Isolated severe thunderstorm associated with a trough of low pressure produced damaging winds and large hail across portions of northeast North Carolina.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS AKQ wrote it up.
Isolated severe thunderstorm associated with a trough of low pressure produced damaging winds and large hail across portions of northeast North Carolina.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 20, 3:03 PM EST, 2 hours 57 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 403 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019 .SYNOPSIS... A weak trough of low pressure will persist across the area through Wednesday. A strong cold front moves across the area Thursday night then stalls across North Carolina Friday. High pressure builds into the area for the weekend. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/... As of 335 PM EDT Tuesday... Thunderstorms have developed across the MD Eastern Shore along a weak boundary that has been situated east-west across the area. Latest surface obs suggest that another weak trough is developing across the I-64 corridor with obs north showing a weak easterly wind while obs across the southern tier showing S-SW winds. Models have been consistent in showing convection developing along this boundary from the I-64 region from the Tidewater through Richmond into Farmville late this afternoon into this evening. As such, have maintained the highest PoPs in this area this evening, although in reality any location could see a pop up thunderstorm though this evening. Best DCAPE values above 1000 j/kg remain across the northern tier and the Piedmont per the SPC mesoanalysis, so it would see that this area would have the best chance for any severe wind gusts. Still think the main threat this afternoon will be from any heavy rain. As seen with the storms currently over the Delmarva, movement is slow at best so any storm that persists could lead to some minor flooding in spots. Otherwise, expect the storms to dissipate soon after sunset due to loss of daytime heating. Another weak upper disturbance currently over Georgia and South carolina will move northeast tonight. This may bring an isolated shower across the far southern tier late tonight and have introduced 20 PoPs in this area. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... As of 335 PM EDT Tuesday... The above mentioned short wave will slowly move across the forecast area on Wednesday. This disturbance combined with the lee trough will allow for another day of widely scattered pop up thunderstorms. Best activity may be in the east just ahead of the short wave, but one could not rule out storms closer to the lee trough in the Piedmont either. As such, will go with chance pops everywhere once again, but focus the highest pops to the east and to the west during the afternoon. A cold front approaches the area later Thu and slowly moves through the area through Friday. Will need to maintain chance pops Thu aftn through Thu night. Indications that the front nearly stalls across the area on Friday, which may allow for some training of storms Friday afternoon especially across the southern half of the area. As such, will go with likely pops across the south on Friday. Temperatures will remain seasonable with low-mid 90s for highs and upper 60s-mid 70s for lows. Temps do drop back into the mid 80s on Friday with the frontal passage and increased cloudiness. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 335 PM EDT Tuesday... Model consensus is slightly slower with the frontal passage than it was yesterday, as the latest 12z/20 GFS has come into better agreement with the ECMWF/GEM. The GFS is forecasting the front to be invof srn VA/NE NC by early Sat AM. The latest ECMWF/GEM both have the front positioned slightly further N. As a result, expect showers/tstms to continue across the CWA (mainly S of I-64) for much of Fri night with the front nearby. The cold front very slowly moves southward next weekend as high pressure over the Great Lakes slowly builds toward the region. Shower/tstm chances continue this weekend over S/SW portions of the CWA as ridging aloft sets up off the SC/GA coast and our region goes under moist WSW-SW flow aloft while sfc ridging builds into the area. Have a mainly dry weekend forecast for nrn zones w/ 30-40% PoPs for srn VA/NE NC. Continued chances for mainly aftn-evening showers/tstms early next week as weak troughing tries to re-establish itself from the Great Lakes to the Deep South and deep layer moisture continues to stream into the region from the SW. Highs mainly in the low-mid 80s through the weekend with lows in the 60s (except for some low 70s in coastal SE VA/NE NC). Slightly warmer by next Tuesday with highs mainly in the mid 80s.&& .AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 200 PM EDT Tuesday... Another day of pop up thunderstorms. Best storms are currently near SBY where we will carry tempo TSRA for the next few hours. Meanwhile, the corridor from RIC to ORF may see some thunderstorm development later this afternoon and have included VCTS for now. Any storm could see brief IFR conditions and gusty winds. Otherwise, it should remain VFR through the next 24 hr although more storms are expected Wed. OUTLOOK... CHC for diurnal convection conts Wed then increases Thu as a cold front approaches from the NW. The potential for showers/tstms lingers into Fri if the cold front slows down or stalls over the region. && .MARINE... As of 300 PM EDT Tuesday... No headlines through at least today and most of Wednesday. Early this afternoon obs continue to show generally a S/SW flow of 5-10 kts. Waves are 1-2 ft and seas 2-3 ft. Wednesday night winds and seas will increase ahead of an approaching cold front. SW winds gust 15-20 kts, and seas build 3-5 ft. SCA may be needed late Wednesday into Thursday. Latest model guidance continues to show the front crossing through the area early on Friday, resulting in a N/NW flow behind the front. Winds will then shift to onshore flow this weekend. && .AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...None. NC...None. VA...None. MARINE...None. && SYNOPSIS...MRD NEAR TERM...MRD SHORT TERM...MRD LONG TERM...ERI AVIATION...MPR/MRD MARINE...CMF
