Drought continued across portions of the South Texas Brush Country/Rio Grande Plains through the end of September.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS BRO wrote it up.

Severe (D2) Drought continued across portions of the South Texas Brush Country/Rio Grande Plains through the end of September.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Brownsville, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 9, 11:51 PM CST, 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 9, 11:51 PM CST, 9 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
1251 AM CDT Tue Sep 10 2019

...06z Aviation Update...

.DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions will prevail for the terminals of Deep
South Texas. Today will be very similar to Monday in that gusty
southeasterly daytime winds are expected as well as isolated
showers and thunderstorms. The coverage is the main limiting
factor so decided to keep only VCs in for now. Subsequent updates
may have a higher confidence in timing, coverage, and location.
Brief MVFR conditions will be possible in any convection if it
develops or moves close in proximity to the terminals. Winds and
rain chances decrease shortly after sunset.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 246 PM CDT Mon Sep 9 2019/

SHORT TERM (Now through Tuesday Night): Satellite imagery
continues to show the mid to upper level low parked over the
region early this afternoon. Brownsville radar currently indicates
some ongoing convection across portions of Cameron and Kenedy
Counties. Additional showers and thunderstorms will continue to
develop across the area through late this afternoon into the early
evening hours. Streamer showers are expected to form over the
Gulf waters late tonight into Tuesday morning.

The 500 mb low will lollygag over deep south Texas through the
forecast period. The combination of ample low level moisture and the
mid level weakness overhead, will support at least diurnally driven
isolated to scattered convection across the area Tuesday.
Temperatures are expected to remain near normal levels courtesy of
the presence of the mid level low and soils wetted from recent
rains. Low temperatures tonight and Tuesday night will fall into the
mid to upper 70s across much of the area, except for the lower 80s
at the beaches. High temperatures Tuesday will range from the low to
mid 90s near the coast to the upper 90s across the west near Roma
and Falcon Lake.

LONG TERM (Wednesday through Monday): The global models continue
to be in fairly good agreement with the 500mb trough/shear axis
across south Texas Wednesday between the 500mb subtropical ridge
across the southeast United States and a 500mb ridge across
northern Mexico. Low to mid level moisture will remain high across
the western Gulf of Mexico extending northward into south Texas
Wednesday into Thursday before some drier air from the east and
northeast moves into portions of the CWA Friday. This will provide
scattered showers and thunderstorms...mainly across the coastal
sections of the CWA...Wednesday and Thursday...before rain
chances diminish on Friday. Will mention a slight chance to chance
of showers and thunderstorms...mainly across the coastal sections
of the CWA...through the rest of the week into the weekend. The
rest of the forecast period will depend on the 500mb low/inverted
trough across the northwest Gulf of Mexico Sunday. The global
models continue to diverge with the ECMWF bringing the upper level
low towards the Texas coast Monday while the the GFS lifts the
upper level low feature northward with the bulk of the moisture
and rainfall across the Florida panhandle into Alabama Monday.
Will mention a chance of rain across the eastern portions of deep
south Texas Sunday through Monday for now but rain chances may be
too high if the GFS model solution has a better handle of the
500mb low than the ECMWF model solution.

MARINE (Now through Tuesday night): Light to moderate winds and
moderate seas, generally 3 feet or less, are forecast along the
lower Texas coast with surface high pressure in control. Small Craft
Exercise Caution conditions may be possible on the Laguna Madre and
the nearshore Gulf waters on Tuesday.

Wednesday through Saturday...Light to moderate east to southeast
winds will prevail across the coastal waters Wednesday with
surface high pressure across the southeast United States. The
pressure gradient will weaken across the western Gulf of Mexico
Thursday. Light east to southeast winds Thursday will back to the
east and northeast Friday with weak surface high pressure building
into northeast Texas Friday. The light east to northeast will
continue across the coastal waters Saturday.

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

This product is also available on the web at:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV

Aviation Update...Frye-55
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 9, 3:45 PM CST, 8 hours 15 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...Updated
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
445 PM CDT Mon Sep 9 2019

TXZ248>257-351-353-100915-
Zapata-Jim Hogg-Brooks-Inland Kenedy-Starr-Southern Hidalgo-
Inland Willacy-Inland Cameron-Coastal Willacy-Coastal Cameron-
Coastal Kenedy-Northern Hidalgo-
445 PM CDT Mon Sep 9 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Deep South
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Isolated slow moving heavy rain producing thunderstorms will be
possible this evening mainly east of the Interstate 69C corridor.
Some of these storms may produce periods of torrential rainfall,
minor localized arroyo flooding and brief wind gusts from 30 to 40
mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

An elevated rip current risk is possible for local beaches
Wednesday through the upcoming weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-100915-
Laguna Madre from the Port of Brownsville to the Arroyo Colorado-
Laguna Madre from the Arroyo Colorado To 5 NM north of Port
Mansfield TX-
Laguna Madre from 5 nm north of Port Mansfield to Baffin Bay TX-
Coastal waters from Port Mansfield to the Rio Grande out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Baffin Bay to Port Mansfield out 20 nm-
Waters from Port Mansfield to the Rio Grande extending from 20 to
60 nm-
Waters from Baffin Bay to Port Mansfield extending from 20 to
60 nm-
445 PM CDT Mon Sep 9 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of The Gulf of
Mexico and The Laguna Madre.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

Frye

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Jim Hogg

When
September 10, 12:00 AM CST to September 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Jim Hogg forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
27.043, -98.697 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe (D2) Drought persisted in a small band near Hebbronville from September 10 through the 30th.

Drought, Zapata

When
September 10, 12:00 AM CST to September 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Zapata forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
27.001, -99.169 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe (D2) Drought persisted in a small band near San Ygnacio east through the northern Zapata ranchlands from September 10 through the 30th.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, September 2019

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 858415, 858416.