An upper ridge was over the Four Corners region and an upper trough was strengthening over the eastern part of the country. A cold front that was associated with the upper trough was moving through West Texas and southeast New Mexico.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
An upper ridge was over the Four Corners region and an upper trough was strengthening over the eastern part of the country. A cold front that was associated with the upper trough was moving through West Texas and southeast New Mexico. This front interacted with the plentiful moisture across the area. These conditions resulted in flash flooding across southeast New Mexico.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 22, 11:54 AM MST, 4 hours 7 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 154 PM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019 .DISCUSSION... The upper ridge centered over the Four Corners region today will remain confined to the West as a strong trough digs over the Eastern US. This will keep the region on the east side of the high which is expected to move little over the next 10 days. A rare summer cold front has sagged into the area this morning bringing a change from our recent hot wx. As of 18z believe the front has moved south of CNM... INK... and MAF but not much cooling with it yet. Portions of SE NM with more cloud cover were still in the 70s. The front should continue to only make slow progress the rest of the afternoon before pushing southward tonight. Temperatures the next couple of days should be below normal... on Tuesday morning lows expected to generally be in the 60s with highs in the 80s. Highs in the 90s return Wednesday to much of the area with readings getting back to near normal on Thursday. Widespread mid 90s expected Friday into early next week. Good chance of storms along and behind the front this afternoon... tonight... and Tuesday. As of 18z have some convection beginning along the front. MAF 12z sounding showed PW has increased to 1.38 inches so potential for locally heavy rain. Stayed to the lower side of guidance and still had to increase pops tonight. Guidance shows best pops tonight west and south of MAF. Tomorrow may have some storms hanging around... lowered pops especially north of the Pecos River... and shifted best chances southward to the Davis Mtns/Marfa Plateau. Only low chances over the higher elevations after in the extended. Previous guidance had been suggesting possibility of a high wind event at GDP tonight with the front but 12z has backed off of that. Went ahead and increased wind speeds there this evening but will not issue any wind product. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 65 87 63 90 / 20 0 0 0 Carlsbad 66 87 64 91 / 60 30 10 10 Dryden 75 94 70 96 / 50 30 20 10 Fort Stockton 67 87 64 90 / 60 30 10 10 Guadalupe Pass 57 76 61 85 / 60 40 10 10 Hobbs 63 85 61 88 / 40 10 0 10 Marfa 62 81 55 85 / 60 40 10 10 Midland Intl Airport 66 88 63 91 / 30 10 0 0 Odessa 65 88 64 90 / 40 10 0 0 Wink 67 90 64 92 / 50 20 10 10 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...None. TX...None. && 12/72
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 203 PM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082- 270>282-231915- Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines- Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler- Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County- Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin- Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County- 203 PM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019 /103 PM MDT Mon Jul 22 2019/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Thunderstorms are expected tonight across southeast New Mexico and much of west Texas. The greatest areal coverage of storms is expected to be along and south and west of the Pecos River with locally heavy rainfall and flash flooding possible. The strongest storms will also be capable of producing brief gusty winds, small hail and frequent lightning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday Thunderstorms are possible Tuesday, especially Tuesday morning along and south of the Pecos river. Locally heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding will be the main concern. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in Midland, can be found on the internet at... https://weather.gov/midland
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 411 PM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019 TXZ059-273-274-222200- Loving TX-Eastern Culberson County TX-Reeves County Plains TX- 411 PM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN EDDY...NORTHWESTERN REEVES...NORTHEASTERN CULBERSON AND NORTHWESTERN LOVING COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM CDT... At 411 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near Orla, or 24 miles west of Mentone, moving west at 20 mph. Pea size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Red Bluff Reservoir, Orla and Red Bluff. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle. && LAT...LON 3200 10386 3150 10386 3135 10442 3200 10447 TIME...MOT...LOC 2111Z 093DEG 17KT 3177 10400 29
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
412 PM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019
NMZ027-028-033-034-TXZ059-222200-
Southern Lea County NM-Eddy County Plains NM-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County NM-Central Lea County NM-
Loving TX-
412 PM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN EDDY...SOUTHWESTERN
LEA...NORTHWESTERN REEVES...NORTHWESTERN WINKLER...NORTHERN CULBERSON
AND NORTHERN LOVING COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM CDT/400 PM MDT/...