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wakefield VA 348 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019 MDZ021>025-NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ048-060>062-064>069-075>090-092- 093-095>100-509>525-212000- Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches- Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck- Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-Eastern Currituck-Fluvanna-Prince Edward- Cumberland-Goochland-Caroline-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia- Powhatan-Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster-Brunswick- Dinwiddie-Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester-Middlesex- Mathews-Greensville-Sussex-Surry-James City-Southampton- Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach- Accomack-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover- Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield- Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen- Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-York-Newport News- Hampton/Poquoson- 348 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, northeast North Carolina, central Virginia, east central Virginia, eastern Virginia, north central Virginia, south central Virginia and southeast Virginia. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Widely scattered strong thunderstorms are possible through this evening. The main threat will be strong wind gusts but heavy downpours may cause some minor flooding of low lying and poor drainage areas. Frequent lightning will also be possible in any storm. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Scattered strong thunderstorms will be possible Wednesday and Thursday ahead and along a cold front that will move into the area. This cold front will lead to additional thunderstorms with locally heavy rain on Friday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Wakefield VA 639 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019 NCZ016-017-102-VAZ097-098-202330- Eastern Currituck-Camden-Western Currituck-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach- 639 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTH CENTRAL CAMDEN...AND NORTHERN CURRITUCK COUNTIES...THE SOUTHEASTERN CITY OF CHESAPEAKE AND THE SOUTHEASTERN CITY OF VIRGINIA BEACH... At 639 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Moyock, or 8 miles northwest of Currituck, moving east at 15 mph. Wind gusts of 40 to 45 mph and pea size hail are possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Currituck, Chesapeake, Back Bay, Northwest, Moyock, Knotts Island, Corolla, Snowden, Tar Corner, Munden, Barco, Waterlily, Sligo and Maple. If you see lightning or hear thunder, you are at risk! Take shelter indoors immediately. If you cannot find shelter in a building a vehicle provides safety from lightning. Strong wind gusts are possible with this storm. These wind gusts are capable of knocking down tree limbs, small or weakened trees, and blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture, and other light outdoor objects. LAT...LON 3648 7630 3662 7630 3670 7589 3633 7582 TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 263DEG 11KT 3653 7613 EI
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
644 PM EDT TUE AUG 20 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0638 PM HAIL 5 NW MOYOCK 36.54N 76.18W
08/20/2019 E0.75 INCH CURRITUCK NC PUBLIC
DIME SIZE HAIL.
&&
CFSpecial Weather Statement National Weather Service Wakefield VA 646 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019 VAZ092-093-096-202330- Isle of Wight-Southampton-Suffolk- 646 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN ISLE OF WIGHT...AND SOUTHEASTERN SOUTHAMPTON COUNTIES...THE CITY OF FRANKLIN AND THE SOUTHWESTERN CITY OF SUFFOLK... At 646 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Franklin, moving northeast at 5 mph. Wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph and half inch hail are possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Franklin, Windsor, Holland, Suffolk, Hunterdale, Carrsville, Lummis, Collosse, Lees Mill, Walters, Boaz, Elwood and Story. If you see lightning or hear thunder, you are at risk! Take shelter indoors immediately. If you cannot find shelter in a building a vehicle provides safety from lightning. Strong wind gusts are possible with this storm. These wind gusts are capable of knocking down tree limbs, small or weakened trees, and blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture, and other light outdoor objects. LAT...LON 3660 7696 3670 7702 3684 7671 3665 7659 TIME...MOT...LOC 2246Z 236DEG 6KT 3669 7688 EI
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
648 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019
VAZ064-075-521-202330-
Westmoreland-Western Essex-Caroline-
648 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019
...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN
CAROLINE...NORTHWESTERN WESTMORELAND AND NORTHWESTERN ESSEX
COUNTIES...
At 648 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from near Nanjemoy Creek to King George to
near Fort A.p. Hill. Movement was east at 15 mph.
Wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph and pea size hail are possible with these
storms.
Locations impacted include...
Port Royal, Loretto, Fort A.p. Hill, Rappahannock Academy, Hustle,
Potomac Beach, Oak Grove and Supply.
If you see lightning or hear thunder, you are at risk! Take shelter
indoors immediately. If you cannot find shelter in a building a
vehicle provides safety from lightning.
Strong wind gusts are possible with these storms. These wind gusts
are capable of knocking down tree limbs, small or weakened trees, and
blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture, and other
light outdoor objects.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike more than 10 miles away from a thunderstorm.
Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle.
LAT...LON 3821 7698 3800 7706 3815 7742 3824 7730
3822 7728 3825 7727 3825 7725 3824 7723
3823 7725 3819 7725 3820 7722 3817 7717
3817 7715 3815 7712 3816 7709 3814 7707
3818 7705 3826 7705 3828 7698
TIME...MOT...LOC 2248Z 284DEG 13KT 3838 7718 3825 7718 3818 7731
EIPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
649 PM EDT TUE AUG 20 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0630 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 E FRANKLIN 36.68N 76.92W
08/20/2019 CITY OF FRANKLIN VA 911 CALL CENTER
MULTIPLE TREES DOWN AND POWER OUTAGES
THROUGHOUT THE CITY OF FRANKLIN. TIME
ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
&&
CFSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
655 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019
VAZ061-202345-
Cumberland-
655 PM EDT Tue Aug 20 2019
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CUMBERLAND COUNTY...
At 654 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Guinea Mills,
or 7 miles north of Farmville, moving northeast at 20 mph.
Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail are possible with this
storm.
Locations impacted include...
Cumberland, Guinea Mills, Raines Tavern, Trents Mill, Angola, Ashby,
Oak Forest, McRae, Clinton, Hawk, Grays Siding, Bear Creek Lake State
Park, Stoddert and Trenton Mills.
Strong wind gusts are possible with this storm. These wind gusts are
capable of knocking down tree limbs, small or weakened trees, and
blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture, and other
light outdoor objects.
LAT...LON 3753 7833 3764 7824 3755 7811 3735 7827
3733 7829 3732 7829 3732 7831 3737 7844
TIME...MOT...LOC 2254Z 216DEG 17KT 3740 7834
CFThe Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 88 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:57 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
Roof was blown off of a shed near the intersection of Highway 168 and Baxter Lane.
Quarter size hail was reported.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in North Carolina in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, August 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 852277, 852283.