Warm, dry and breezy conditions across the Mid-South help set the stage for a wildfire in Tipton County.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.
Warm, dry and breezy conditions across the Mid-South help set the stage for a wildfire in Tipton County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 21, 10:09 AM CST, 1 hour 29 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 1109 AM CDT Sat Sep 21 2019 .UPDATE... Current radar shows a few showers developing in northeast Arkansas this AM so PoPs have been raised in this area. Increased cloud covered has allowed for slightly cooler temperatures in this area so hourly temperatures were modified to reflect this. Otherwise, the short-term forecast is on track. Temperatures will reach the upper 80's to lower 90's this afternoon. MGW && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 432 AM CDT Sat Sep 21 2019/ Slightly above normal temperatures and a chance of rain late Sunday night and Monday. Otherwise, limited chances of rain will well above normal daytime temps appear likely through the end of the month. The persistent upper level ridge over the Southeast will flatten Sunday night, in response to a northern branch trof passing through the upper Midwest. The flattening of the upper ridge will expose the Midsouth to the westerlies on Monday, while a weak surface cold front passes through. The combination of this front, surface heating and moderate westerlies will provide the Midsouth with best chances of measurable rain over the next week. The upper ridge will amplify on Tuesday with the exit of the northern branch trof. Concurrently, the surface front will return north as a warm front. The 00Z GFS was quite aggressive in generating storms just north of the Arklamiss on on Tuesday, likely a downstream extension of storms earlier in the morning over the Red River valley. The ECMWF and Canadian models depicted less rainfall under the building midlevel ridge. Reality may lie somewhere in between, with isolated storms possible Tuesday in the more humid air over east central AR and north MS. Weak west/southwest flow aloft will prevail over the Midsouth Wednesday and Thursday, ahead of a southern branch upper low lifting northeast from the southern Rockies. Areas north of I-40 could see isolated storms, along the northwest periphery of a building low level thermal ridge and midlevel convective cap. GFS and ECMWF models depict the upper ridge over the southeast U.S. retrograding west and amplifying by next weekend. The GFS places the 500mb geopotential height center directly over the Midsouth at 5970 meters next Sunday afternoon. This would be a stronger than normal upper ridge for midsummer, let alone a full week past the autumnal equinox. A dry and hot start to October is appearing more likely. PWB && .AVIATION... 12Z TAFs VFR conditions will persist through the TAF period with high pressure over the area. Winds will generally be light from the south to start off but increase up to 10kt through the evening hours. KRF && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Memphis TN 320 AM CDT Sat Sep 21 2019 ARZ009-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017- 020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-221030- Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay- Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur- Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood- Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lee AR-Lee MS- Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-Panola-Pemiscot- Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-Shelby-St. Francis- Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley- Yalobusha- 320 AM CDT Sat Sep 21 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas... the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time. PWB
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.
Several hundred acres burned in a cut corn field near Bride Road between Leighs Chapel and Mt. Lebanon Road. An estimated 300-500 acres burned. More than 60 firefighters worked for 8 hours to contain the fire.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Tennessee in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, September 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 857961.