At 412 PM CDT/312 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 14 miles east of Malaga, or 26 miles southeast of
Carlsbad, moving west at 20 mph.
Pea size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Carlsbad, Loving, Avalon, Seven Rivers Airport, Malaga, Brantley Lake
State Park, Carlsbad North, Carlsbad Caverns National Park, Whites
City, Otis, Cavern City Air Terminal, Living Desert State Park,
Lakewood, Bennett and Lake Avalon.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3268 10468 3248 10326 3200 10319 3199 10398
3200 10399 3200 10472
TIME...MOT...LOC 2112Z 082DEG 16KT 3221 10383
29Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
415 PM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019
TXZ060-061-067-068-222200-
Crane TX-Ector TX-Ward TX-Winkler TX-
415 PM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN ECTOR...NORTHEASTERN
WARD...SOUTHEASTERN WINKLER AND NORTHWESTERN CRANE COUNTIES UNTIL 500
PM CDT...
At 415 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 13
miles northeast of Monahans, moving west at 15 mph.
Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Odessa, Monahans, Thorntonville, West Odessa, Odessa Schlemeyer
Field, Penwell, Roy Hurd Memorial Airport and Monahans Sandhills
State Park.
This includes Interstate 20 between mile markers 78 and 121.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3196 10242 3189 10229 3175 10229 3144 10288
3177 10303
TIME...MOT...LOC 2115Z 079DEG 14KT 3170 10270
29Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 445 PM MDT Mon Jul 22 2019 NMZ027-028-033-034-222330- Southern Lea County NM-Eddy County Plains NM- Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County NM-Central Lea County NM- 445 PM MDT Mon Jul 22 2019 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL EDDY AND SOUTHERN LEA COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM MDT... At 445 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over Carlsbad, moving northwest at 15 mph. Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Carlsbad, Loving, Avalon, Eunice Airport, Seven Rivers Airport, Malaga, Brantley Lake State Park, Carlsbad North, Carlsbad Caverns National Park, Whites City, Otis, Cavern City Air Terminal, Living Desert State Park, Lakewood, Halfway, Lake Avalon and Oil Center. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle. && LAT...LON 3288 10361 3232 10309 3213 10461 3269 10443 TIME...MOT...LOC 2245Z 120DEG 14KT 3240 10425 29
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 546 PM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019 TXZ059-067-274-222330- Loving TX-Reeves County Plains TX-Ward TX- 546 PM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN REEVES... NORTHWESTERN WARD AND LOVING COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM CDT... At 546 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near Mentone, moving west at 15 mph. Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Mentone, Red Bluff Reservoir, Orla, Slash Ranch and Red Bluff. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle. && LAT...LON 3199 10353 3151 10337 3134 10384 3199 10394 TIME...MOT...LOC 2246Z 096DEG 15KT 3173 10355 29
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 547 PM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019 TXZ051-061-062-222330- Midland TX-Martin TX-Ector TX- 547 PM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN ECTOR...NORTHERN MIDLAND AND SOUTH CENTRAL MARTIN COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM CDT... At 547 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near Midland, moving southwest at 30 mph. Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Midland, Odessa, Greenwood, Midland International Air and Space Port, Cotton Flat, Warfield, Midland Airpark and Odessa Schlemeyer Field. This includes Interstate 20 between mile markers 119 and 148. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle. && LAT...LON 3215 10198 3199 10184 3175 10229 3199 10241 TIME...MOT...LOC 2247Z 060DEG 25KT 3204 10201 29
The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 193 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:02 UTC.
2 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rain fell across Eddy County and produced flash flooding two miles south of Carlsbad. A spotter reported two inches of rain in about an hour with flooding of low lying areas. No damage was reported.
Heavy rain fell across Eddy County and produced flash flooding in Carlsbad. There was curb to curb flooding on many streets in Carlsbad. No damage was reported.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, July 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 836953, 836954.