A weak frontal boundary resulted in isolated thunderstorms south of the Interstate 20 corridor.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
A weak frontal boundary resulted in isolated thunderstorms south of the Interstate 20 corridor.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 30, 2:52 PM CST, 1 hour 48 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 352 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2019 .SHORT TERM... /Through Tonight/ While most areas across north and central TX will remain rain free through this afternoon and evening and into tonight, some isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible mainly south of I-20. Seasonably hot and humid conditions are observed across north and central TX this afternoon. Temperatures are in the upper 90s and some areas have reached 100 degrees including DFW, which eclipsed the century mark for the first time this year. Surface winds are now solidly out of the north across north TX with areas in central TX beginning to make the transition from southerly to northerly winds as a surface boundary slides southward. This boundary has provided enough lift to result in isolated showers and thunderstorms this afternoon south of I-20. This isolated shower and thunderstorm activity is expected to continue for areas south of I-20 through the afternoon and into the evening with activity quickly diminishing after sunset. Instability is very limited so severe storms are generally not expected but given how toasty the temperatures are there is the potential for an isolated storm to produce gusty downburst winds. Hoeth && .LONG TERM... /Wednesday through Monday/ Mostly tranquil and rain-free weather is expected through a majority of the long term forecast period. The exception will be early Wednesday morning and again on Saturday and Sunday where low rain/storm chances are advertised. A mild morning is on tap for a majority of North and Central Texas with most locales only falling into the 70s for overnight lows. A few of the sheltered spots may bottom out in the upper 60s. RAP isentropic progs indicate some gradual ascent atop the surface layer along the 305-310K theta surface in the wake of this afternoon's wind shift and there could be just enough low level saturation to produce some drizzle or very light rain across Central Texas. I'll advertise a 15 PoP with a mention of light rain across the Brazos Valley, but widespread measurable rainfall appears most unlikely. A repeat of patchy dense fog is not expected as the surface trough responsible for the reservoir of low level moisture will be quite diffuse. After the risk for Wednesday morning rain showers across Central and East Texas...summer heat will continue with upper 90s to triple digit heat likely overspreading most of North and Central Texas for afternoon highs. The mid-level ridge that migrates eastward over the southern Plains should ensure that the risk for any rain/storms remains near zero. Afternoon dewpoints should remain in the upper 60s to low 70s through the end of the week. While it won't feel pleasant during peak heating...it appears that we will remain just shy of our heat advisory criteria. Regardless, it will still feel quite hot outside and heat safety protocols should continue to be exercised. The weekend will bring about a slight change to the upper air pattern. The mid-level ridge will slowly creep back towards the west and this will result in slight northerly flow aloft. Not too dissimilar from this past Monday...there will be the potential for some showers and isolated storms to drift southward out of Oklahoma into North Texas. Instability forecasts do not indicate an overly impressive profile...but with the height gradient tightening between the ridge to the west and the upper trough to the east...this could increase deep layer shear values up to around 30 knots. This may foster some loosely organized multicell line clusters capable of some gusty winds. The best time frame for any showers and storms will be late Friday afternoon and again on Saturday and Sunday. The risk for rain/storms and increased cloud cover may hamper diabatic heating...especially east of I-35...and temperatures are forecast to be below normal. If the latest GFS is to verify...very cool conditions...highs only in the 80s...will be possible. At this time, I feel that the GFS is a little too aggressive with its development of a surface low down across the Concho Valley---thus inducing stronger CAA. For now, will undercut blended guidance given that we could see at least one day of slightly more northerly flow. Beyond the weekend, there is a signal that the surface flow will remain more easterly. This should equate to below normal temperatures at least through Tuesday with a slight warming trend thereafter. Again, if the GFS is to be believed, conditions could be quite a bit cooler as more northeasterly winds would likely instigate a larger magnitude of cool/dry air advection. Bain && .AVIATION... /Issued 102 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2019/ /18Z TAFs/ No significant changes to the TAFs with this afternoon update for the metroplex sites. For ACT, bumped up the timing of the VCSH and tightened the window of opportunity a bit with the potential impact period narrowed down to 00Z-06Z now. This is based on already developing CU field in Central TX and latest meso model guidance showing isolated to scattered SHRA activity prevalent in the late afternoon and evening hours. Currently observed wind speeds at DFW and surrounding TAFs are slightly above what is in the TAF but the thinking is that the current increase in wind speeds is temporary due to the initial push of the front that has recently swung the winds around from WSWly to NNWly over the past couple of hours. Surrounding obs to the north of the front are all showing light winds and it is expected that the winds at DFW and surrounding TAFs will decrease in the next hour or so and maintain a generally N to NNEly direction through around 02Z at which point the winds will swing around to the E and SE late this evening into the overnight hours. Maintained VFR conditions at metroplex sites through the period. The only potential area of concern would be any late afternoon or evening showers today in the 20Z-01Z time period that may pose a VCSH potential. HRRR guidance is suggesting a few showers may be somewhat close but was not confident enough that this will materialize to include in the TAF and will handle any developing SHRA with afternoon updates. Most of the CU and low level convergence is focused south of I-20 so that is where the bulk of this afternoon and evening's ISO to SCT SHRA activity is expected. Hoeth && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 79 99 78 98 78 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 75 98 76 98 76 / 10 5 0 0 0 Paris 74 93 73 92 73 / 0 0 0 5 0 Denton 75 98 77 97 76 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 75 96 75 96 76 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 80 99 79 98 79 / 5 0 0 0 0 Terrell 76 97 75 96 76 / 5 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 75 95 75 95 75 / 20 5 0 0 0 Temple 74 98 75 97 74 / 10 5 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 74 99 74 98 74 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && 99/24
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 300 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2019 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-311230- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 300 PM CDT Tue Jul 30 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Lightning will be the primary hazard with any isolated thunderstorms that develop through this evening. An isolated storm or two may also contain gusty winds. The activity will impact areas mainly south of the I-20 corridor and dissipate shortly after sunset this evening with the loss of daytime heating. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Low thunderstorm chances will return Friday night and continue through the upcoming weekend. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A trained spotter reported three power poles down in the city of Thornton, TX. A sheet metal carport was also damaged to the north of Thornton along with some tree branches.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 845634.