An easterly wave that drifted northwest through northern Mexico on September 12-13, 2019 moved slowly north into southern New Mexico on September 14, 2019. A deep tap of tropical moisture in association with the easterly wave along with weak steering flow over the region produced slow-moving thunderstorms with torrential rainfall.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.
An easterly wave that drifted northwest through northern Mexico on September 12-13, 2019 moved slowly north into southern New Mexico on September 14, 2019. A deep tap of tropical moisture in association with the easterly wave along with weak steering flow over the region produced slow-moving thunderstorms with torrential rainfall. The heaviest rainfall impacted Socorro County where several storms that dumped between two to three inches of rainfall resulted in flash flooding. Road damage and closures were reported around Abeytas and Alamo between 5 and 6 pm. Heavy rainfall and small hail was also reported around Albuquerque and Rio Rancho during the evening hours with some locations picking up a quick one to 1.5 inches of rainfall.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 14, 10:25 AM MST, 1 hour 35 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 1125 AM MDT Sat Sep 14 2019 .AVIATION... 18Z TAF CYCLE Showers and thunderstorms will develop over much of the high terrain this afternoon. Storm motions will vary, but outside of the Southwest Mountains, they will generally be less than 10 kts. Faster storm motions, toward the west/nw, are expected across the Southwest Mountains. Localized MVFR cigs/vsby is possible this afternoon in heavy rain. TAF sites most likely to be impacted by storms include KSAF and KLVS, followed by KABQ and KAEG. An upper level disturbance will shift northward late tonight into Sunday along the NM/AZ border. This disturbance will bring lower cigs and the potential for additional rainfall overnight through early Sunday. 34 && .PREV DISCUSSION...318 AM MDT Sat Sep 14 2019... .SYNOPSIS... As moisture continues to increase from the south today, a better chance for afternoon and early evening thunderstorms is forecast for central and western New Mexico. On Sunday, a weak low over far western portions of the state will trigger scattered showers and thunderstorms across western New Mexico while isolated activity is likely over central locations. Locally heavy rainfall is possible for the western third Sunday afternoon and evening. Chances for showers and storms continue into early next week. High temperatures will finally be close to seasonal averages Sunday through Tuesday, warming back to above average values toward mid week. && .DISCUSSION... One more day of above average temperatures in what seems like an eternity above average before clouds increase and heights drop several decameters Sunday through Tuesday. Models agree that the warm- core low over northern Sonora will strengthen with convection today as it begins to drift northward. The low continues to drift northward over far southeastern AZ and far southwest NM tonight, likely keeping showers and storms in Catron County going through much of the night. The low drifts far enough north on Sunday to result in scattered to perhaps numerous showers and storms for the western third of the state Sunday afternoon and evening with mainly isolated activity over central areas. Locally heavy rainfall is likely across the west where storms will likely train over the same area given the southerly flow aloft on the east side of the closed low. Not too concerned with the flash flood potential at this point with such a dry monsoon season to date. GFS and ECWMF agree that the sub-tropical low continues to drift northward and northwest and north- central NM become the favored areas for showers and storms along with locally heavy rainfall Sunday night into Monday. GFS seemingly wants to dry things out too quickly Tuesday. Trended the forecast toward the very run to run consistent ECWMF with at least isolated activity likely continuing for most areas Tuesday. The Tuesday activity is occurring on the southern end of the closed low/trough lifting northeastward through the northern Great Basin. By Wednesday, the models bring in a dry airmass from the west in the wake of the Great Basin low/trough and temperatures climb back above average for mid September. The above average temps continue through the rest of the work week and into next weekend. ECWMF continues to hint at low-level return flow and dryline storms for far eastern NM next weekend with perhaps a deep closed low in the offing toward day 10. 33 && .FIRE WEATHER... A moistening/cooling trend is in play this weekend as the upper high loosens it's grip over New Mexico and gives way to a warm core low, forecast to move north from Mexico and bring much needed wetting rain to western portions of the state. An upper level trough will progress east across the Intermountain West early in the work week and interact with moisture already in place across New Mexico to produce more wetting storms. A warming trend will then take hold from mid to late week, with daytime temperatures returning back above normal areawide by Thursday. Winds will pick-up late week as a stronger upper level trough moves east from over the Great Basin. Chances for wetting storms will increase with the late week trough, mainly across eastern New Mexico where Gulf moisture will reside. Vent rates will be a mixed-bag through early next week, but should increase to good/excellent areawide by the end of the work-week as the stronger upper level trough approaches. 11 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 733 AM MDT Sat Sep 14 2019 NMZ501>540-151100- Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands- Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains- West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains- San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains- West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains- Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River- Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet- East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley- Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area- Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area- Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley- Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley- South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa- Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County- Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County- Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County- Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County- 733 AM MDT Sat Sep 14 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central New Mexico. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop late this morning and persist through the evening hours. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible, especially across the southwest and west central mountains. Small hail and gusty outflow winds will also be possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected again on Sunday and Monday across western and central New Mexico as a disturbance moves northward from Mexico. Locally heavy rainfall is possible, which may result in flash flooding over recent burn scars. A few storms may also produce small hail and wind gusts to 50 mph. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report rainfall amounts and any flooding through the National Weather Service Albuquerque web site at weather.gov/abq or by calling 1.888.386.7637. 34
The Albuquerque radar (KABX), 47 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 18:58 UTC.
2 flash flood, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
An observer reported hail up to the size of nickels a couple miles south of Cedro. No damage resulted from the hail.
Emergency management reported damaged roads and closures in the area south of Abeytas. Damage amounts are a rough estimate for dirt roads washed out.
Emergency management reported damaged roads and culverts with closures in the area south of Alamo. Damage amounts are a rough estimate for dirt road and culvert wash outs.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, September 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 846031, 846038, 846040.